NOCIL Limited (500730) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹23.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −2.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹121.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹127.11 – ₹324.01 · fair‑value band ₹73.72 – ₹121.30 · the ₹161.45 price screens above the ₹93.31 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
NOCIL Limited (500730) currently trades at ₹161.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹93.31, implying the stock looks roughly 42.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, NOCIL Limited generated revenue of ₹7.4B at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 34.2 (as of Aug 14, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹73.72 (bear case) to ₹121.30 (bull case); at ₹161.45, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -42%, 500730 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹93.31) versus DCF Models (₹35.69). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NOCIL Limited manufactures and sells rubber chemicals in India. The company offers accelerators, anti-degradants, antioxidants, pre vulcanization inhibitors, and post vulcanization stabilizers. It serves tire and other rubber processing industries. The company also exports its products.
Full company description
NOCIL Limited manufactures and sells rubber chemicals in India. The company offers accelerators, anti-degradants, antioxidants, pre vulcanization inhibitors, and post vulcanization stabilizers. It serves tire and other rubber processing industries. The company also exports its products. NOCIL Limited was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NOCIL Limited reported revenue of ₹13.9B in FY2025 versus ₹9.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.0B in FY2025, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2021.
500730 screens 42% overvalued. Compare with BASF India Limited →
Peer Group
Basic Materials · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Chemicals - Major Diversified” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Basic Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals - Major Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF India Limited 500042 | ₹3,990 | ₹1,527 | -62% |
| Rain Industries Limited 500339 | ₹214.05 | ₹21.49 | -90% |
| GHCL Limited 500171 | ₹428.60 | ₹479.96 | +12% |
| Bhansali Engineering Polymers Limited 500052 | ₹120.65 | ₹119.36 | -1% |
| Uniphos Enterprises Limited 500429 | ₹96.00 | ₹164.02 | +71% |
| Diamines and Chemicals Limited 500120 | ₹240.30 | ₹47.45 | -80% |
| Lords Chloro Alkali Limited 500284 | ₹137.75 | ₹41.77 | -70% |
| Ishan Dyes & Chemicals Limited 531109 | ₹50.00 | ₹59.26 | +19% |
| Universal Starch-Chem Allied Limited 524408 | ₹199.60 | ₹26.59 | -87% |
| Laffans Petrochemicals Limited 524522 | ₹28.50 | ₹8.78 | -69% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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