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Modi Rubber Limited (500890) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Modi Rubber Limited ₹58.09, price ₹120, upside -51.6%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Modi Rubber Limited
500890 · BSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ₹58.09 · Strongly overvalued (−51.6%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.9 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 15.1% net margin (FY2026)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹51.65 – ₹200.90 · fair‑value band ₹38.34 – ₹72.61 · the ₹120.00 price screens above the ₹58.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Modi Rubber Limited provides automobile tires, tubes, and flaps in India. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Modi Rubber Limited (500890) currently trades at ₹120.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹58.09, 51.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 10 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ₹38.34 (bear) to ₹72.61 (bull), the price of ₹120.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Modi Rubber Limited reported revenue of ₹42.4M in FY2026 versus ₹51.3M in FY2022, a compound −4.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.4M in FY2026, compounding −60.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹714M (≈ $7.4M) · EPS (TTM) ₹−2.54 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 15.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.3% · Free cash flow −₹238M · Net debt ₹94.7M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −52%, 500890 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹38.34
Fair Value ₹58.09
Bull ₹72.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
₹742.83
₹670.08
₹629.59
71
P/S Multiple
₹13.71
₹18.29
₹22.86
58
P/B Multiple
₹13.71
₹18.29
₹22.86
55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple
₹13.71
₹18.29
₹22.86
58
P/B Multiple
₹13.71
₹18.29
₹22.86
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹567.94
₹761.04
₹1,136
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹742.83
₹670.08
₹629.59
71
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
46/100
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Profitability
20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
4
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−85.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −30.0% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−45.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−46.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−46.9% vs −30.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−713% → −714%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 530 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 232,000 VND | 25,731 VND | −89% |
| CBRE Group CBRE | $134.55 | $91.06 | −32% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$42.92 | HK$17.16 | −60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$24.32 | HK$13.39 | −45% |
| Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX | €23.99 | €23.94 | +0% |
| Vonovia SE VNA | €16.82 | €36.55 | +117% |
| Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL | $308.07 | $540.65 | +75% |
| Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 | HK$30.54 | HK$27.42 | −10% |
| CoStar Group CSGP | $26.95 | $6.19 | −77% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$37.00 | HK$56.36 | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Modi Rubber Limited (500890) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹58.09 versus a price of ₹120.00, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500890?
Our model-based fair value for Modi Rubber Limited is ₹58.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹120.00.
What is the quality score of 500890?
Modi Rubber Limited has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Modi Rubber Limited (500890)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹58.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹38.34, optimistic scenario ₹72.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Modi Rubber Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹58.09, about −52% upside versus a price of ₹120.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹38.34, optimistic scenario ₹72.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Modi Rubber Limited pay a dividend?
Modi Rubber Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.90% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Modi Rubber Limited (500890)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Modi Rubber Limited it is ₹58.09 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹120.00. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Modi Rubber Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 500890 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹120.00, fair value ₹58.09, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 500890?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹120.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹58.09). For Modi Rubber Limited the two are ₹61.91 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Modi Rubber Limited worth?
The market values Modi Rubber Limited at about ₹714M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹120.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹58.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 500890?
Our models span a range for Modi Rubber Limited: cautious scenario ₹38.34, base ₹58.09, optimistic ₹72.61 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹120.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Modi Rubber Limited (500890)?
Balance-sheet figures for Modi Rubber Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 500890 from its 52-week high?
Modi Rubber Limited trades at ₹120.00, about 28% below its 52-week high of ₹167.65 and 17% above the low of ₹103.00 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹58.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Modi Rubber Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Modi Rubber Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹120.00, calculated fair value ₹58.09 (−52%), Quality Score 46/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 500890 calculated?
We run Modi Rubber Limited through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹58.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Modi Rubber Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Modi Rubber Limited (500890)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ₹120.00. Our model-based fair value is ₹58.09, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Modi Rubber Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹72.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹38.34 to ₹72.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Modi Rubber Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Modi Rubber Limited (500890)?
The market capitalisation of Modi Rubber Limited is ₹714M (≈ $7.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Modi Rubber Limited (500890)?
Earnings per share at Modi Rubber Limited are ₹−2.54. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Modi Rubber Limited (500890)?
The dividend yield of Modi Rubber Limited is 1.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Modi Rubber Limited (500890)?
The net margin of Modi Rubber Limited is 15.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Modi Rubber Limited (500890)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Modi Rubber Limited is −3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Modi Rubber Limited (500890) generate?
The free cash flow of Modi Rubber Limited is −₹238M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Modi Rubber Limited (500890) carry?
The net debt of Modi Rubber Limited is ₹94.7M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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