Rodex Fasteners (5015) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Rodex Fasteners stock TWD 16.60, price TWD 21.25, that is 21.9% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 21.00 TWD – 66.93 TWD · fair‑value band 13.36 TWD – 19.85 TWD · the 21.25 TWD price screens above the 16.60 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Rodex Fasteners Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of stainless wire and precision-made screws worldwide. It operates through Wire and Screw segments.
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The company offers chipboard, machine, self-drilling, socket cap, security, special, and JIS screws, as well as stainless steel thread cutting, triangular thread, wood, high-low thread, coarse thread, drywall, and electronic screws; blind rivets; washer assemblies of sems; screws for automatic line; and hexagon and hexagon nylon lock nuts.
It also invests in production business, as well as manufactures, trades in, imports, and exports screws and bolts. Rodex Fasteners Corp. was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Zhonglì, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Rodex Fasteners (5015) currently trades at 21.25 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.60 TWD, 22% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 40.38 TWD per share, and 16 of the 24 models we run sit above the 21.25 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 10.16 TWD, and 8 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 13.36 TWD (bear) to 19.85 TWD (bull), the price of 21.25 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Rodex Fasteners reported revenue of 1.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound −11.6%/yr. Reported net income was 3.4M TWD in FY2025, compounding −65.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.3B TWD (≈ $39.2M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.05 · EPS (TTM) −0.2000 TWD · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 0.2% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 6.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −22%, 5015 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear13.36 TWDFair Value 16.60 TWDBull19.85 TWD
Price 21.25 TWD · Downside -21.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−50.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−52.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 3%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.5%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.9%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 128 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Below median
Fair Value upside−21.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.9% · Above median
Return on assets0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)7.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)6.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−21.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.4% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.02× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)11.8× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rodex Fasteners Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5015
Frequently asked questions
Is Rodex Fasteners (5015) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.60 TWD versus a price of 21.25 TWD, about 22% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5015?
Our model-based fair value for Rodex Fasteners is 16.60 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 21.25 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5015?
Rodex Fasteners has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16.60 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13.36 TWD, optimistic scenario 19.85 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rodex Fasteners stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16.60 TWD, about 22% lower versus a price of 21.25 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 13.36 TWD, optimistic scenario 19.85 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
Rodex Fasteners reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Rodex Fasteners pay a dividend?
Rodex Fasteners currently shows a dividend yield of 2.35% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Rodex Fasteners (5015) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Rodex Fasteners pays a dividend of 0.5 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 7, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2008. Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.61 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Rodex Fasteners would have to grow free cash flow by -0.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -7.0 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5015 use?
Our models discount Rodex Fasteners at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.33, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Rodex Fasteners that is -0.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Rodex Fasteners (5015) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Rodex Fasteners grew -7.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -0.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Rodex Fasteners (5015) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Rodex Fasteners (-0.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.50 %: that much free cash flow Rodex Fasteners produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rodex Fasteners it is 16.60 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 21.25 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Rodex Fasteners stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 5015 trades above its calculated fair value: price 21.25 TWD, fair value 16.60 TWD, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5015?
No. The price is what the market pays today (21.25 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16.60 TWD). For Rodex Fasteners the two are 4.65 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Rodex Fasteners worth?
The market values Rodex Fasteners at about 1.3B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 21.25 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 16.60 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5015?
Our models span a range for Rodex Fasteners: cautious scenario 13.36 TWD, base 16.60 TWD, optimistic 19.85 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 21.25 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
Balance-sheet figures for Rodex Fasteners (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 7.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5015 from its 52-week high?
Rodex Fasteners trades at 21.25 TWD, about 29% below its 52-week high of 30.05 TWD and 1% above the low of 21.00 TWD (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16.60 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Rodex Fasteners?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Rodex Fasteners stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 21.25 TWD, calculated fair value 16.60 TWD (−22%), Quality Score 55/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5015 calculated?
We run Rodex Fasteners through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 16.60 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Rodex Fasteners itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 21.25 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 16.60 TWD, about 22% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Rodex Fasteners right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (19.85 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Rodex Fasteners
How large is the market capitalisation of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
The market capitalisation of Rodex Fasteners is 1.3B TWD (≈ $39.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Rodex Fasteners is 1.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
Earnings per share at Rodex Fasteners are −0.2000 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
The dividend yield of Rodex Fasteners is 2.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
The net margin of Rodex Fasteners is 0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Rodex Fasteners is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rodex Fasteners is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
The operating margin of Rodex Fasteners is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
Revenue at Rodex Fasteners is growing −21.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Rodex Fasteners (5015)?
Earnings per share at Rodex Fasteners are growing −48.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Rodex Fasteners (5015) hold?
Rodex Fasteners holds more cash than debt, 351M TWD net (fiscal year 2022). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026