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Gas Malaysia Berhad (5209) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · MY · Market cap 6.6B MYR

GM Gas Malaysia Berhad 5209 · KLSE
Price5.02 MYR
Fair Value4.76 MYR
Upside-5.2%
Quality56/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 5.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
4.62% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range 3.33 MYR – 6.32 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −1.4% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (3.33 MYR to 6.32 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

5.81 MYR 1.89 MYR Fair Value 4.76 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.89 MYR – 5.81 MYR · fair‑value band 3.33 MYR – 6.32 MYR · the 5.02 MYR price screens above the 4.76 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Gas Malaysia Berhad (5209) currently trades at 5.02 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.76 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 5.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Gas Malaysia Berhad generated revenue of 7.1B MYR at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue declined 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.0%. Net debt stands at 144M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 3.33 MYR (bear case) to 6.32 MYR (bull case); at 5.02 MYR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -5%, 5209 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 1.72 MYR 2.06 MYR 5.17 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 2.79 MYR 3.47 MYR 4.22 MYR 72
Gordon GGM 2.27 MYR 4.53 MYR 6.86 MYR 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 1.01 MYR 1.54 MYR 2.31 MYR 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2.02 MYR 6.07 MYR 8.05 MYR 54
Lynch FV 1.29 MYR 1.84 MYR 2.40 MYR 50
PEG = 1.0 1.29 MYR 1.84 MYR 2.40 MYR 46
EPV 2.63 MYR 3.04 MYR 3.41 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.27 MYR 4.53 MYR 6.86 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.27 MYR 3.64 MYR 4.78 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 4.01 MYR 5.35 MYR 6.69 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 3.79 MYR 5.05 MYR 6.32 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 1.64 MYR 2.19 MYR 2.73 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 4.48 MYR 5.98 MYR 7.48 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 3.67 MYR 4.90 MYR 6.13 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 3.62 MYR 5.18 MYR 6.74 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.6100 MYR 0.8100 MYR 1.21 MYR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.72 MYR 2.06 MYR 5.17 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 2.79 MYR 3.47 MYR 4.22 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 3.33 MYR 4.76 MYR 6.19 MYR 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (5.05 MYR) versus Asset-Based (0.8100 MYR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.1B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.7%
Net margin 5.3%
Return on equity 27.0%
Free cash flow −128M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 18.4
More key figures
Operating margin 8.1%
EPS (TTM) 0.2900 MYR
Dividend yield 4.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -7.3%
Net debt 144M MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gas Malaysia Berhad sells, markets, and distributes natural gas to the industrial, commercial, and residential sectors in Malaysia. The company operates in two segments: Natural Gas & LPG, and Others. It also develops, operates, and maintains natural gas distribution system in Peninsular Malaysia; and provides management services.

Full company description

Gas Malaysia Berhad sells, markets, and distributes natural gas to the industrial, commercial, and residential sectors in Malaysia. The company operates in two segments: Natural Gas & LPG, and Others. It also develops, operates, and maintains natural gas distribution system in Peninsular Malaysia; and provides management services. In addition, the company promotes, markets, and sells liquefied petroleum gas, compressed natural gas, other gaseous fuel, and natural gas through reticulation systems and bulk supply, including related services and energy solutions; develops, operates, and maintains the distribution pipeline and deliver gas; provides energy solutions; holds properties; produce and sells graphene; and operates biomethane and virtual pipelines. Gas Malaysia Berhad was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Shah Alam, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gas Malaysia Berhad reported revenue of 7.3B MYR in FY2025 versus 5.9B MYR in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was 382M MYR in FY2025, compounding +11.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 28/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.3B MYR
Latest YoY
−8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+10.0%
Revenue +5.8%/yr
FY21 5.9B MYR
FY22 7.6B MYR
FY23 8.1B MYR
FY24 8.0B MYR
FY25 7.3B MYR
Net income +11.2%/yr
FY21 250M MYR
FY22 390M MYR
FY23 383M MYR
FY24 441M MYR
FY25 382M MYR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gas Malaysia Berhad Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5209

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.23× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 26 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 34
HEALTH 83 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 92 · sector 67

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €28.84 €35.80 +24%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $177.68 $85.67 -52%
NiSource Inc NI $47.07 $28.59 -39%
Uniper SE UN0 €42.80 €49.13 +15%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.03 HK$5.08 -28%
Italgas S.p.A IG €9.98 €8.11 -19%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹171.71 ₹147.74 -14%
Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL ₹723.90 ₹101.36 -86%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥17.30 ¥25.71 +49%
UGI Corporation UGI $35.84 $27.13 -24%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gas Malaysia Berhad (5209) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.76 MYR versus a price of 5.02 MYR, about −5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 5209?
Our model-based fair value for Gas Malaysia Berhad is 4.76 MYR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 5.02 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5209?
Gas Malaysia Berhad has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gas Malaysia Berhad (5209)?
Gas Malaysia Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.1B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5209?
The net profit margin of Gas Malaysia Berhad is about 5.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Gas Malaysia Berhad pay a dividend?
Gas Malaysia Berhad currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.44% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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