UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of UEM Sunrise Bhd stock MYR 1.02, price MYR 0.47, upside +117.0%, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1796 MYR – 1.22 MYR · fair‑value band 0.6400 MYR – 1.49 MYR · the 0.4700 MYR price screens below the 1.02 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.
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UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the township and property development business in Malaysia, Australia, Singapore, and South Africa. It operates in three segments: Property Development, Property Investment and Hotel Operation, and Others.
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The company develops and sells residential and commercial properties. It also engages in the land trading, property investment, project procurement and management, investment holding, land leasing, assets and facilities management, and harvesting operations, as well as landowning business.
In addition, the company provides consultancy, advisory, and technical services related to project development; and operates hotel, clubhouse, and restaurant.
Further, it constructs, manages, and/or operates specialized buildings for long-term lease; provides general trading services; owns and operates a convention centre; undertakes construction and turnkey development contracts; and provides digital services.
Additionally, the company provides management, promotion, and money lending services. The company was formerly known as UEM Land Holdings Berhad and changed its name to UEM Sunrise Berhad in June 2013. UEM Sunrise Berhad was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
UEM Sunrise Berhad operates as a subsidiary of UEM Group Berhad.
Stock analysis
UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) currently trades at 0.4700 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.02 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 54% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1.02 MYR per share, and 13 of the 16 models we run sit above the 0.4700 MYR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.1350 MYR, and 3 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.6400 MYR (bear) to 1.49 MYR (bull), the price of 0.4700 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
UEM Sunrise Bhd reported revenue of 1.7B MYR in FY2025 versus 1.2B MYR in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was 71.0M MYR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.4B MYR (≈ $586M) Small · P/E ratio 23.5 · P/S ratio 1.32 · EPS (TTM) 0.0200 MYR · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 5.1% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at 117%, 5148 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear0.6400 MYRFair Value 1.02 MYRBull1.49 MYR
Price 0.4700 MYR · Upside +117.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0103 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.3% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−18.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Per share before 2010divided by the spin-off factor 1.2129
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−20.1% vs −12.8%, slowing
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−1.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.7% a year for the price and −3.1% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 489 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+117.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.3% · Below median
Return on assets0.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)5.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)9.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)36.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)23.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.35× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.32× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)5.6× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UEM Sunrise Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5148
Frequently asked questions
Is UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.02 MYR versus a price of 0.4700 MYR, about +117% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5148?
Our model-based fair value for UEM Sunrise Bhd is 1.02 MYR (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.4700 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5148?
UEM Sunrise Bhd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.02 MYR (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.6400 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.49 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the UEM Sunrise Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.02 MYR, about +117% upside versus a price of 0.4700 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.6400 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.49 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
UEM Sunrise Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B MYR (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does UEM Sunrise Bhd pay a dividend?
UEM Sunrise Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.70% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) and when is the ex-dividend date?
UEM Sunrise Bhd pays a dividend of 0.008 MYR per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Apr 29, 2026. The payout ratio is 40.0% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 10.42 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, UEM Sunrise Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +5.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.4 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5148 use?
Our models discount UEM Sunrise Bhd at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.04, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For UEM Sunrise Bhd that is +5.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at UEM Sunrise Bhd grew +8.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +5.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into UEM Sunrise Bhd (+5.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.74 %: that much free cash flow UEM Sunrise Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For UEM Sunrise Bhd it is 1.02 MYR per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 0.4700 MYR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is UEM Sunrise Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 5148 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.4700 MYR, fair value 1.02 MYR, a gap of about +117% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5148?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.4700 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.02 MYR). For UEM Sunrise Bhd the two are 0.5500 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is UEM Sunrise Bhd worth?
The market values UEM Sunrise Bhd at about 2.4B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 0.4700 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 1.02 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5148?
Our models span a range for UEM Sunrise Bhd: cautious scenario 0.6400 MYR, base 1.02 MYR, optimistic 1.49 MYR per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 0.4700 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5148?
UEM Sunrise Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.5 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.02 MYR is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 38.0. Other multiples: PEG 10.4, P/B 0.4, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 17.3.
What is the PEG ratio of 5148?
The PEG ratio of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 10.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
Balance-sheet figures for UEM Sunrise Bhd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 1.3%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5148 from its 52-week high?
UEM Sunrise Bhd trades at 0.4700 MYR, about 31% below its 52-week high of 0.6850 MYR and 6% above the low of 0.4443 MYR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.02 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to UEM Sunrise Bhd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is UEM Sunrise Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 0.4700 MYR, calculated fair value 1.02 MYR (+117%), Quality Score 62/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5148 calculated?
We run UEM Sunrise Bhd through 16 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 1.02 MYR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. UEM Sunrise Bhd currently trades 54% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 0.4700 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 1.02 MYR, about +117% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with UEM Sunrise Bhd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.6400 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (0.6400 MYR to 1.49 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) come from?
Earnings per share at UEM Sunrise Bhd grew −13.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.5 %, EBIT margin +5.1 %, tax rate −2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −12.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of UEM Sunrise Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The market capitalisation of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 2.4B MYR (≈ $586M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The price-to-sales ratio of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 1.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
Earnings per share at UEM Sunrise Bhd are 0.0200 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The dividend yield of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 1.7% (payout 40.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The net margin of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 5.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The return on equity (ROE) of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The operating margin of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
Revenue at UEM Sunrise Bhd is growing +36.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
Earnings per share at UEM Sunrise Bhd are growing +109% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) carry?
The net debt of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 2.9B MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 6, 2026