Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Asmedia Technology Inc stock TWD 1,348, price TWD 1,160, upside +16.2%, quality 71 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 535.87 TWD – 2,550 TWD · fair‑value band 788.67 TWD – 1,769 TWD · the 1,160 TWD price screens below the 1,348 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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ASMedia Technology Inc. engages in the design, development, and sale of high-speed switch, PCIe bridge, and USB controller integrated circuits in the Americas, Mainland China, Southeast Asia, Northeast Asia, and internationally.
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The company offers SATA bridges and controllers, ASIC solutions, and PDK/KGD products, as well as custom chip solutions. It serves motherboard and OEM companies. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) currently trades at 1,160 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,348 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 14% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 2,645 TWD per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the 1,160 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 407.33 TWD, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 788.67 TWD (bear) to 1,769 TWD (bull), the price of 1,160 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Asmedia Technology Inc reported revenue of 13.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 6.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound +22.2%/yr. Reported net income was 5.4B TWD in FY2025, compounding +14.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 86.0B TWD (≈ $2.6B) Mid · P/E ratio 12.6 · P/S ratio 6.26 · EPS (TTM) 91.71 TWD · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 50.6% · Return on equity 21.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 79 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at 16%, 5269 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear788.67 TWDFair Value 1,348 TWDBull1,769 TWD
Price 1,160 TWD · Upside +16.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (39.61 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+66.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.9%
Per share before 2017divided by the spin-off factor 1.052
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.5% vs 34.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.48% → 30%
2025 sits 92% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.7% a year for the price and +5.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 370 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+16.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)21.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets13.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)50.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)23.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−19.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)3.9% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)12.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B2.38× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)6.26× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)25.3× · Cheaper than median
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Is Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,348 TWD versus a price of 1,160 TWD, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5269?
Our model-based fair value for Asmedia Technology Inc is 1,348 TWD (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,160 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5269?
Asmedia Technology Inc has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,348 TWD (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 788.67 TWD, optimistic scenario 1,769 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Asmedia Technology Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,348 TWD, about +16% upside versus a price of 1,160 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 788.67 TWD, optimistic scenario 1,769 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Asmedia Technology Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.7B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Asmedia Technology Inc pay a dividend?
Asmedia Technology Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 3.91% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Asmedia Technology Inc pays a dividend of 45.38 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 21, 2026. The payout ratio is 49.5% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.01 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Asmedia Technology Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +15.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.9 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5269 use?
Our models discount Asmedia Technology Inc at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.26, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Asmedia Technology Inc that is +15.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Asmedia Technology Inc grew +13.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +15.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Asmedia Technology Inc (+15.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.96 %: that much free cash flow Asmedia Technology Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Asmedia Technology Inc it is 1,348 TWD per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 1,160 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Asmedia Technology Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 5269 trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,160 TWD, fair value 1,348 TWD, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5269?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,160 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,348 TWD). For Asmedia Technology Inc the two are 188.03 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Asmedia Technology Inc worth?
The market values Asmedia Technology Inc at about 86.0B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 1,160 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 1,348 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5269?
Our models span a range for Asmedia Technology Inc: cautious scenario 788.67 TWD, base 1,348 TWD, optimistic 1,769 TWD per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 1,160 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5269?
Asmedia Technology Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.6 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,348 TWD is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 38.6. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 6.3, EV/EBITDA 20.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Balance-sheet figures for Asmedia Technology Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 21.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5269 from its 52-week high?
Asmedia Technology Inc trades at 1,160 TWD, about 27% below its 52-week high of 1,590 TWD and 9% above the low of 1,060 TWD (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,348 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Asmedia Technology Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Asmedia Technology Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 1,160 TWD, calculated fair value 1,348 TWD (+16%), Quality Score 71/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5269 calculated?
We run Asmedia Technology Inc through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 1,348 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Asmedia Technology Inc currently trades 14% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 1,160 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 1,348 TWD, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Asmedia Technology Inc right now?
A fairly wide model range (788.67 TWD to 1,769 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) come from?
Earnings per share at Asmedia Technology Inc grew +31.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +18.2 %, EBIT margin +6.8 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Asmedia Technology Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The market capitalisation of Asmedia Technology Inc is 86.0B TWD (≈ $2.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Asmedia Technology Inc is 6.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Earnings per share at Asmedia Technology Inc are 91.71 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The dividend yield of Asmedia Technology Inc is 3.9% (payout 49.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The net margin of Asmedia Technology Inc is 50.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Asmedia Technology Inc is 21.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Asmedia Technology Inc is 12.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
The operating margin of Asmedia Technology Inc is 23.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Revenue at Asmedia Technology Inc is growing −19.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +36.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Asmedia Technology Inc (5269)?
Earnings per share at Asmedia Technology Inc are growing +81.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Asmedia Technology Inc (5269) hold?
Asmedia Technology Inc holds more cash than debt, 4.9B TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026