Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. stock TWD 8.14, price TWD 13.00, that is 37.4% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 12.57 TWD – 18.97 TWD · fair‑value band 6.92 TWD – 10.18 TWD · the 13.00 TWD price screens above the 8.14 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing, assembly, and trading of machine tools and parts in Taiwan, Mainland China, the United States, Turkey, India, and internationally.
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It offers multi-station bolt, nut, and part formers; heading, thread rolling, and second operation heading machines; and trimming, thread rolling flat, and heading dies, as well as turnkey solutions under the Lion brand.
The company also offers chemical machinery, compressors, and various screw and nut machinery, as well as involved in general investment business. Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. was founded in 1973 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544) currently trades at 13.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.14 TWD, 37% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 11.87 TWD per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the 13.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 4.07 TWD, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 6.92 TWD (bear) to 10.18 TWD (bull), the price of 13.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 1.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −6.3%/yr. Reported net income was 16.5M TWD in FY2025, compounding −33.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 813M TWD (≈ $24.7M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.76 · EPS (TTM) −0.4800 TWD · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin −2.6% · Return on equity −2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −4.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −37%, 4544 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear6.92 TWDFair Value 8.14 TWDBull10.18 TWD
Price 13.00 TWD · Downside -37.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.15/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−23.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 1%
Compare Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 813 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−37.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets0.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−2.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−4.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−1.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.8% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.77× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.73× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)77· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4544
Frequently asked questions
Is Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.14 TWD versus a price of 13.00 TWD, about 37% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4544?
Our model-based fair value for Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is 8.14 TWD (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 13.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4544?
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8.14 TWD (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.92 TWD, optimistic scenario 10.18 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8.14 TWD, about 37% lower versus a price of 13.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.92 TWD, optimistic scenario 10.18 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 3.85% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. pays a dividend of 0.5 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 2, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2013. The payout ratio is 182% of earnings. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What is the intrinsic value of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. it is 8.14 TWD per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 13.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, 4544 trades above its calculated fair value: price 13.00 TWD, fair value 8.14 TWD, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4544?
No. The price is what the market pays today (13.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8.14 TWD). For Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. the two are 4.86 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. at about 813M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 13.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 8.14 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4544?
Our models span a range for Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario 6.92 TWD, base 8.14 TWD, optimistic 10.18 TWD per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 13.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −2.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4544 from its 52-week high?
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. trades at 13.00 TWD, about 22% below its 52-week high of 16.57 TWD and 2% above the low of 12.70 TWD (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8.14 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 13.00 TWD, calculated fair value 8.14 TWD (−37%), Quality Score 44/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4544 calculated?
We run Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. through 15 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 8.14 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 13.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 8.14 TWD, about 37% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10.18 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The market capitalisation of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is 813M TWD (≈ $24.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is 0.76 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Earnings per share at Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. are −0.4800 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The dividend yield of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is 3.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The net margin of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is −2.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is −2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The operating margin of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Revenue at Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is growing −1.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Earnings per share at Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. are growing −23.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544) generate?
The free cash flow of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is −11.7M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544) hold?
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 327M TWD net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 3, 2026