Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Asmedia Technology Inc TWD 1,628, price TWD 1,480, upside +10.0%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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ASMedia Technology Inc. engages in the design, development, and sale of high-speed switch, PCIe bridge, and USB controller integrated circuits in the Americas, Mainland China, Southeast Asia, Northeast Asia, and internationally. The company offers SATA bridges and controllers, ASIC solutions, and PDK/KGD products, as well as custom chip solutions.
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ASMedia Technology Inc. engages in the design, development, and sale of high-speed switch, PCIe bridge, and USB controller integrated circuits in the Americas, Mainland China, Southeast Asia, Northeast Asia, and internationally. The company offers SATA bridges and controllers, ASIC solutions, and PDK/KGD products, as well as custom chip solutions. It serves motherboard and OEM companies. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) currently trades at 1,480 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,628 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 2,645 TWD per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the 1,480 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 326.55 TWD, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 1,154 TWD (bear) to 2,775 TWD (bull), the price of 1,480 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Asmedia Technology Inc reported revenue of 13.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 6.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound +22.2%/yr. Reported net income was 5.4B TWD in FY2025, compounding +14.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 111B TWD (≈ $3.5B) · P/E ratio 20.5 · P/S ratio 8.27 · EPS (TTM) 72.37 TWD · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 40.4% · Return on equity 16.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 10%, 5269 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1,154 TWDFair Value 1,628 TWDBull 2,775 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (20.10 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+66.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +24.0% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.11% vs 34%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.48% → 30%
2025 sits 92% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.5% a year for the price and +2.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 340 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Above median
Fair Value upside+10% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)42% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth39% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.0% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
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Is Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,628 TWD versus a price of 1,480 TWD, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5269?
Our model-based fair value for Asmedia Technology Inc is 1,628 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,480 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5269?
Asmedia Technology Inc has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,628 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,154 TWD, optimistic scenario 2,775 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Asmedia Technology Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,628 TWD, about +10% upside versus a price of 1,480 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1,154 TWD, optimistic scenario 2,775 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Asmedia Technology Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Asmedia Technology Inc pay a dividend?
Asmedia Technology Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Asmedia Technology Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +19.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5269 use?
Our models discount Asmedia Technology Inc at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.04, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Asmedia Technology Inc that is +19.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Asmedia Technology Inc grew +13.9 % a year. The price currently implies +19.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Asmedia Technology Inc (+19.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.07 %: that much free cash flow Asmedia Technology Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Asmedia Technology Inc it is 1,628 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,480 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Asmedia Technology Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5269 trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,480 TWD, fair value 1,628 TWD, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5269?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,480 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,628 TWD). For Asmedia Technology Inc the two are 148.00 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Asmedia Technology Inc worth?
The market values Asmedia Technology Inc at about 111B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,480 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 1,628 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5269?
Our models span a range for Asmedia Technology Inc: cautious scenario 1,154 TWD, base 1,628 TWD, optimistic 2,775 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,480 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5269?
Asmedia Technology Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,628 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.1, P/S 7.7, EV/EBITDA 23.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Balance-sheet figures for Asmedia Technology Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5269 from its 52-week high?
Asmedia Technology Inc trades at 1,480 TWD, about 7% below its 52-week high of 1,590 TWD and 40% above the low of 1,060 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,628 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Asmedia Technology Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, SK hynix Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Asmedia Technology Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,480 TWD, calculated fair value 1,628 TWD (+10%), Quality Score 65/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5269 calculated?
We run Asmedia Technology Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,628 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Asmedia Technology Inc currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1,480 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 1,628 TWD, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Asmedia Technology Inc right now?
A fairly wide model range (1,154 TWD to 2,775 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) come from?
Earnings per share at Asmedia Technology Inc grew +31.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +18.2 %, EBIT margin +6.8 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Asmedia Technology Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The market capitalisation of Asmedia Technology Inc is 111B TWD (≈ $3.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Asmedia Technology Inc is 8.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Earnings per share at Asmedia Technology Inc are 72.37 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The dividend yield of Asmedia Technology Inc is 3.0% (payout 62.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The net margin of Asmedia Technology Inc is 40.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Asmedia Technology Inc is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Asmedia Technology Inc is 12.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The operating margin of Asmedia Technology Inc is 23.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Revenue at Asmedia Technology Inc is growing +39.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +36.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Earnings per share at Asmedia Technology Inc are growing +51.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) hold?
Asmedia Technology Inc holds more cash than debt, 4.9B TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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