UOA Development Bhd (5200) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of UOA Development Bhd MYR 0.93, price MYR 1.58, upside -41.1%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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UOA Development Bhd, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, construction, and investment activities primarily in Malaysia. It develops and constructs residential and commercial properties.
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UOA Development Bhd, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, construction, and investment activities primarily in Malaysia. It develops and constructs residential and commercial properties. The company also manages and operates hotels, restaurants, service apartments, and co-sharing offices, as well as operates as a civil contractor. In addition, it provides administrative health care, specialized medical, dental consultancy and treatments, and related services; operates stores specialized in retail sale of pharmaceutical, medical, and orthopedic products; manages and maintains pedestrian bridges and commercial lifts for advertising; offers education, training, and consultancy services; operates Chinese medical, acupuncture, and physiotherapy care centers; deals in Chinese medicines; and trades in healthcare and beauty products, as well as offers post hospitalization and seniors care services. Further, the company offers sauna, steam baths, and massage salons; and retail sale of construction material, hardware, paints and glass. The company was founded in 1987 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. UOA Development Bhd operates as a subsidiary of UOA Holdings Sdn. Bhd.
Stock analysis
UOA Development Bhd (5200) currently trades at 1.58 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.9300 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 69.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 1.84 MYR per share, and 3 of the 16 models we run sit above the 1.58 MYR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.6800 MYR, and 13 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.8200 MYR (bear) to 1.12 MYR (bull), the price of 1.58 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
UOA Development Bhd reported revenue of 674M MYR in FY2025 versus 547M MYR in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 474M MYR in FY2025, compounding +20.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.5B MYR (≈ $1.1B) · P/E ratio 9.3 · P/S ratio 6.53 · EPS (TTM) 0.1700 MYR · Dividend yield 6.3% · Net margin 70.3% · Return on equity 7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −41%, 5200 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.8200 MYRFair Value 0.9300 MYRBull 1.12 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0512 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.5% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2% vs −4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.57% → 11%
2025 sits 60% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 13.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.1% a year for the price and +7.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−41% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)70% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−18% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−25% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.3% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)9.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.19× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.74× · Pricier than median
P/FCF3.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA8.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG0.68× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)31· sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UOA Development Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5200
Frequently asked questions
Is UOA Development Bhd (5200) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.9300 MYR versus a price of 1.58 MYR, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5200?
Our model-based fair value for UOA Development Bhd is 0.9300 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.58 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5200?
UOA Development Bhd has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.9300 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.8200 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.12 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the UOA Development Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.9300 MYR, about −41% upside versus a price of 1.58 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.8200 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.12 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
UOA Development Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 636M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does UOA Development Bhd pay a dividend?
UOA Development Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.33% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, UOA Development Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by -3.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5200 use?
Our models discount UOA Development Bhd at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.28, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For UOA Development Bhd that is -3.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has UOA Development Bhd (5200) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at UOA Development Bhd grew -4.4 % a year. The price currently implies -3.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of UOA Development Bhd (5200) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into UOA Development Bhd (-3.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.82 %: that much free cash flow UOA Development Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For UOA Development Bhd it is 0.9300 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1.58 MYR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is UOA Development Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5200 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.58 MYR, fair value 0.9300 MYR, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5200?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.58 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.9300 MYR). For UOA Development Bhd the two are 0.6500 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is UOA Development Bhd worth?
The market values UOA Development Bhd at about 4.5B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1.58 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.9300 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5200?
Our models span a range for UOA Development Bhd: cautious scenario 0.8200 MYR, base 0.9300 MYR, optimistic 1.12 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1.58 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5200?
UOA Development Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.9300 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 0.2, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 8.6.
What is the PEG ratio of 5200?
The PEG ratio of UOA Development Bhd is 0.68 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
Balance-sheet figures for UOA Development Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5200 from its 52-week high?
UOA Development Bhd trades at 1.58 MYR, about 15% below its 52-week high of 1.86 MYR and 2% above the low of 1.55 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.9300 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to UOA Development Bhd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is UOA Development Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1.58 MYR, calculated fair value 0.9300 MYR (−41%), Quality Score 70/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5200 calculated?
We run UOA Development Bhd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.9300 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. UOA Development Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1.58 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.9300 MYR, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with UOA Development Bhd right now?
A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.12 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of UOA Development Bhd (5200) come from?
Earnings per share at UOA Development Bhd grew −7.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −12.5 %, EBIT margin −15.6 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +24.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of UOA Development Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
The market capitalisation of UOA Development Bhd is 4.5B MYR (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
The price-to-sales ratio of UOA Development Bhd is 6.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
Earnings per share at UOA Development Bhd are 0.1700 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
The dividend yield of UOA Development Bhd is 6.3% (payout 58.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
The net margin of UOA Development Bhd is 70.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
The return on equity (ROE) of UOA Development Bhd is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of UOA Development Bhd is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
The operating margin of UOA Development Bhd is −17.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
Revenue at UOA Development Bhd is growing −25.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at UOA Development Bhd (5200)?
Earnings per share at UOA Development Bhd are growing −44.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does UOA Development Bhd (5200) hold?
UOA Development Bhd holds more cash than debt, 420M MYR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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