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Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. TWD 8.14, price TWD 13.15, upside -38.1%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · TW · ISIN TW0004544002

CZ Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd.

4544 · TWO

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 8.14 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−38%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.5% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
·3.80% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 20/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 6 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

18.97 TWD 12.57 TWD Fair Value 8.14 TWD Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 12.57 TWD – 18.97 TWD · fair‑value band 5.73 TWD – 8.99 TWD · the 13.15 TWD price screens above the 8.14 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing, assembly, and trading of machine tools and parts in Taiwan, Mainland China, the United States, Turkey, India, and internationally.

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Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing, assembly, and trading of machine tools and parts in Taiwan, Mainland China, the United States, Turkey, India, and internationally. It offers multi-station bolt, nut, and part formers; heading, thread rolling, and second operation heading machines; and trimming, thread rolling flat, and heading dies, as well as turnkey solutions under the Lion brand. The company also offers chemical machinery, compressors, and various screw and nut machinery, as well as involved in general investment business. Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. was founded in 1973 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544) currently trades at 13.15 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.14 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 61.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 14.64 TWD per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the 13.15 TWD price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 2.28 TWD, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 5.73 TWD (bear) to 8.99 TWD (bull), the price of 13.15 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 1.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −6.3%/yr. Reported net income was 16.5M TWD in FY2025, compounding −33.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 865M TWD (≈ $27.2M) · P/E ratio 48.7 · P/S ratio 0.72 · EPS (TTM) 0.2700 TWD · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin 1.5% · Return on equity 1.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −38%, 4544 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 5.73 TWD Fair Value 8.14 TWD Bull 8.99 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 12.03 TWD 11.44 TWD 8.62 TWD 76
Owner Earnings 12.04 TWD 14.64 TWD 19.29 TWD 75
EPV 5.70 TWD 5.81 TWD 5.92 TWD 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 12.04 TWD 14.64 TWD 19.29 TWD 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.87 TWD 2.28 TWD 2.57 TWD 67
EPV 5.70 TWD 5.81 TWD 5.92 TWD 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 9.66 TWD 10.53 TWD 11.84 TWD 69
DDM Multi-Stage 9.66 TWD 11.94 TWD 15.05 TWD 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 4.32 TWD 5.76 TWD 7.20 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 3.50 TWD 4.67 TWD 5.83 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 3.50 TWD 4.67 TWD 5.83 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 7.05 TWD 7.76 TWD 8.46 TWD 63
EV/EBITDA 12.30 TWD 14.76 TWD 17.21 TWD 64
EV/Revenue 6.45 TWD 7.09 TWD 7.74 TWD 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.72 TWD 11.69 TWD 17.44 TWD 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income 12.03 TWD 11.44 TWD 8.62 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 5.70 TWD 5.81 TWD 5.92 TWD 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 3.05 TWD 4.36 TWD 5.67 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 15/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−23.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 1%

4544 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 828 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −38% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −31% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 48.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.82× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.77× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 14.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)6 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)76 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
SIE SIE €274.80 €150.21 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $442.49 $172.75 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $971.21 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $524.65 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $273.42 $151.39 −45%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.59 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $432.89 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 383.50 kr 193.39 −50%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4544

Frequently asked questions

Is Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.14 TWD versus a price of 13.15 TWD, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4544?
Our model-based fair value for Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is 8.14 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 13.15 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4544?
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8.14 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.73 TWD, optimistic scenario 8.99 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8.14 TWD, about −38% upside versus a price of 13.15 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 5.73 TWD, optimistic scenario 8.99 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.80% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. it is 8.14 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 13.15 TWD. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4544 trades above its calculated fair value: price 13.15 TWD, fair value 8.14 TWD, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4544?
No. The price is what the market pays today (13.15 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8.14 TWD). For Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. the two are 5.01 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. at about 865M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 13.15 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 8.14 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4544?
Our models span a range for Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario 5.73 TWD, base 8.14 TWD, optimistic 8.99 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 13.15 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4544?
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 48.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 8.14 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 14.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4544 from its 52-week high?
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. trades at 13.15 TWD, about 21% below its 52-week high of 16.57 TWD and 1% above the low of 13.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8.14 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 13.15 TWD, calculated fair value 8.14 TWD (−38%), Quality Score 46/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4544 calculated?
We run Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 8.14 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 13.15 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 8.14 TWD, about −38% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (8.99 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The market capitalisation of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is 865M TWD (≈ $27.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is 0.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Earnings per share at Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. are 0.2700 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 48.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The dividend yield of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is 3.8% (payout 185%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The net margin of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is 1.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
The operating margin of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is −3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Revenue at Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is growing −31.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544)?
Earnings per share at Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. are growing −23.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544) generate?
The free cash flow of Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. is −11.7M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. (4544) hold?
Chun Zu Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 327M TWD net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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