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Data-driven stock valuation

OFCO Industrial (5011) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of OFCO Industrial stock TWD 13.26, price TWD 16.75, that is 20.8% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials TW · ISIN TW0005011001

OI OFCO Industrial logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

OFCO Industrial

5011 · TWO
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 21% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +22.6 %/yr in TWD)
Revenue last quarter 24% below a year ago.
Fair value 13.26 TWD · Overvalued
Quality 39/100
Loss-making · -0.8% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 16/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

37.64 TWD 9.81 TWD Fair Value 13.26 TWD Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9.81 TWD – 37.64 TWD · fair‑value band 9.90 TWD – 19.79 TWD · the 16.75 TWD price screens above the 13.26 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

OFCO Industrial Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of screws and related products in Taiwan. It is also involved in manufacturing and trading of metal heat treatment contracts.

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OFCO Industrial Corporation was formerly known as Oriental Fastener Industry LTD. and changed its name to OFCO Industrial Corporation in January 2004. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

OFCO Industrial (5011) currently trades at 16.75 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.26 TWD, 21% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 9.90 TWD (bear) to 19.79 TWD (bull), the price of 16.75 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

OFCO Industrial reported revenue of 5.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −162M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.7B TWD (≈ $52.3M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.45 · EPS (TTM) −0.3900 TWD · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin −0.8% · Return on equity −8.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −21%, 5011 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 9.90 TWD Fair Value 13.26 TWD Bull 19.79 TWD
Price 16.75 TWD · Downside -20.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) 9.90 TWD 13.26 TWD 19.79 TWD 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.90 TWD 13.26 TWD 19.79 TWD 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 16
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 10
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 34
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 82
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 40
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 65
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 65
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 78
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.3% (2020) → −7.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

5011 screens overvalued: fair value 21% below the price. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 128 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −20.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −3.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −0.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 1.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −23.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.33× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.86× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.38× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)6 · sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 58
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)20 · sector 41

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥29.88 ¥33.85 +13% vs 5011
Techtronic Industries Company 0669 HK$142.60 HK$156.86 +10% vs 5011
Snap-on Incorporated SNA $367.22 $353.47 −4% vs 5011
SFS Group SFSN CHF 140.40 CHF 118.30 −16% vs 5011
RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC $474.45 $381.54 −20% vs 5011
The Timken Company TKR $102.03 $72.31 −29% vs 5011
The Toro Company TTC $104.84 $70.12 −33% vs 5011
Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO $275.35 $159.78 −42% vs 5011
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $114.85 $63.24 −45% vs 5011
Kinik Company 1560 735.00 TWD 125.92 TWD −83% vs 5011

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OFCO Industrial: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OFCO Industrial Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5011

Frequently asked questions

Is OFCO Industrial (5011) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.26 TWD versus a price of 16.75 TWD, about 21% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5011?
Our model-based fair value for OFCO Industrial is 13.26 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 16.75 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5011?
OFCO Industrial has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OFCO Industrial (5011)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.26 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.90 TWD, optimistic scenario 19.79 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OFCO Industrial stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.26 TWD, about 21% lower versus a price of 16.75 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.90 TWD, optimistic scenario 19.79 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
OFCO Industrial reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does OFCO Industrial pay a dividend?
OFCO Industrial currently shows a dividend yield of 0.98% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
OFCO Industrial has a dividend yield of 1.0%.
What is the intrinsic value of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OFCO Industrial it is 13.26 TWD per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of 16.75 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is OFCO Industrial stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, 5011 trades above its calculated fair value: price 16.75 TWD, fair value 13.26 TWD, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5011?
No. The price is what the market pays today (16.75 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.26 TWD). For OFCO Industrial the two are 3.49 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OFCO Industrial worth?
The market values OFCO Industrial at about 1.7B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is 16.75 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 13.26 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5011?
Our models span a range for OFCO Industrial: cautious scenario 9.90 TWD, base 13.26 TWD, optimistic 19.79 TWD per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price 16.75 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
Balance-sheet figures for OFCO Industrial (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −8.8%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5011 from its 52-week high?
OFCO Industrial trades at 16.75 TWD, about 37% below its 52-week high of 26.70 TWD and 71% above the low of 9.81 TWD (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.26 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OFCO Industrial?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OFCO Industrial stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price 16.75 TWD, calculated fair value 13.26 TWD (−21%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5011 calculated?
We run OFCO Industrial through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 13.26 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. OFCO Industrial itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 16.75 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 13.26 TWD, about 21% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OFCO Industrial right now?
Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (9.90 TWD to 19.79 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of OFCO Industrial

How large is the market capitalisation of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The market capitalisation of OFCO Industrial is 1.7B TWD (≈ $52.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OFCO Industrial is 0.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
Earnings per share at OFCO Industrial are −0.3900 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The dividend yield of OFCO Industrial is 1.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The net margin of OFCO Industrial is −0.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OFCO Industrial is −8.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OFCO Industrial is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OFCO Industrial (5011)?
The operating margin of OFCO Industrial is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OFCO Industrial (5011)?
Revenue at OFCO Industrial is growing −23.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OFCO Industrial (5011)?
Earnings per share at OFCO Industrial are growing +990% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does OFCO Industrial (5011) generate?
The free cash flow of OFCO Industrial is −93.7M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does OFCO Industrial (5011) carry?
The net debt of OFCO Industrial is 1.3B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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