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Swaraj Engines Limited (500407) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Swaraj Engines Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Sep 13, 2026
Swaraj Engines Limited
500407 · BSEOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value ₹2,353 · Overvalued (−34%)
✓Quality 71/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +16.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.4% net margin (TTM)
·0.70% dividend yield
✓Wide moat 66/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹1,089 – ₹4,492 · fair‑value band ₹1,469 – ₹3,782 · the ₹3,574 price screens above the ₹2,353 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Swaraj Engines Limited manufactures and sells diesel engines, diesel engine components, and spare parts for tractors in India. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Mohali, India.
Stock analysis
Swaraj Engines Limited (500407) currently trades at ₹3,574, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2,353, implying the stock looks roughly 51.9% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹2,922 per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹3,574 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹1,030, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹1,469 (bear) to ₹3,782 (bull), the price of ₹3,574 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Swaraj Engines Limited reported revenue of ₹16.8B in FY2025 versus ₹9.9B in FY2021, a compound +14.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.7B in FY2025, compounding +15.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹17.2B (≈ $180M) · P/E ratio 25.8 · P/S ratio 2.54 · EPS (TTM) ₹52.46 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 9.9% · Return on equity 29.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 29.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −34%, 500407 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹1,469
Fair Value ₹2,353
Bull ₹3,782
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹27.46 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
₹1,680
₹3,163
₹5,834
74
Growth DCF
₹1,656
₹2,986
₹5,298
72
Owner Earnings
₹1,786
₹3,364
₹6,204
70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
₹1,680
₹3,163
₹5,834
74
Owner Earnings
₹1,786
₹3,364
₹6,204
70
5Y Revenue Exit
₹1,328
₹2,326
₹3,693
68
5Y EBITDA Exit
₹1,610
₹2,922
₹4,594
70
5Y P/E Exit
₹1,974
₹3,693
₹5,707
66
10Y Revenue Exit
₹1,390
₹2,392
₹3,958
62
10Y EBITDA Exit
₹1,620
₹2,834
₹4,732
63
10Y P/E Exit
₹1,865
₹3,408
₹5,687
59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹930.16
₹4,700
₹6,490
64
Lynch FV
₹1,275
₹1,822
₹2,369
61
PEG = 1.0
₹1,275
₹1,822
₹2,369
57
EPV
₹1,458
₹1,700
₹1,912
70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
₹873.20
₹1,816
₹2,880
66
DDM Multi-Stage
₹873.20
₹1,531
₹1,906
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹2,257
₹3,009
₹3,762
63
P/S Multiple
₹1,247
₹1,663
₹2,079
58
P/B Multiple
₹1,036
₹1,382
₹1,727
55
EV/EBIT
₹2,310
₹3,078
₹3,846
63
EV/EBITDA
₹1,693
₹2,255
₹2,818
64
EV/Revenue
₹1,170
₹1,669
₹2,168
51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹172.73
₹231.46
₹345.47
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
₹1,656
₹2,986
₹5,298
72
Rev-Margin DCF
₹1,328
₹2,301
₹3,594
68
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹841.05
₹1,030
₹4,975
64
ROIC Compounder
₹1,620
₹2,093
₹2,657
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹1,985
₹2,836
₹3,687
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
71/100
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Profitability
87
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+15.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 12%
500407 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 657 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $85.82 | $47.50 | −45% |
| AutoZone, Inc AZO | $2,877 | $2,287 | −21% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 415,500 KRW | 643,909 KRW | +55% |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥54.01 | ¥72.66 | +35% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹164.30 | ₹85.89 | −48% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $66.13 | $68.17 | +3% |
| Genuine Parts Company GPC | $133.68 | $58.07 | −57% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹48,389 | ₹11,534 | −76% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥43.10 | ¥28.28 | −34% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹1,945 | ₹393.20 | −80% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Swaraj Engines Limited (500407) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2,353 versus a price of ₹3,574, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500407?
Our model-based fair value for Swaraj Engines Limited is ₹2,353 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹3,574.
What is the quality score of 500407?
Swaraj Engines Limited has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹2,353 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1,469, optimistic scenario ₹3,782. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Swaraj Engines Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹2,353, about −34% upside versus a price of ₹3,574 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹1,469, optimistic scenario ₹3,782. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
Swaraj Engines Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹7.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Swaraj Engines Limited pay a dividend?
Swaraj Engines Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.70% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Swaraj Engines Limited it is ₹2,353 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹3,574. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Swaraj Engines Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 500407 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹3,574, fair value ₹2,353, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 500407?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹3,574); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹2,353). For Swaraj Engines Limited the two are ₹1,221 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Swaraj Engines Limited worth?
The market values Swaraj Engines Limited at about ₹17.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹3,574; our models calculate a fair value of ₹2,353 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 500407?
Our models span a range for Swaraj Engines Limited: cautious scenario ₹1,469, base ₹2,353, optimistic ₹3,782 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹3,574). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 500407?
Swaraj Engines Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹2,353 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.1, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 17.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
Balance-sheet figures for Swaraj Engines Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 29.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 500407 from its 52-week high?
Swaraj Engines Limited trades at ₹3,574, about 19% below its 52-week high of ₹4,420 and 11% above the low of ₹3,212 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹2,353 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Swaraj Engines Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Swaraj Engines Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹3,574, calculated fair value ₹2,353 (−34%), Quality Score 71/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 500407 calculated?
We run Swaraj Engines Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹2,353, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Swaraj Engines Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Swaraj Engines Limited right now?
A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹1,469 to ₹3,782) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Swaraj Engines Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
The market capitalisation of Swaraj Engines Limited is ₹17.2B (≈ $180M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Swaraj Engines Limited is 2.54 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
Earnings per share at Swaraj Engines Limited are ₹52.46 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
The dividend yield of Swaraj Engines Limited is 0.7% (payout 47.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
The net margin of Swaraj Engines Limited is 9.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Swaraj Engines Limited is 29.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Swaraj Engines Limited is 29.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
The operating margin of Swaraj Engines Limited is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
Revenue at Swaraj Engines Limited is growing +31.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Swaraj Engines Limited (500407)?
Earnings per share at Swaraj Engines Limited are growing +6.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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