NOCIL Limited (500730) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of NOCIL Limited ₹63.11, price ₹175, upside -64.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹127.11 – ₹324.01 · the ₹175.05 price screens above the ₹63.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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NOCIL Limited manufactures and sells rubber chemicals in India. The company offers accelerators, anti-degradants, antioxidants, pre vulcanization inhibitors, and post vulcanization stabilizers. It serves tire and other rubber processing industries. The company also exports its products.
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NOCIL Limited manufactures and sells rubber chemicals in India. The company offers accelerators, anti-degradants, antioxidants, pre vulcanization inhibitors, and post vulcanization stabilizers. It serves tire and other rubber processing industries. The company also exports its products. NOCIL Limited was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
NOCIL Limited (500730) currently trades at ₹175.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹63.11, implying the stock looks roughly 177.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹93.31 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹175.05 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ₹23.71, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
NOCIL Limited reported revenue of ₹13.9B in FY2025 versus ₹9.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.0B in FY2025, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹29.2B (≈ $305M) · P/E ratio 34.2 · P/S ratio 2.53 · EPS (TTM) ₹4.33 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 7.4% · Return on equity 5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at −64%, 500730 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹63.11Fair Value ₹63.11Bull ₹63.11
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹2.83 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.8% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−3.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 6%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Chemicals - Major Diversified” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Materials · 3590 stocks
Beats the sector median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Above median
Fair Value upside−63.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.9% · Above median
Return on assets3.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Materials median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)34.2× · Pricier than median
P/B1.66× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)3.98× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA26.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)29· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)24· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)17· sector 35
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NOCIL Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500730
Frequently asked questions
Is NOCIL Limited (500730) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹63.11 versus a price of ₹175.05, about −64% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500730?
Our model-based fair value for NOCIL Limited is ₹63.11 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹175.05.
What is the quality score of 500730?
NOCIL Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NOCIL Limited (500730)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹63.11 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NOCIL Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹63.11, about −64% upside versus a price of ₹175.05 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NOCIL Limited (500730)?
NOCIL Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹7.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does NOCIL Limited pay a dividend?
NOCIL Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.86% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of NOCIL Limited (500730)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NOCIL Limited it is ₹63.11 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹175.05. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NOCIL Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 500730 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹175.05, fair value ₹63.11, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 500730?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹175.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹63.11). For NOCIL Limited the two are ₹111.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NOCIL Limited worth?
The market values NOCIL Limited at about ₹29.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹175.05; our models calculate a fair value of ₹63.11 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 500730?
NOCIL Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 34.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹63.11 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 4.0, EV/EBITDA 26.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of NOCIL Limited (500730)?
Balance-sheet figures for NOCIL Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 500730 from its 52-week high?
NOCIL Limited trades at ₹175.05, about 11% below its 52-week high of ₹195.60 and 38% above the low of ₹127.11 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹63.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NOCIL Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Diamines and Chemicals Limited, UNIVSTAR, Lords Chloro Alkali Limited, Ishan Dyes & Chemicals Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NOCIL Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹175.05, calculated fair value ₹63.11 (−64%), Quality Score 49/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 500730 calculated?
We run NOCIL Limited through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹63.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. NOCIL Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NOCIL Limited (500730)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was ₹175.05. Our model-based fair value is ₹63.11, about −64% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NOCIL Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹63.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of NOCIL Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of NOCIL Limited (500730)?
The market capitalisation of NOCIL Limited is ₹29.2B (≈ $305M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NOCIL Limited (500730)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NOCIL Limited is 2.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NOCIL Limited (500730)?
Earnings per share at NOCIL Limited are ₹4.33 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 34.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NOCIL Limited (500730)?
The dividend yield of NOCIL Limited is 0.9% (payout 34.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NOCIL Limited (500730)?
The net margin of NOCIL Limited is 7.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NOCIL Limited (500730)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NOCIL Limited is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NOCIL Limited (500730)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NOCIL Limited is 8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NOCIL Limited (500730)?
The operating margin of NOCIL Limited is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NOCIL Limited (500730)?
Revenue at NOCIL Limited is growing +5.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NOCIL Limited (500730)?
Earnings per share at NOCIL Limited are growing −69.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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