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UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, (5148) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · MY · Market cap 3.2B MYR

US UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, 5148 · KLSE
Price0.6350 MYR
Fair Value0.8600 MYR
Upside+35.4%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.28% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/15)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range 0.6600 MYR – 0.8900 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +3.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 35% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.6600 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.22 MYR 0.1796 MYR Fair Value 0.8600 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1796 MYR – 1.22 MYR · fair‑value band 0.6600 MYR – 0.8900 MYR · the 0.6350 MYR price screens below the 0.8600 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, (5148) currently trades at 0.6350 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.8600 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 35.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, generated revenue of 1.6B MYR at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue declined 16.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.0%. Net debt stands at 2.9B MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.6600 MYR (bear case) to 0.8900 MYR (bull case); at 0.6350 MYR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 35%, 5148 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.6600 MYR 1.12 MYR 1.76 MYR 80
Residual Income 0.9200 MYR 0.8600 MYR 0.6200 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.5500 MYR 1.04 MYR 1.62 MYR 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.6600 MYR 1.18 MYR 1.97 MYR 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.5500 MYR 1.04 MYR 1.66 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.7800 MYR 1.47 MYR 2.29 MYR 41
10Y Revenue Exit 0.5600 MYR 1.01 MYR 1.63 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.7200 MYR 1.30 MYR 2.10 MYR 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.1100 MYR 0.2200 MYR 0.3300 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.1100 MYR 0.1800 MYR 0.2300 MYR 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple 0.1800 MYR 0.2400 MYR 0.3000 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 0.1800 MYR 0.2400 MYR 0.3000 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 1.17 MYR 1.65 MYR 2.13 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 0.9700 MYR 1.39 MYR 1.80 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 0.5300 MYR 0.8600 MYR 1.20 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.6800 MYR 0.9100 MYR 1.36 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.6600 MYR 1.12 MYR 1.76 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.5500 MYR 1.04 MYR 1.62 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.9200 MYR 0.8600 MYR 0.6200 MYR 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (1.18 MYR) versus Dividend Discount (0.1800 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.6B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.7%
Net margin 4.1%
Return on equity 1.0%
Free cash flow 422M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 55.5
More key figures
Operating margin 9.4%
EPS (TTM) 0.0100 MYR
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -20.9%
Net debt 2.9B MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the township and property development business in Malaysia, Australia, Singapore, and South Africa. It operates in three segments: Property Development, Property Investment and Hotel Operation, and Others. The company develops and sells residential and commercial properties.

Full company description

UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the township and property development business in Malaysia, Australia, Singapore, and South Africa. It operates in three segments: Property Development, Property Investment and Hotel Operation, and Others. The company develops and sells residential and commercial properties. It also engages in the land trading, property investment, project procurement and management, investment holding, land leasing, assets and facilities management, and harvesting operations, as well as landowning business. In addition, the company provides consultancy, advisory, and technical services related to project development; and operates hotel, clubhouse, and restaurant. Further, it constructs, manages, and/or operates specialized buildings for long-term lease; provides general trading services; owns and operates a convention centre; undertakes construction and turnkey development contracts; and provides digital services. Additionally, the company provides management, promotion, and money lending services. The company was formerly known as UEM Land Holdings Berhad and changed its name to UEM Sunrise Berhad in June 2013. UEM Sunrise Berhad was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. UEM Sunrise Berhad operates as a subsidiary of UEM Group Berhad.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, reported revenue of 1.7B MYR in FY2025 versus 1.2B MYR in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was 71.0M MYR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.7B MYR
Latest YoY
+27.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
−2.4%
Revenue +9.5%/yr
FY21 1.2B MYR
FY22 1.5B MYR
FY23 1.3B MYR
FY24 1.3B MYR
FY25 1.7B MYR
Net income
FY21 −213M MYR
FY22 80.5M MYR
FY23 75.7M MYR
FY24 104M MYR
FY25 71.0M MYR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5148

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +35% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Revenue growth -17% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 63.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.47× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.97× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 22.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 10.37× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 81 · sector 48
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 4 · sector 10
HEALTH 82 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 26 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, (5148) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.8600 MYR versus a price of 0.6350 MYR, about +35% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5148?
Our model-based fair value for UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, is 0.8600 MYR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.6350 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5148?
UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, (5148)?
UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5148?
The net profit margin of UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, is about 4.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, pay a dividend?
UEM Sunrise Berhad, an investment holding company, currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.43% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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