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Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Ucal Fuel Systems Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · IN · ISIN INE139B01016

UF Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Ucal Fuel Systems Limited

500464 · BSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value ₹93.98 · Overvalued (−34%)
!Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.7 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -1.6% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2023 0.1%
✓Low debt
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹234.90 ₹81.10 Fair Value ₹93.98 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹81.10 – ₹234.90 · fair‑value band ₹83.33 – ₹93.98 · the ₹141.55 price screens above the ₹93.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Ucal Fuel Systems Limited provides fuel management systems for the automotive sector in India.

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Ucal Fuel Systems Limited provides fuel management systems for the automotive sector in India. The company offers multi point fuel injection parts, including throttle body assemblies, fuel rail assemblies, high pressure fuel filters, pressure regulators, and pulsation dampers; carburetors; and emission control products, such as positive crankcase ventilation valves and intake manifolds for four wheelers. It also provides carburetors; emission control products comprising secondary air valves; and EMS system products that include throttle bodies, fuel pumps, air compressors, and fuel rail assemblies for two/three wheelers. In addition, the company offers carburetors and electronic solenoid fuel pumps for gensets; oil, vacuum, and water pump assemblies, as well as fuel pumps; high pressure die casting products, which comprise air intake and steering systems, turbochargers, and emission control and other products; and precision machined products, such as shaft second clutches, housing spring and body injectors, and transmission and rocker arm shafts. It also exports its products. Ucal Fuel Systems Limited was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Chennai, India.

Stock analysis

Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464) currently trades at ₹141.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹93.98, implying the stock looks roughly 50.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹151.18 per share, and 6 of the 23 models we run sit above the ₹141.55 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹18.25, and 17 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹83.33 (bear) to ₹93.98 (bull), the price of ₹141.55 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Ucal Fuel Systems Limited reported revenue of ₹8.2B in FY2023 versus ₹8.7B in FY2019, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹8.5M in FY2023, compounding −63.1%/yr from FY2019.

Key figures

Market cap ₹3.1B (≈ $32.9M) · P/E ratio 10.8 · P/S ratio 0.01 · EPS (TTM) ₹14.94 · Net margin 0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% · Operating margin 1.7% · Revenue (TTM) ₹6.1B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −34%, 500464 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹83.33 Fair Value ₹93.98 Bull ₹93.98
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ₹161.33 ₹225.78 ₹337.94 80
Growth DCF ₹167.77 ₹229.80 ₹330.02 78
Residual Income ₹117.49 ₹108.24 ₹71.21 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹161.33 ₹225.78 ₹337.94 80
Owner Earnings n/a n/a ₹5.15 73
5Y Revenue Exit ₹90.77 ₹127.59 ₹179.04 72
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹169.24 ₹261.90 ₹380.29 74
5Y P/E Exit ₹48.81 ₹55.76 ₹64.34 72
10Y Revenue Exit ₹115.12 ₹151.18 ₹190.76 68
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹164.48 ₹238.18 ₹322.33 68
10Y P/E Exit ₹91.95 ₹104.66 ₹115.77 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹2.62 ₹4.67 ₹5.75 66
EPV ₹11.95 ₹18.25 ₹23.69 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹17.57 ₹22.53 ₹27.47 69
DDM Multi-Stage ₹17.57 ₹23.57 ₹30.55 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹6.36 ₹8.48 ₹10.60 63
P/S Multiple ₹4.92 ₹6.55 ₹8.19 58
P/B Multiple ₹4.92 ₹6.55 ₹8.19 55
EV/EBIT ₹90.57 ₹130.08 ₹169.59 65
EV/EBITDA ₹205.83 ₹283.77 ₹361.70 67
EV/Revenue ₹51.94 ₹86.18 ₹120.42 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹88.94 ₹119.17 ₹177.87 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹167.77 ₹229.80 ₹330.02 78
Rev-Margin DCF ₹90.77 ₹131.42 ₹182.37 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹117.49 ₹108.24 ₹71.21 76
ROIC Compounder ₹11.95 ₹18.25 ₹23.69 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹4.48 ₹6.41 ₹8.33 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−54.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−54.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2018 to 2023 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 2%

500464 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 657 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −60% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 112.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.8× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.2× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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AutoZone, Inc AZO $2,877 $2,287 −21%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 415,500 KRW 643,909 KRW +55%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥54.01 ¥72.66 +35%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹164.30 ₹85.89 −48%
Magna International Inc MGA $66.13 $68.17 +3%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $133.68 $58.07 −57%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,389 ₹11,534 −76%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥43.10 ¥28.28 −34%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹1,945 ₹393.20 −80%

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Ucal Fuel Systems Limited · Fair Value
₹93.98 −51%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ucal Fuel Systems Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500464

Frequently asked questions

Is Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹93.98 versus a price of ₹141.55, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500464?
Our model-based fair value for Ucal Fuel Systems Limited is ₹93.98 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹141.55.
What is the quality score of 500464?
Ucal Fuel Systems Limited has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹93.98 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹83.33, optimistic scenario ₹93.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ucal Fuel Systems Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹93.98, about −34% upside versus a price of ₹141.55 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹83.33, optimistic scenario ₹93.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464)?
Ucal Fuel Systems Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹6.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ucal Fuel Systems Limited it is ₹93.98 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹141.55. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ucal Fuel Systems Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 500464 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹141.55, fair value ₹93.98, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 500464?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹141.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹93.98). For Ucal Fuel Systems Limited the two are ₹47.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ucal Fuel Systems Limited worth?
The market values Ucal Fuel Systems Limited at about ₹3.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹141.55; our models calculate a fair value of ₹93.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 500464?
Our models span a range for Ucal Fuel Systems Limited: cautious scenario ₹83.33, base ₹93.98, optimistic ₹93.98 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹141.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 500464?
Ucal Fuel Systems Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹93.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: EV/EBITDA 1.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 500464 from its 52-week high?
Ucal Fuel Systems Limited trades at ₹141.55, about 3% below its 52-week high of ₹146.00 and 79% above the low of ₹79.00 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹93.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ucal Fuel Systems Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ucal Fuel Systems Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹141.55, calculated fair value ₹93.98 (−34%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 500464 calculated?
We run Ucal Fuel Systems Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹93.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Ucal Fuel Systems Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Ucal Fuel Systems Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹93.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (₹83.33 to ₹93.98), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464)?
The market capitalisation of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited is ₹3.1B (≈ $32.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited is 0.01 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464)?
Earnings per share at Ucal Fuel Systems Limited are ₹14.94 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464)?
The net margin of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited is 0.1% (fiscal year 2023). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464)?
The operating margin of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ucal Fuel Systems Limited (500464)?
Revenue at Ucal Fuel Systems Limited is growing −60.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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