Sinher Technology Inc (4999) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 8, 2026: fair value of Sinher Technology Inc TWD 16.56, price TWD 17.75, upside -6.7%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Sinher Technology Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of hinge products in Taiwan, China, Singapore, Japan, and internationally. The company offers NB hinges, including auto lock, spring, band type, central, shaft, and Zn with plate pipe and bend type hinges.
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Sinher Technology Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of hinge products in Taiwan, China, Singapore, Japan, and internationally. The company offers NB hinges, including auto lock, spring, band type, central, shaft, and Zn with plate pipe and bend type hinges. It also provides detachable, NB module, and tablet module hinges; AIO and LCD hinges, such as base design type, picture frame type, and multi rotation type hinges; and 3C hinges comprising projector and POS hinges, as well as car hinges and projectors. In addition, the company is involved in the general investing activity. Sinher Technology Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Sinher Technology Inc (4999) currently trades at 17.75 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.56 TWD, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.2%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 29.17 TWD per share, and 2 of the 4 models we run sit above the 17.75 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 9.57 TWD, and 2 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 12.83 TWD (bear) to 20.28 TWD (bull), the price of 17.75 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Sinher Technology Inc reported revenue of 2.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound −10.5%/yr. Reported net income was −123M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.3B TWD (≈ $41.0M) · P/S ratio 0.73 · EPS (TTM) −1.75 TWD · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin −6.3% · Return on equity −4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% · Operating margin −11.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −7%, 4999 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 12.83 TWDFair Value 16.56 TWDBull 20.28 TWD
Price 17.75 TWD · Upside -6.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.0% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
22.3% (2020) → −3.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 127 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−6.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−2.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−7.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−11.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−20.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.4% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
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Is Sinher Technology Inc (4999) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.56 TWD versus a price of 17.75 TWD, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 4999?
Our model-based fair value for Sinher Technology Inc is 16.56 TWD (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 17.75 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4999?
Sinher Technology Inc has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16.56 TWD (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario 12.83 TWD, optimistic scenario 20.28 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sinher Technology Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16.56 TWD, about −7% upside versus a price of 17.75 TWD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 12.83 TWD, optimistic scenario 20.28 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
Sinher Technology Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B TWD (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Sinher Technology Inc pay a dividend?
Sinher Technology Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.41% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sinher Technology Inc it is 16.56 TWD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 17.75 TWD. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sinher Technology Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 4999 trades above its calculated fair value: price 17.75 TWD, fair value 16.56 TWD, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4999?
No. The price is what the market pays today (17.75 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16.56 TWD). For Sinher Technology Inc the two are 1.19 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sinher Technology Inc worth?
The market values Sinher Technology Inc at about 1.3B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 17.75 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 16.56 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4999?
Our models span a range for Sinher Technology Inc: cautious scenario 12.83 TWD, base 16.56 TWD, optimistic 20.28 TWD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 17.75 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sinher Technology Inc (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −4.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4999 from its 52-week high?
Sinher Technology Inc trades at 17.75 TWD, about 32% below its 52-week high of 26.07 TWD and 1% above the low of 17.65 TWD (as of Oct 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16.56 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sinher Technology Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, RBC Bearings Incorporated, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sinher Technology Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 17.75 TWD, calculated fair value 16.56 TWD (−7%), Quality Score 44/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4999 calculated?
We run Sinher Technology Inc through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16.56 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sinher Technology Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
The closing price on Oct 8, 2026 was 17.75 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 16.56 TWD, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sinher Technology Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Sinher Technology Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
The market capitalisation of Sinher Technology Inc is 1.3B TWD (≈ $41.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sinher Technology Inc is 0.73 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
Earnings per share at Sinher Technology Inc are −1.75 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
The dividend yield of Sinher Technology Inc is 1.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
The net margin of Sinher Technology Inc is −6.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sinher Technology Inc is −4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sinher Technology Inc is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
The operating margin of Sinher Technology Inc is −11.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
Revenue at Sinher Technology Inc is growing −20.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sinher Technology Inc (4999)?
Earnings per share at Sinher Technology Inc are growing −58.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sinher Technology Inc (4999) generate?
The free cash flow of Sinher Technology Inc is −165M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Sinher Technology Inc (4999) hold?
Sinher Technology Inc holds more cash than debt, 121M TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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