Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Sime Darby Property Bhd MYR 1.19, price MYR 1.27, upside -6.3%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Sime Darby Property Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the property development business in Malaysia, Australia, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Property Development, Investment, and Asset Management and Leisure.
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Sime Darby Property Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the property development business in Malaysia, Australia, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Property Development, Investment, and Asset Management and Leisure. It develops residential, commercial, and industrial properties; leases properties; and provides assets management services, as well as offers golf and other recreational facilities and services. The company also engages in the project management activities; acquisition and enhancement of land, and disposal of enhanced land; operation of convention centers; leasing of hotel buildings, clubhouse buildings, and golf courses; real estate investment activities; provision of property investment and management, construction, management, and golfing and sporting services; distribution and sale of electricity; and owning and operating retail spaces and mall, as well as in the trust, funds, and other similar activities. In addition, it provides property and residential sales services. The company was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288) currently trades at 1.27 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.19 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 6.7% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 1.31 MYR per share, and 6 of the 16 models we run sit above the 1.27 MYR price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 0.2900 MYR, and 10 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.5200 MYR (bear) to 1.62 MYR (bull), the price of 1.27 MYR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sime Darby Property Bhd reported revenue of 4.2B MYR in FY2025 versus 2.2B MYR in FY2021, a compound +17.2%/yr. Reported net income was 518M MYR in FY2025, compounding +37.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 8.6B MYR (≈ $2.1B) · P/E ratio 15.9 · P/S ratio 1.96 · EPS (TTM) 0.0800 MYR · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 12.4% · Return on equity 5.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −6%, 5288 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.5200 MYRFair Value 1.19 MYRBull 1.62 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0351 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.9% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+9.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7% vs −2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 20%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +29.4% a year for the price and +2.3% for the forecasts.
Compare Sime Darby Property Bhd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 579 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside−7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)14% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)29% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.24× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sime Darby Property Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5288
Frequently asked questions
Is Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.19 MYR versus a price of 1.27 MYR, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 5288?
Our model-based fair value for Sime Darby Property Bhd is 1.19 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.27 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5288?
Sime Darby Property Bhd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.19 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.5200 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.62 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sime Darby Property Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.19 MYR, about −6% upside versus a price of 1.27 MYR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 0.5200 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.62 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
Sime Darby Property Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.1B MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sime Darby Property Bhd pay a dividend?
Sime Darby Property Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sime Darby Property Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +32.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5288 use?
Our models discount Sime Darby Property Bhd at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.54, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sime Darby Property Bhd that is +32.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sime Darby Property Bhd grew +15.2 % a year. The price currently implies +32.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sime Darby Property Bhd (+32.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.32 %: that much free cash flow Sime Darby Property Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sime Darby Property Bhd it is 1.19 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1.27 MYR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sime Darby Property Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5288 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.27 MYR, fair value 1.19 MYR, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5288?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.27 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.19 MYR). For Sime Darby Property Bhd the two are 0.0800 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sime Darby Property Bhd worth?
The market values Sime Darby Property Bhd at about 8.6B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1.27 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 1.19 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5288?
Our models span a range for Sime Darby Property Bhd: cautious scenario 0.5200 MYR, base 1.19 MYR, optimistic 1.62 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1.27 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5288?
Sime Darby Property Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.19 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 0.2, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 4.5.
What is the PEG ratio of 5288?
The PEG ratio of Sime Darby Property Bhd is 1.23 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sime Darby Property Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.4%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5288 from its 52-week high?
Sime Darby Property Bhd trades at 1.27 MYR, about 18% below its 52-week high of 1.54 MYR and 3% above the low of 1.23 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.19 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sime Darby Property Bhd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sime Darby Property Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1.27 MYR, calculated fair value 1.19 MYR (−6%), Quality Score 54/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5288 calculated?
We run Sime Darby Property Bhd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.19 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sime Darby Property Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1.27 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 1.19 MYR, about −6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sime Darby Property Bhd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (0.5200 MYR to 1.62 MYR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288) come from?
Earnings per share at Sime Darby Property Bhd grew −4.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.9 %, EBIT margin −5.2 %, tax rate −2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sime Darby Property Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
The market capitalisation of Sime Darby Property Bhd is 8.6B MYR (≈ $2.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sime Darby Property Bhd is 1.96 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
Earnings per share at Sime Darby Property Bhd are 0.0800 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
The dividend yield of Sime Darby Property Bhd is 2.5% (payout 40.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
The net margin of Sime Darby Property Bhd is 12.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sime Darby Property Bhd is 5.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sime Darby Property Bhd is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
The operating margin of Sime Darby Property Bhd is 29.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
Revenue at Sime Darby Property Bhd is growing −8.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288)?
Earnings per share at Sime Darby Property Bhd are growing +34.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sime Darby Property Bhd (5288) carry?
The net debt of Sime Darby Property Bhd is 4.2B MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 21.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026