MST Golf Group (5316) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · MY · Market cap 111M MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price −10.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0400 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (0.0200 MYR to 0.0400 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
37‑month range 0.1300 MYR – 0.7650 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0200 MYR – 0.0400 MYR · the 0.1300 MYR price screens above the 0.0300 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
MST Golf Group (5316) currently trades at 0.1300 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0300 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 76.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, MST Golf Group generated revenue of 289M MYR at a net margin of -4.5%. Revenue declined 13.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.8%. Net debt stands at 6.1M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.0200 MYR (bear case) to 0.0400 MYR (bull case); at 0.1300 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -77%, 5316 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (0.3500 MYR) versus Earnings-Based (0.0200 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MST Golf Group Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of golf equipment in Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia. It operates through three segments: Trading, Golf Services, and Others.
Full company description
MST Golf Group Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of golf equipment in Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia. It operates through three segments: Trading, Golf Services, and Others. The company offers accessories and apparels, golf event management, and golf related services, as well as operates golf clubs, golf driving range, golf academy and events, and indoor golf centres. It also engages in export and e-commerce business. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Subang Jaya, Malaysia. MST Golf Group Berhad is a subsidiary of All Sportz Sdn. Bhd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MST Golf Group reported revenue of 298M MYR in FY2025 versus 207M MYR in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −9.5M MYR in FY2025.
5316 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Casey's General Stores, Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $827.04 | $405.44 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $222.84 | $164.16 | -26% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $479.57 | $488.39 | +2% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $208.89 | $181.10 | -13% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.98 | $109.12 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥52.90 | ¥40.40 | -24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $31.01 | $35.52 | +15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $618.57 | $423.35 | -32% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $197.71 | $117.29 | -41% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 110.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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