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OFCO Industrial (5011) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of OFCO Industrial TWD 2.21, price TWD 18.30, upside -87.9%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · TW · ISIN TW0005011001

OI Thin data Sep 24, 2026

OFCO Industrial

5011 · TWO

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 2.21 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−88%)
!Quality 42/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +22.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/10)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 21 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

37.64 TWD 9.81 TWD Fair Value 2.21 TWD May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9.81 TWD – 37.64 TWD · fair‑value band 1.35 TWD – 2.82 TWD · the 18.30 TWD price screens above the 2.21 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

OFCO Industrial Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of screws and related products in Taiwan. It is also involved in manufacturing and trading of metal heat treatment contracts. OFCO Industrial Corporation was formerly known as Oriental Fastener Industry LTD. and changed its name to OFCO Industrial Corporation in January 2004.

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OFCO Industrial Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of screws and related products in Taiwan. It is also involved in manufacturing and trading of metal heat treatment contracts. OFCO Industrial Corporation was formerly known as Oriental Fastener Industry LTD. and changed its name to OFCO Industrial Corporation in January 2004. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

OFCO Industrial (5011) currently trades at 18.30 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.21 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 727.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 13.26 TWD per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 18.30 TWD price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 2.21 TWD, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.35 TWD (bear) to 2.82 TWD (bull), the price of 18.30 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

OFCO Industrial reported revenue of 5.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −162M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.8B TWD (≈ $58.0M) · P/S ratio 0.43 · EPS (TTM) −0.3800 TWD · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin −3.2% · Return on equity −8.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% · Operating margin 1.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −88%, 5011 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.35 TWD Fair Value 2.21 TWD Bull 2.82 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 1.39 TWD 2.33 TWD 3.03 TWD 68
DDM Multi-Stage 1.39 TWD 2.21 TWD 2.51 TWD 67
NCAV (Graham) 9.90 TWD 13.26 TWD 19.79 TWD 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.39 TWD 2.33 TWD 3.03 TWD 68
DDM Multi-Stage 1.39 TWD 2.21 TWD 2.51 TWD 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.90 TWD 13.26 TWD 19.79 TWD 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.3% (2020) → −7.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

5011 screens 728% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 124 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −24% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.33× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)21 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Techtronic Industries Company 0669 HK$129.50 HK$142.45 +10%
Snap-on Incorporated SNA $370.25 $350.24 −5%
RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC $500.26 $381.82 −24%
Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO $265.40 $158.11 −40%
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $91.76 $60.49 −34%
The Timken Company TKR $115.52 $70.78 −39%
The Toro Company TTC $96.58 $69.71 −28%
SFS Group SFSN CHF 138.60 CHF 118.30 −15%
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥28.10 ¥30.38 +8%
Shenzhen Vital New Material Co 301319 ¥97.96 ¥49.70 −49%

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OFCO Industrial · Fair Value
2.21 TWD −728%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OFCO Industrial Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5011

Frequently asked questions

Is OFCO Industrial (5011) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.21 TWD versus a price of 18.30 TWD, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5011?
Our model-based fair value for OFCO Industrial is 2.21 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 18.30 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5011?
OFCO Industrial has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OFCO Industrial (5011)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.21 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.35 TWD, optimistic scenario 2.82 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OFCO Industrial stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.21 TWD, about −88% upside versus a price of 18.30 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.35 TWD, optimistic scenario 2.82 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
OFCO Industrial reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does OFCO Industrial pay a dividend?
OFCO Industrial currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OFCO Industrial it is 2.21 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 18.30 TWD. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OFCO Industrial stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5011 trades above its calculated fair value: price 18.30 TWD, fair value 2.21 TWD, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5011?
No. The price is what the market pays today (18.30 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.21 TWD). For OFCO Industrial the two are 16.09 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OFCO Industrial worth?
The market values OFCO Industrial at about 1.8B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 18.30 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 2.21 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5011?
Our models span a range for OFCO Industrial: cautious scenario 1.35 TWD, base 2.21 TWD, optimistic 2.82 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 18.30 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
Balance-sheet figures for OFCO Industrial (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −8.8%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5011 from its 52-week high?
OFCO Industrial trades at 18.30 TWD, about 31% below its 52-week high of 26.70 TWD and 87% above the low of 9.81 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.21 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OFCO Industrial?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, RBC Bearings Incorporated, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OFCO Industrial stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 18.30 TWD, calculated fair value 2.21 TWD (−88%), Quality Score 42/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5011 calculated?
We run OFCO Industrial through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.21 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. OFCO Industrial itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 18.30 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 2.21 TWD, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OFCO Industrial right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.82 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (1.35 TWD to 2.82 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of OFCO Industrial

How large is the market capitalisation of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The market capitalisation of OFCO Industrial is 1.8B TWD (≈ $58.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OFCO Industrial is 0.43 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
Earnings per share at OFCO Industrial are −0.3800 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The dividend yield of OFCO Industrial is 1.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The net margin of OFCO Industrial is −3.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OFCO Industrial is −8.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OFCO Industrial is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The operating margin of OFCO Industrial is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OFCO Industrial (5011)?
Revenue at OFCO Industrial is growing −23.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OFCO Industrial (5011)?
Earnings per share at OFCO Industrial are growing +990% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does OFCO Industrial (5011) generate?
The free cash flow of OFCO Industrial is −93.7M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does OFCO Industrial (5011) carry?
The net debt of OFCO Industrial is 1.3B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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