UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of UEM Sunrise Bhd MYR 0.77, price MYR 0.55, upside +41.3%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the township and property development business in Malaysia, Australia, Singapore, and South Africa. It operates in three segments: Property Development, Property Investment and Hotel Operation, and Others. The company develops and sells residential and commercial properties.
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UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the township and property development business in Malaysia, Australia, Singapore, and South Africa. It operates in three segments: Property Development, Property Investment and Hotel Operation, and Others. The company develops and sells residential and commercial properties. It also engages in the land trading, property investment, project procurement and management, investment holding, land leasing, assets and facilities management, and harvesting operations, as well as landowning business. In addition, the company provides consultancy, advisory, and technical services related to project development; and operates hotel, clubhouse, and restaurant. Further, it constructs, manages, and/or operates specialized buildings for long-term lease; provides general trading services; owns and operates a convention centre; undertakes construction and turnkey development contracts; and provides digital services. Additionally, the company provides management, promotion, and money lending services. The company was formerly known as UEM Land Holdings Berhad and changed its name to UEM Sunrise Berhad in June 2013. UEM Sunrise Berhad was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. UEM Sunrise Berhad operates as a subsidiary of UEM Group Berhad.
Stock analysis
UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) currently trades at 0.5450 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.7700 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 29.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1.29 MYR per share, and 12 of the 16 models we run sit above the 0.5450 MYR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.1600 MYR, and 4 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.6500 MYR (bear) to 0.8900 MYR (bull), the price of 0.5450 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
UEM Sunrise Bhd reported revenue of 1.7B MYR in FY2025 versus 1.2B MYR in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was 71.0M MYR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.2B MYR (≈ $788M) · P/E ratio 54.5 · P/S ratio 2.27 · EPS (TTM) 0.0100 MYR · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at 41%, 5148 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.6500 MYRFair Value 0.7700 MYRBull 0.8900 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0015 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.3% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−18.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−20% vs −13%, slowing
Profit margin 2018 to 2023 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 21%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+0.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.9% a year for the price and −1.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+49% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−17% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UEM Sunrise Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5148
Frequently asked questions
Is UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.7700 MYR versus a price of 0.5450 MYR, about +41% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5148?
Our model-based fair value for UEM Sunrise Bhd is 0.7700 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.5450 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5148?
UEM Sunrise Bhd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.7700 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.6500 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.8900 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the UEM Sunrise Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.7700 MYR, about +41% upside versus a price of 0.5450 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.6500 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.8900 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
UEM Sunrise Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does UEM Sunrise Bhd pay a dividend?
UEM Sunrise Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.47% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, UEM Sunrise Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +6.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5148 use?
Our models discount UEM Sunrise Bhd at 12.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For UEM Sunrise Bhd that is +6.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at UEM Sunrise Bhd grew +8.4 % a year. The price currently implies +6.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into UEM Sunrise Bhd (+6.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.30 %: that much free cash flow UEM Sunrise Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For UEM Sunrise Bhd it is 0.7700 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.5450 MYR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is UEM Sunrise Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5148 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.5450 MYR, fair value 0.7700 MYR, a gap of about +41% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5148?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.5450 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.7700 MYR). For UEM Sunrise Bhd the two are 0.2250 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is UEM Sunrise Bhd worth?
The market values UEM Sunrise Bhd at about 3.2B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.5450 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.7700 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5148?
Our models span a range for UEM Sunrise Bhd: cautious scenario 0.6500 MYR, base 0.7700 MYR, optimistic 0.8900 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.5450 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5148?
UEM Sunrise Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 54.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.7700 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 10.4, P/B 0.5, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 22.4.
What is the PEG ratio of 5148?
The PEG ratio of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 10.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
Balance-sheet figures for UEM Sunrise Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.0%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5148 from its 52-week high?
UEM Sunrise Bhd trades at 0.5450 MYR, about 29% below its 52-week high of 0.7652 MYR and 23% above the low of 0.4443 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.7700 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to UEM Sunrise Bhd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is UEM Sunrise Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.5450 MYR, calculated fair value 0.7700 MYR (+41%), Quality Score 60/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5148 calculated?
We run UEM Sunrise Bhd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.7700 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. UEM Sunrise Bhd currently trades 41 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 0.5450 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.7700 MYR, about +41% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with UEM Sunrise Bhd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.6500 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) come from?
Earnings per share at UEM Sunrise Bhd grew −13.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.5 %, EBIT margin +5.1 %, tax rate −2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −12.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of UEM Sunrise Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The market capitalisation of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 3.2B MYR (≈ $788M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The price-to-sales ratio of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 2.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
Earnings per share at UEM Sunrise Bhd are 0.0100 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 54.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The dividend yield of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 1.5% (payout 80.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The net margin of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 4.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The return on equity (ROE) of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
The operating margin of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
Revenue at UEM Sunrise Bhd is growing −16.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148)?
Earnings per share at UEM Sunrise Bhd are growing −20.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does UEM Sunrise Bhd (5148) carry?
The net debt of UEM Sunrise Bhd is 2.9B MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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