OFCO Industrial Corporation (5011) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TW · Market cap 2.0B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 3.13 TWD to 3.80 TWD (+21.4%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −19.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6.01 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (1.83 TWD to 6.01 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9.81 TWD – 37.64 TWD · fair‑value band 1.83 TWD – 6.01 TWD · the 18.50 TWD price screens above the 3.80 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
OFCO Industrial Corporation (5011) currently trades at 18.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.80 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 79.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, OFCO Industrial Corporation generated revenue of 4.8B TWD at a net margin of -1.7%. Revenue declined 16.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.7%. Net debt stands at 1.3B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.83 TWD (bear case) to 6.01 TWD (bull case); at 18.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -79%, 5011 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (13.26 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (3.02 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
OFCO Industrial Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of screws and related products in Taiwan. It is also involved in manufacturing and trading of metal heat treatment contracts. OFCO Industrial Corporation was formerly known as Oriental Fastener Industry LTD. and changed its name to OFCO Industrial Corporation in January 2004.
Full company description
OFCO Industrial Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of screws and related products in Taiwan. It is also involved in manufacturing and trading of metal heat treatment contracts. OFCO Industrial Corporation was formerly known as Oriental Fastener Industry LTD. and changed its name to OFCO Industrial Corporation in January 2004. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OFCO Industrial Corporation reported revenue of 5.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −162M TWD in FY2025.
5011 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$129.60 | HK$81.05 | -37% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $410.99 | $350.46 | -15% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $595.49 | $184.29 | -69% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $252.58 | $154.80 | -39% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $88.22 | $54.24 | -39% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 258.90 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $139.47 | $66.33 | -52% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $94.42 | $69.71 | -26% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 140.00 | CHF 118.30 | -16% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥29.33 | ¥35.72 | +22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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