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Rodex Fasteners (5015) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 1.3B TWD (≈ $42.3M) · ISIN TW0005015002

What is Rodex Fasteners really worth?

RF Rodex Fasteners 5015 · TWO
Price22.05 TWD
Fair Value10.16 TWD
Upside−53.9%
Quality58/100

A solid business, but trading 117% above our fair value of 10.16 TWD.

As of Aug 29, 2026, the fair value of Rodex Fasteners is 10.16 TWD per share against a price of 22.05 TWD, so the fair value sits 54% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.2% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·2.27% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range 6.71 TWD – 10.16 TWD

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +4.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10.16 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

66.93 TWD 21.00 TWD Fair Value 10.16 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 21.00 TWD – 66.93 TWD · fair‑value band 6.71 TWD – 10.16 TWD · the 22.05 TWD price screens above the 10.16 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Rodex Fasteners (5015) currently trades at 22.05 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.16 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 117.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 32.74 TWD per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the 22.05 TWD price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 1.18 TWD, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Rodex Fasteners generated revenue of 1.4B TWD at a net margin of −0.8%. Revenue declined 31.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −0.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 351M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 6.71 TWD (bear case) to 10.16 TWD (bull case); at 22.05 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −54%, 5015 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence 33.40 TWD 37.86 TWD 45.33 TWD 82
Growth DCF 33.88 TWD 38.10 TWD 44.64 TWD 80
Owner Earnings 20.87 TWD 21.52 TWD 22.61 TWD 78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence 33.40 TWD 37.86 TWD 45.33 TWD 82
Owner Earnings 20.87 TWD 21.52 TWD 22.61 TWD 78
5Y Revenue Exit 29.07 TWD 32.35 TWD 37.09 TWD 74
5Y EBITDA Exit 32.06 TWD 37.51 TWD 44.74 TWD 77
5Y P/E Exit 25.60 TWD 26.34 TWD 27.29 TWD 72
10Y Revenue Exit 30.74 TWD 33.19 TWD 35.68 TWD 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 32.56 TWD 36.10 TWD 39.78 TWD 70
10Y P/E Exit 28.98 TWD 29.80 TWD 30.43 TWD 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.3800 TWD 0.4700 TWD 0.5300 TWD 67
EPV 22.07 TWD 22.52 TWD 22.90 TWD 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 17.87 TWD 19.26 TWD 21.34 TWD 69
DDM Multi-Stage 17.87 TWD 21.27 TWD 25.66 TWD 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.8900 TWD 1.18 TWD 1.48 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 0.7200 TWD 0.9600 TWD 1.19 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 0.7200 TWD 0.9600 TWD 1.19 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 29.35 TWD 32.88 TWD 36.42 TWD 66
EV/EBITDA 33.06 TWD 37.83 TWD 42.60 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 26.31 TWD 29.55 TWD 32.80 TWD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10.17 TWD 13.63 TWD 20.34 TWD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 33.88 TWD 38.10 TWD 44.64 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 29.07 TWD 32.74 TWD 37.38 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 12.86 TWD 11.71 TWD 7.21 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 22.07 TWD 22.63 TWD 23.16 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.6300 TWD 0.8900 TWD 1.16 TWD 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (32.74 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (0.4700 TWD). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 397.5 as of Jun 13, 2026
P/S ratio 0.91 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) −0.1800 TWD price ÷ EPS = P/E 397.5
Dividend yield 2.3%
Net margin 0.2% FY2025
Return on equity 7.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 6.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.3B TWD TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −21.9% 3y avg −18.4%
EPS growth (YoY) −48.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 110M TWD FY2025
Net cash 351M TWD FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Rodex Fasteners Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of stainless wire and precision-made screws worldwide. It operates through Wire and Screw segments.

Full company description

Rodex Fasteners Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of stainless wire and precision-made screws worldwide. It operates through Wire and Screw segments. The company offers chipboard, machine, self-drilling, socket cap, security, special, and JIS screws, as well as stainless steel thread cutting, triangular thread, wood, high-low thread, coarse thread, drywall, and electronic screws; blind rivets; washer assemblies of sems; screws for automatic line; and hexagon and hexagon nylon lock nuts. It also invests in production business, as well as manufactures, trades in, imports, and exports screws and bolts. Rodex Fasteners Corp. was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Zhonglì, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rodex Fasteners reported revenue of 1.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound −11.6%/yr. Reported net income was 3.4M TWD in FY2025, compounding −65.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B TWD
Latest YoY
−5.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in TWD) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−50.4% · in TWD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−52.7%
Dividend yield2.3%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6.8% (2020) → 3.4% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop98% (2025) · in TWD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.5%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue −11.6%/yr
FY21 2.4B TWD
FY22 2.7B TWD
FY23 1.5B TWD
FY24 1.6B TWD
FY25 1.5B TWD
Net income −65.8%/yr
FY21 249M TWD
FY22 574M TWD
FY23 81.3M TWD
FY24 152M TWD
FY25 3.4M TWD

5015 screens 117% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →

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Rodex Fasteners · Fair Value
10.16 TWD −117%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rodex Fasteners Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5015.TWO

Peer Group

Tools & Accessories · 122 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Below median
Fair Value upside −54% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth −22% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 397.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 4
FUTURE0 · sector 16
PAST32 · sector 28
HEALTH100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND45 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Techtronic Industries Company 0669 HK$138.50 HK$78.56 −43%
Snap-on Incorporated SNA $391.86 $344.67 −12%
RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC $488.69 $179.94 −63%
Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO $284.90 $151.86 −47%
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $99.24 $52.80 −47%
AB SKF (publ) SKFB kr 275.40 kr 180.34 −35%
The Timken Company TKR $130.25 $64.85 −50%
The Toro Company TTC $92.37 $69.71 −25%
SFS Group SFSN CHF 131.40 CHF 118.30 −10%
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥30.51 ¥30.38 +0%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rodex Fasteners (5015) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.16 TWD versus a price of 22.05 TWD, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5015?
Our model-based fair value for Rodex Fasteners is 10.16 TWD (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 22.05 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5015?
Rodex Fasteners has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10.16 TWD (as of Aug 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.71 TWD, optimistic scenario 10.16 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rodex Fasteners stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10.16 TWD, about −54% upside versus a price of 22.05 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.71 TWD, optimistic scenario 10.16 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
Rodex Fasteners reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5015?
The net profit margin of Rodex Fasteners is about −0.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Rodex Fasteners pay a dividend?
Rodex Fasteners currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.27% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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