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Sinher Technology Inc (4999) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 1.4B TWD

ST Sinher Technology Inc 4999 · TW
Price18.90 TWD
Fair Value16.56 TWD
Upside-12.4%
Quality46/100
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Risks

!Trades 14% ABOVE our fair value of 16.56 TWD
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -7.9% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.9 %/yr)
Loss-making · -7.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.28% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Low Range 12.83 TWD – 20.28 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 12.42 TWD to 16.56 TWD (+33.3%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price −1.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and trading another 14% above our fair value.

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What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

48.81 TWD 18.35 TWD Fair Value 16.56 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 18.35 TWD – 48.81 TWD · fair‑value band 12.83 TWD – 20.28 TWD · the 18.90 TWD price screens above the 16.56 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sinher Technology Inc (4999) currently trades at 18.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.56 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 12.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sinher Technology Inc generated revenue of 2.0B TWD at a net margin of -6.3%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 121M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 12.83 TWD (bear case) to 20.28 TWD (bull case); at 18.90 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at -12%, 4999 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 7.77 TWD 8.37 TWD 9.28 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 7.77 TWD 9.25 TWD 11.16 TWD 61
EV/EBITDA 15.09 TWD 18.82 TWD 22.54 TWD 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 7.77 TWD 8.37 TWD 9.28 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 7.77 TWD 9.25 TWD 11.16 TWD 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 15.09 TWD 18.82 TWD 22.54 TWD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 21.77 TWD 29.17 TWD 43.54 TWD 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (29.17 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (8.37 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.74 TTM
Dividend yield 1.3%
Net margin -7.9% TTM
Return on equity -4.7% TTM
Return on assets -1.3% TTM
Operating margin -12.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
EPS (TTM) -1.68 TWD
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.9B TWD TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.5% 3y avg -4.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -58.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −165M TWD FY2025
Net cash 121M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sinher Technology Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of hinge products in Taiwan, China, Singapore, Japan, and internationally. The company offers NB hinges, including auto lock, spring, band type, central, shaft, and Zn with plate pipe and bend type hinges.

Full company description

Sinher Technology Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of hinge products in Taiwan, China, Singapore, Japan, and internationally. The company offers NB hinges, including auto lock, spring, band type, central, shaft, and Zn with plate pipe and bend type hinges. It also provides detachable, NB module, and tablet module hinges; AIO and LCD hinges, such as base design type, picture frame type, and multi rotation type hinges; and 3C hinges comprising projector and POS hinges, as well as car hinges and projectors. In addition, the company is involved in the general investing activity. Sinher Technology Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sinher Technology Inc reported revenue of 2.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound −10.5%/yr. Reported net income was −123M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.0B TWD
Latest YoY
−0.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.3%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −10.5%/yr
FY21 3.0B TWD
FY22 2.3B TWD
FY23 1.9B TWD
FY24 2.0B TWD
FY25 2.0B TWD
Net income
FY21 182M TWD
FY22 205M TWD
FY23 3.8M TWD
FY24 71.4M TWD
FY25 −123M TWD

4999 screens 12% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinher Technology Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4999

Peer Group

Tools & Accessories · 124 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −12% · Above median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE17 · sector 3
FUTURE0 · sector 15
PAST0 · sector 28
HEALTH100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND26 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Techtronic Industries Company 0669 HK$138.50 HK$78.56 -43%
Snap-on Incorporated SNA $393.93 $344.67 -13%
RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC $555.65 $179.94 -68%
Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO $286.97 $151.86 -47%
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $102.90 $52.80 -49%
AB SKF (publ) SKFB kr 262.50 kr 180.34 -31%
The Timken Company TKR $130.25 $64.85 -50%
The Toro Company TTC $97.92 $69.71 -29%
SFS Group SFSN CHF 131.40 CHF 118.30 -10%
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥30.51 ¥30.38 -0%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sinher Technology Inc (4999) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.56 TWD versus a price of 18.90 TWD, about −12% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4999?
Our model-based fair value for Sinher Technology Inc is 16.56 TWD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 18.90 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4999?
Sinher Technology Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
Sinher Technology Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4999?
The net profit margin of Sinher Technology Inc is about -6.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sinher Technology Inc pay a dividend?
Sinher Technology Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.23% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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