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Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (500354) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited ₹13.26, price ₹27.86, upside -52.4%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · IN

RS Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited

500354 · BSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Quality 46/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +14.4 %/yr in INR)
Thin margins · 0.2% net margin (FY2026)
Moderate debt
Fair value ₹13.26 · Strongly overvalued (−52.4%)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 23/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹97.78 ₹21.15 Fair Value ₹13.26 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹21.15 – ₹97.78 · fair‑value band ₹9.95 – ₹16.58 · the ₹27.86 price screens above the ₹13.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited engages in the sugar, distillery, power, and biotechnology businesses in India. The company's Sugar segment manufactures and sells white crystal sugar from sugarcane. Its Cogeneration segment is involved in the cogeneration of electricity from bagasse fuel.

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Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited engages in the sugar, distillery, power, and biotechnology businesses in India. The company's Sugar segment manufactures and sells white crystal sugar from sugarcane. Its Cogeneration segment is involved in the cogeneration of electricity from bagasse fuel. The company's Distillery segment provides distillery products, such as rectified spirit, denatured spirit, anhydrous alcohol, organic manure, and extra neutral alcohol. Its Others segment engages in the property development activities. The company also offers bio-products, including bio-fertilizers, bio pesticides, bio control agents, and microbial decomposing culture; and provides commissioning consultancy and engineering services for sugar complexes, distilleries, and waste management projects. Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Coimbatore, India.

Stock analysis

Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (500354) currently trades at ₹27.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹13.26, 52.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹121.00 per share, and 4 of the 9 models we run sit above the ₹27.86 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹6.48, and 5 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹9.95 (bear) to ₹16.58 (bull), the price of ₹27.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited reported revenue of ₹5.4B in FY2026 versus ₹4.7B in FY2022, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹11.4M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹406M (≈ $4.2M) · EPS (TTM) ₹−17.52 · Net margin 0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% · Free cash flow −₹238M · Net debt ₹3.2B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −52%, 500354 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹9.95 Fair Value ₹13.26 Bull ₹16.58
Price ₹27.86 · Upside -52.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹120.43 ₹112.28 ₹106.49 68
Graham-Dodd ₹5.31 ₹6.48 ₹7.29 65
Growth-Adj P/E ₹7.09 ₹10.12 ₹13.16 65
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹15.02 ₹79.10 ₹194.09 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹5.31 ₹6.48 ₹7.29 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹9.95 ₹13.26 ₹16.58 63
P/S Multiple ₹9.95 ₹13.26 ₹16.58 58
P/B Multiple ₹9.95 ₹13.26 ₹16.58 55
EV/EBIT n/a n/a ₹12.85 61
EV/EBITDA ₹34.24 ₹99.03 ₹163.83 62
EV/Revenue n/a n/a ₹6.92 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹90.30 ₹121.00 ₹180.60 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹120.43 ₹112.28 ₹106.49 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹7.09 ₹10.12 ₹13.16 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.0% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−56.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−56.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 3%

500354 screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with Mondelez International, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 83 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −52.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.91× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 4.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)54 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $57.82 $29.03 −50%
The Hershey Company HSY $161.41 $90.80 −44%
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP CHF 7,540 CHF 11,708 +55%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,062 CHF 654.80 −38%
Cofco Sugar Holding 600737 ¥14.75 ¥10.01 −32%
ORION Corp 271560 106,900 KRW 203,315 KRW +90%
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TR $37.99 $21.64 −43%
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥18.76 ¥8.53 −55%
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹649.05 ₹160.97 −75%
ORION Holdings 001800 23,000 KRW 51,062 KRW +122%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500354

Frequently asked questions

Is Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (500354) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹13.26 versus a price of ₹27.86, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500354?
Our model-based fair value for Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited is ₹13.26 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹27.86.
What is the quality score of 500354?
Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (500354)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹13.26 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹9.95, optimistic scenario ₹16.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹13.26, about −52% upside versus a price of ₹27.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹9.95, optimistic scenario ₹16.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (500354)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited it is ₹13.26 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹27.86. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 500354 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹27.86, fair value ₹13.26, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 500354?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹27.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹13.26). For Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited the two are ₹14.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited worth?
The market values Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited at about ₹406M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹27.86; our models calculate a fair value of ₹13.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 500354?
Our models span a range for Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited: cautious scenario ₹9.95, base ₹13.26, optimistic ₹16.58 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹27.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (500354)?
Balance-sheet figures for Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (as of Oct 3, 2026): debt of 0.91 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 500354 from its 52-week high?
Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited trades at ₹27.86, about 31% below its 52-week high of ₹40.50 and 9% above the low of ₹25.63 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹13.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹27.86, calculated fair value ₹13.26 (−52%), Quality Score 46/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 500354 calculated?
We run Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹13.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (500354)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹27.86. Our model-based fair value is ₹13.26, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹16.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (500354)?
The market capitalisation of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited is ₹406M (≈ $4.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (500354)?
Earnings per share at Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited are ₹−17.52. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (500354)?
The net margin of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited is 0.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (500354)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (500354) generate?
The free cash flow of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited is −₹238M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited (500354) carry?
The net debt of Rajshree Sugars and Chemicals Limited is ₹3.2B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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