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Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 13, 2026
Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited
500119 · BSEUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value ₹212.47 · Undervalued (+30%)
!Quality 63/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −5.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.3% net margin (FY2026)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 49/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹90.29 – ₹313.13 · fair‑value band ₹160.88 – ₹285.88 · the ₹163.65 price screens below the ₹212.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited operates as an integrated sugarcane processing company in India. The company operates through three segments: Sugar, Chemicals, and Power. It manufactures and sells refined sugar and white sugar; ethanol, rectified spirit, extra neutral alcohol, special denatured spirit, and ethyl acetate; carbon dioxide; and bio-fertilizers.
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Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited operates as an integrated sugarcane processing company in India. The company operates through three segments: Sugar, Chemicals, and Power. It manufactures and sells refined sugar and white sugar; ethanol, rectified spirit, extra neutral alcohol, special denatured spirit, and ethyl acetate; carbon dioxide; and bio-fertilizers. The company also generates power using bagasse. It operates cogeneration facilities with a total installed capacity of approximately 209 megawatts. Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited was founded in 1933 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119) currently trades at ₹163.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹212.47, implying the stock looks roughly 23.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹336.68 per share, and 18 of the 22 models we run sit above the ₹163.65 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹85.77, and 4 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹160.88 (bear) to ₹285.88 (bull), the price of ₹163.65 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2026: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2026.
Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited reported revenue of ₹19.7B in FY2026 versus ₹21.6B in FY2022, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹651M in FY2026, compounding −18.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹10.5B (≈ $110M) · P/E ratio 3.9 · P/S ratio 0.13 · EPS (TTM) ₹32.61 · Net margin 3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% · Free cash flow ₹2.1B · Net debt ₹8.7B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at 30%, 500119 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹160.88
Fair Value ₹212.47
Bull ₹285.88
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹14.92 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
₹352.98
₹491.84
₹741.02
80
Growth DCF
₹369.04
₹502.83
₹724.41
79
Owner Earnings
₹146.95
₹210.43
₹324.36
76
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
₹352.98
₹491.84
₹741.02
80
Owner Earnings
₹146.95
₹210.43
₹324.36
76
5Y Revenue Exit
₹231.95
₹320.57
₹448.75
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
₹291.74
₹424.04
₹599.37
75
5Y P/E Exit
₹226.15
₹310.52
₹412.28
71
10Y Revenue Exit
₹273.45
₹342.75
₹414.19
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
₹313.82
₹405.29
₹500.59
70
10Y P/E Exit
₹274.89
₹336.68
₹393.27
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹84.99
₹103.87
₹116.86
67
EPV
₹70.45
₹85.77
₹98.99
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹196.85
₹262.46
₹328.08
63
P/S Multiple
₹159.35
₹212.47
₹265.59
58
P/B Multiple
₹159.35
₹212.47
₹265.59
55
EV/EBIT
₹245.59
₹336.31
₹427.03
66
EV/EBITDA
₹297.79
₹405.91
₹514.04
67
EV/Revenue
₹167.67
₹250.92
₹334.18
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹114.94
₹154.02
₹229.87
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
₹369.04
₹502.83
₹724.41
79
Rev-Margin DCF
₹231.95
₹329.76
₹452.81
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹175.63
₹178.02
₹171.43
76
ROIC Compounder
₹70.45
₹85.77
₹98.99
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹139.00
₹198.57
₹258.14
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
63/100
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Profitability
36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
95
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
55/100
Spin-off in 2026: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2026.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−20.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−21% vs −12%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 6%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.0%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| ORION Corp 271560 | 119,300 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +70% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.00 | $22.21 | −43% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.96 | ¥9.09 | −57% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 53.65 | kr 59.12 | +10% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹692.55 | ₹318.59 | −54% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹212.47 versus a price of ₹163.65, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 500119?
Our model-based fair value for Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited is ₹212.47 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹163.65.
What is the quality score of 500119?
Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹212.47 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹160.88, optimistic scenario ₹285.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹212.47, about +30% upside versus a price of ₹163.65 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹160.88, optimistic scenario ₹285.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +3.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -14.2 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 500119 use?
Our models discount Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited at 15.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited that is +3.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited grew -14.2 % a year. The price currently implies +3.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (+3.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 20.29 %: that much free cash flow Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited it is ₹212.47 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹163.65. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 500119 trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹163.65, fair value ₹212.47, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 500119?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹163.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹212.47). For Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited the two are ₹48.82 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited worth?
The market values Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited at about ₹10.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹163.65; our models calculate a fair value of ₹212.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 500119?
Our models span a range for Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited: cautious scenario ₹160.88, base ₹212.47, optimistic ₹285.88 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹163.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 500119 from its 52-week high?
Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited trades at ₹163.65, about 1% below its 52-week high of ₹164.70 and 51% above the low of ₹108.68 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹212.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹163.65, calculated fair value ₹212.47 (+30%), Quality Score 63/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 500119 calculated?
We run Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹212.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited right now?
Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119)?
The market capitalisation of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited is ₹10.5B (≈ $110M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited is 3.9 (as of Jul 4, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited is 0.13 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119)?
Earnings per share at Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited are ₹32.61 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119)?
The net margin of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited is 3.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net debt does Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (500119) carry?
The net debt of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited is ₹8.7B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 4.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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