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BLD Plantation Bhd (5069) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of BLD Plantation Bhd MYR 11.58, price MYR 15.00, upside -22.8%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · MY · ISIN MYL5069OO009

BP Some data Sep 23, 2026

BLD Plantation Bhd

5069 · KLSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value 11.58 MYR · Overvalued (−23%)
✓Quality 69/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.6 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -2.9% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 2.3%
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 20/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 3 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

16.50 MYR 4.71 MYR Fair Value 11.58 MYR Jun 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4.71 MYR – 16.50 MYR · fair‑value band 8.69 MYR – 14.48 MYR · the 15.00 MYR price screens above the 11.58 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

BLD Plantation Bhd., an investment holding company, engages in the palm oil business in China, India, Malaysia, and internationally. The company is involved in the cultivation of oil palms; operation of a palm oil refinery and kernel crushing plant; and processing of fresh fruit bunches, and sale of related products.

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BLD Plantation Bhd., an investment holding company, engages in the palm oil business in China, India, Malaysia, and internationally. The company is involved in the cultivation of oil palms; operation of a palm oil refinery and kernel crushing plant; and processing of fresh fruit bunches, and sale of related products. It also engages in letting of property; and provision of management and security services. In addition, the company is involved in cattle farming and goat rearing, compost, and stone quarrying. BLD Plantation Bhd. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Kuching, Malaysia.

Stock analysis

BLD Plantation Bhd (5069) currently trades at 15.00 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.58 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 29.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 24.63 MYR per share, and 13 of the 24 models we run sit above the 15.00 MYR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 6.88 MYR, and 11 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 8.69 MYR (bear) to 14.48 MYR (bull), the price of 15.00 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

BLD Plantation Bhd reported revenue of 2.1B MYR in FY2025 versus 2.5B MYR in FY2021, a compound −4.9%/yr. Reported net income was 46.4M MYR in FY2025, compounding −12.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.4B MYR (≈ $344M) · P/E ratio 30.0 · P/S ratio 0.68 · EPS (TTM) 0.5000 MYR · Net margin 2.3% · Return on equity −9.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% · Operating margin −2.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −23%, 5069 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 8.69 MYR Fair Value 11.58 MYR Bull 14.48 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.3671 MYR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 25.78 MYR 31.82 MYR 40.98 MYR 82
Growth DCF 26.27 MYR 31.96 MYR 40.05 MYR 80
Owner Earnings 13.39 MYR 15.85 MYR 19.58 MYR 78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 25.78 MYR 31.82 MYR 40.98 MYR 82
Owner Earnings 13.39 MYR 15.85 MYR 19.58 MYR 78
5Y Revenue Exit 18.10 MYR 21.78 MYR 26.70 MYR 74
5Y EBITDA Exit 21.56 MYR 27.73 MYR 35.30 MYR 77
5Y P/E Exit 18.09 MYR 21.76 MYR 25.83 MYR 72
10Y Revenue Exit 21.08 MYR 24.65 MYR 28.52 MYR 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 23.22 MYR 28.26 MYR 33.86 MYR 70
10Y P/E Exit 21.26 MYR 24.63 MYR 27.98 MYR 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3.75 MYR 6.96 MYR 8.63 MYR 66
EPV 10.86 MYR 11.67 MYR 12.36 MYR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.2600 MYR 0.3300 MYR 0.4000 MYR 69
DDM Multi-Stage 0.2600 MYR 0.3400 MYR 0.4200 MYR 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 8.69 MYR 11.58 MYR 14.48 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 7.03 MYR 9.38 MYR 11.72 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 7.03 MYR 9.38 MYR 11.72 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 16.27 MYR 20.07 MYR 23.87 MYR 66
EV/EBITDA 20.54 MYR 25.77 MYR 31.00 MYR 67
EV/Revenue 13.01 MYR 16.49 MYR 19.98 MYR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.14 MYR 6.88 MYR 10.27 MYR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 26.27 MYR 31.96 MYR 40.05 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 18.10 MYR 22.25 MYR 27.32 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 7.42 MYR 7.30 MYR 6.52 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 10.90 MYR 11.86 MYR 12.80 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 6.18 MYR 8.83 MYR 11.48 MYR 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−6.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−7% vs 8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 4%
2025 sits 53% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.7%/yr over ~7Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.8% a year for the price.

5069 screens 30% overvalued. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 296 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −23% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 21% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.40× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.7× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)3 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $82.15 $38.02 −54%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥41.86 ¥114.67 +174%
Bunge Global SA BG $111.48 $56.19 −50%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $51.36 $37.28 −27%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.90 ¥12.08 −19%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 196.70 kr 280.64 +43%
SalMar ASA SALM kr 561.00 kr 171.05 −70%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥163.80 ¥311.94 +90%
United Plantations Berhad 2089 33.20 MYR 36.52 MYR +10%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.10 THB 55.71 THB +152%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BLD Plantation Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5069

Frequently asked questions

Is BLD Plantation Bhd (5069) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11.58 MYR versus a price of 15.00 MYR, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5069?
Our model-based fair value for BLD Plantation Bhd is 11.58 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 15.00 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5069?
BLD Plantation Bhd has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11.58 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.69 MYR, optimistic scenario 14.48 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BLD Plantation Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11.58 MYR, about −23% upside versus a price of 15.00 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 8.69 MYR, optimistic scenario 14.48 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
BLD Plantation Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, BLD Plantation Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by -9.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5069 use?
Our models discount BLD Plantation Bhd at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.14, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For BLD Plantation Bhd that is -9.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has BLD Plantation Bhd (5069) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at BLD Plantation Bhd grew +1.6 % a year. The price currently implies -9.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of BLD Plantation Bhd (5069) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into BLD Plantation Bhd (-9.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.46 %: that much free cash flow BLD Plantation Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BLD Plantation Bhd it is 11.58 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 15.00 MYR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BLD Plantation Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 5069 trades above its calculated fair value: price 15.00 MYR, fair value 11.58 MYR, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5069?
No. The price is what the market pays today (15.00 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (11.58 MYR). For BLD Plantation Bhd the two are 3.42 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BLD Plantation Bhd worth?
The market values BLD Plantation Bhd at about 1.4B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 15.00 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 11.58 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5069?
Our models span a range for BLD Plantation Bhd: cautious scenario 8.69 MYR, base 11.58 MYR, optimistic 14.48 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 15.00 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5069?
BLD Plantation Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 11.58 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
Balance-sheet figures for BLD Plantation Bhd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −9.1%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5069 from its 52-week high?
BLD Plantation Bhd trades at 15.00 MYR, about 9% below its 52-week high of 16.50 MYR and 39% above the low of 10.76 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 11.58 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BLD Plantation Bhd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BLD Plantation Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 15.00 MYR, calculated fair value 11.58 MYR (−23%), Quality Score 69/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5069 calculated?
We run BLD Plantation Bhd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 11.58 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. BLD Plantation Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 15.00 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 11.58 MYR, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BLD Plantation Bhd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (14.48 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of BLD Plantation Bhd

How large is the market capitalisation of BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
The market capitalisation of BLD Plantation Bhd is 1.4B MYR (≈ $344M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BLD Plantation Bhd is 0.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
Earnings per share at BLD Plantation Bhd are 0.5000 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
The net margin of BLD Plantation Bhd is 2.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BLD Plantation Bhd is −9.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BLD Plantation Bhd is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
The operating margin of BLD Plantation Bhd is −2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
Revenue at BLD Plantation Bhd is growing +20.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BLD Plantation Bhd (5069)?
Earnings per share at BLD Plantation Bhd are growing −76.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does BLD Plantation Bhd (5069) carry?
The net debt of BLD Plantation Bhd is 98.8M MYR (fiscal year 2021, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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