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KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc (5306) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 11.7B TWD (≈ $370M) · ISIN TW0005306005

What is KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc really worth?

KK KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc 5306 · TW
Price92.60 TWD
Fair Value123.13 TWD
Upside+33.0%
Quality68/100

A solid business, trading 25% below our fair value of 123.13 TWD.

As of Aug 15, 2026, the fair value of KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc is 123.13 TWD per share against a price of 92.60 TWD, so the fair value sits 33% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Solidly profitable · 16.8% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (12/14)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.3 %/yr)
!Moderate moat 58/100
!Weak on future: 26 out of 100

For context

·4.11% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range 90.51 TWD – 155.76 TWD

Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 15, 2026, revised from 130.20 TWD to 123.13 TWD (−5.4%) since Jul 23, 2026. Share price +3.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

200.81 TWD 78.50 TWD Fair Value 123.13 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 78.50 TWD – 200.81 TWD · fair‑value band 90.51 TWD – 155.76 TWD · the 92.60 TWD price screens below the 123.13 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

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Analysis

KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc (5306) currently trades at 92.60 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 123.13 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 24.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 176.70 TWD per share, and 16 of the 26 models we run sit above the 92.60 TWD price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 47.25 TWD, and 10 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc generated revenue of 4.7B TWD at a net margin of 16.8%. Revenue grew 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. Net debt stands at 930M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 90.51 TWD (bear case) to 155.76 TWD (bull case); at 92.60 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 33%, 5306 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 2.40 TWD per share, which is 1.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence 95.50 TWD 176.70 TWD 326.71 TWD 77
Growth DCF 93.88 TWD 165.67 TWD 292.59 TWD 75
Residual Income 63.70 TWD 71.93 TWD 115.02 TWD 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence 95.50 TWD 176.70 TWD 326.71 TWD 77
Owner Earnings 112.14 TWD 209.10 TWD 387.78 TWD 73
5Y Revenue Exit 57.28 TWD 88.10 TWD 129.37 TWD 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 99.13 TWD 178.13 TWD 280.50 TWD 73
5Y P/E Exit 117.62 TWD 217.90 TWD 337.38 TWD 69
10Y Revenue Exit 67.97 TWD 102.51 TWD 155.22 TWD 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 97.34 TWD 170.12 TWD 287.14 TWD 66
10Y P/E Exit 109.81 TWD 199.99 TWD 336.80 TWD 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 52.08 TWD 277.83 TWD 384.84 TWD 63
Lynch FV 76.67 TWD 109.52 TWD 142.38 TWD 61
PEG = 1.0 76.67 TWD 109.52 TWD 142.38 TWD 57
EPV 60.90 TWD 69.57 TWD 77.15 TWD 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 42.75 TWD 88.90 TWD 141.02 TWD 66
DDM Multi-Stage 42.75 TWD 74.96 TWD 93.30 TWD 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 126.37 TWD 168.50 TWD 210.62 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 33.41 TWD 44.55 TWD 55.69 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 97.65 TWD 130.20 TWD 162.75 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 117.95 TWD 154.31 TWD 190.67 TWD 66
EV/EBITDA 106.76 TWD 139.39 TWD 172.02 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 40.06 TWD 53.42 TWD 66.79 TWD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 35.26 TWD 47.25 TWD 70.53 TWD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 93.88 TWD 165.67 TWD 292.59 TWD 75
Rev-Margin DCF 57.28 TWD 87.89 TWD 129.32 TWD 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 63.70 TWD 71.93 TWD 115.02 TWD 75
ROIC Compounder 60.90 TWD 69.57 TWD 86.69 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 115.87 TWD 165.53 TWD 215.19 TWD 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (176.70 TWD) versus Asset-Based (47.25 TWD). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.7
P/S ratio 2.61 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 7.32 TWD price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.7
Dividend yield 4.1% payout 52.0%
Net margin 20.6% FY2025
Return on equity 8.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 13.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 22.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 4.7B TWD TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.2% 3y avg −13.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −66.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 798M TWD FY2025
Net debt 930M TWD FY2025 · ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc. manufactures and sells various types of chains, auto parts, motorcycle components, and vehicle components in Asia, Europe, and the United States. The company offers bicycle chains, automobile timing systems, and garage door openers, as well as provides after-sales service treatment for electric bicycles.

Full company description

KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc. manufactures and sells various types of chains, auto parts, motorcycle components, and vehicle components in Asia, Europe, and the United States. The company offers bicycle chains, automobile timing systems, and garage door openers, as well as provides after-sales service treatment for electric bicycles. It is also involved in investing activities; and leasing owned properties and plants. KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc. was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Tainan City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc reported revenue of 4.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 7.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound −11.9%/yr. Reported net income was 965M TWD in FY2025, compounding −16.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.7B TWD
Latest YoY
−5.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in TWD) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−5.2% · in TWD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−9.3%
Dividend yield4.1%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −9.3% vs 10Y 2.2%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.32.6% (2020) → 21.8% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop63% (2023) · in TWD
Revenue −11.9%/yr
FY21 7.8B TWD
FY22 7.1B TWD
FY23 4.7B TWD
FY24 5.0B TWD
FY25 4.7B TWD
Net income −16.7%/yr
FY21 2.0B TWD
FY22 1.9B TWD
FY23 742M TWD
FY24 917M TWD
FY25 965M TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +1.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.7 %

of which total revenue +3.9 % · buybacks/dilution −1.2 %

EBIT margin −2.0 %
Tax rate −0.9 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.9 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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123.13 TWD +25%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5306.TW

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +33% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.32× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.47× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE77 · sector 14
FUTURE26 · sector 21
PAST35 · sector 28
HEALTH94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND59 · sector 32

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).

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O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $88.50 $47.50 −46%
AutoZone, Inc AZO $2,983 $2,287 −23%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 450,500 KRW 643,909 KRW +43%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥57.67 ¥84.47 +46%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹165.30 ₹80.63 −51%
Magna International Inc MGA $65.57 $68.17 +4%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $137.51 $58.07 −58%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,700 ₹11,534 −76%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.82 ¥28.28 −38%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,063 ₹393.20 −81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc (5306) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 123.13 TWD versus a price of 92.60 TWD, about +33% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5306?
Our model-based fair value for KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc is 123.13 TWD (as of Aug 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 92.60 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5306?
KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc (5306)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 123.13 TWD (as of Aug 15, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 90.51 TWD, optimistic scenario 155.76 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 123.13 TWD, about +33% upside versus a price of 92.60 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 90.51 TWD, optimistic scenario 155.76 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc (5306)?
KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.7B TWD (latest available figure, as of Aug 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5306?
The net profit margin of KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc is about 16.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc pay a dividend?
KMC (Kuei Meng) International Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.11% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 15, 2026).
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