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HEG Limited (509631) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · IN · Market cap ₹27.4B

HL HEG Limited 509631 · BSE
Price₹739.30
Fair Value₹693.39
Upside-6.2%
Quality47/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -10.3% net margin
Low debt
10.44% dividend yield
Narrow moat 19/100
Evidence: High Range ₹504.02 – ₹719.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +26.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹719.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹739.30 ₹167.40 Fair Value ₹693.39 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹167.40 – ₹739.30 · fair‑value band ₹504.02 – ₹719.19 · the ₹739.30 price screens above the ₹693.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

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Analysis

HEG Limited (509631) currently trades at ₹739.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹693.39, implying the stock looks roughly 6.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, HEG Limited generated revenue of ₹15.7B at a net margin of -10.3%. Revenue declined 71.4% year over year. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 3.4 (as of Aug 15, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹504.02 (bear case) to ₹719.19 (bull case); at ₹739.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -6%, 509631 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹301.57 ₹445.41 ₹651.61 80
Residual Income ₹832.61 ₹812.28 ₹676.94 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹307.57 ₹494.42 ₹708.90 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹296.56 ₹459.07 ₹707.15 38
Owner Earnings ₹397.61 ₹616.46 ₹950.54 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹307.57 ₹494.77 ₹733.80 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹791.89 ₹1,401 ₹2,119 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹469.72 ₹798.17 ₹1,144 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹290.97 ₹461.04 ₹689.52 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹609.61 ₹1,090 ₹1,747 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹404.21 ₹671.72 ₹1,003 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹202.71 ₹631.35 ₹839.73 54
Lynch FV ₹137.31 ₹196.15 ₹255.00 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹137.31 ₹196.15 ₹255.00 46
EPV ₹309.66 ₹360.43 ₹404.85 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹207.57 ₹431.57 ₹684.65 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹207.57 ₹343.34 ₹452.95 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹626.02 ₹834.70 ₹1,043 63
P/S Multiple ₹380.08 ₹506.78 ₹633.47 58
P/B Multiple ₹380.08 ₹506.78 ₹633.47 55
EV/EBIT ₹644.74 ₹857.96 ₹1,071 53
EV/EBITDA ₹1,186 ₹1,580 ₹1,974 54
EV/Revenue ₹328.45 ₹467.04 ₹605.64 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹576.98 ₹773.15 ₹1,154 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹301.57 ₹445.41 ₹651.61 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹307.57 ₹494.42 ₹708.90 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹832.61 ₹812.28 ₹676.94 76
ROIC Compounder ₹309.66 ₹360.43 ₹404.85 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹504.02 ₹720.03 ₹936.03 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹773.15) versus Earnings-Based (₹196.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹15.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) -71.4%
Net margin -10.3%
P/E ratio 3.4 as of Aug 15, 2026
Operating margin -27.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹17.52
More key figures
Dividend yield 10.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -94.1%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

HEG Limited manufactures and sells graphite electrodes primarily for steel manufacturers in India. It operates through two segments, Graphite Electrodes and Power Generation.

Full company description

HEG Limited manufactures and sells graphite electrodes primarily for steel manufacturers in India. It operates through two segments, Graphite Electrodes and Power Generation. The company offers ultra-high power, high-power, and regular power grade graphite electrodes and nipples; carbon blocks; graphite specialties; and activated carbon fabric products for use in air-conditioner and air purifying filters, clean rooms, pollution control filters, anti-pollution masks, refrigerator deodorizers, and cigarette filters. It also operates two thermal power plants and a hydroelectric power facility with total power generation capacity of 76.5 MW. The company also exports its products to approximately 30 countries. HEG Limited was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Noida, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HEG Limited reported revenue of ₹21.6B in FY2025 versus ₹12.6B in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.2B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹21.6B
Latest YoY
−9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Revenue +14.5%/yr
FY21 ₹12.6B
FY22 ₹22.0B
FY23 ₹24.7B
FY24 ₹23.9B
FY25 ₹21.6B
Net income
FY21 −₹179M
FY22 ₹4.3B
FY23 ₹5.3B
FY24 ₹3.1B
FY25 ₹1.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HEG Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/509631

Peer Group

Information Technology · 3528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Diversified Electronics” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −1% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -28% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -71% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 10.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Diversified Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Finolex Cables Limited 500144 ₹1,249 ₹403.22 -68%
Ram Ratna Wires Limited 522281 ₹471.10 ₹60.19 -87%
Modison Metals Limited 506261 ₹310.40 ₹107.17 -65%
Lakshmi Electrical Control Systems Limited 504258 ₹825.95 ₹85.75 -90%
CMI Limited 517330 ₹2.79 ₹0.6900 -75%
RTS Power Corporation 531215 ₹98.20 ₹46.19 -53%
Switching Technologies Gunther Limited 517201 ₹114.55 ₹185.14 +62%
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 255,500 KRW 163,160 KRW -36%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,504,000 KRW 1,481,291 KRW -2%
MediaTek Inc 2454 4,015 TWD 1,559 TWD -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HEG Limited (509631) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹693.39 versus a price of ₹739.30, about −6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 509631?
Our model-based fair value for HEG Limited is ₹693.39 (as of Aug 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹739.30.
What is the quality score of 509631?
HEG Limited has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HEG Limited (509631)?
HEG Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹15.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 509631?
The net profit margin of HEG Limited is about -10.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does HEG Limited pay a dividend?
HEG Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 10.44% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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