MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD MYR 0.03, price MYR 0.13, upside -76.9%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range 0.1250 MYR – 0.7650 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0200 MYR – 0.0400 MYR · the 0.1300 MYR price screens above the 0.0300 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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MST Golf Group Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of golf equipment in Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia. It operates through three segments: Trading, Golf Services, and Others.
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MST Golf Group Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of golf equipment in Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia. It operates through three segments: Trading, Golf Services, and Others. The company offers accessories and apparels, golf event management, and golf related services, as well as operates golf clubs, golf driving range, golf academy and events, and indoor golf centres. It also engages in export and e-commerce business. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Subang Jaya, Malaysia. MST Golf Group Berhad is a subsidiary of All Sportz Sdn. Bhd.
Stock analysis
MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316) currently trades at 0.1300 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0300 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 333.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 0.2900 MYR per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the 0.1300 MYR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0300 MYR, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0200 MYR (bear) to 0.0400 MYR (bull), the price of 0.1300 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD reported revenue of 298M MYR in FY2025 versus 207M MYR in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −9.5M MYR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 107M MYR (≈ $26.2M) · P/S ratio 0.38 · EPS (TTM) −0.0200 MYR · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin −3.2% · Return on equity −5.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% · Operating margin −6.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at −77%, 5316 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.0200 MYRFair Value 0.0300 MYRBull 0.0400 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.3% (2020) → 0.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−28.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −29.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.12× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.09× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF0.6× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA1.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)46· sector 63
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5316
Frequently asked questions
Is MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0300 MYR versus a price of 0.1300 MYR, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5316?
Our model-based fair value for MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD is 0.0300 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.1300 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5316?
MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0300 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0200 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.0400 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0300 MYR, about −77% upside versus a price of 0.1300 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0200 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.0400 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 289M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD pay a dividend?
MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.31% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD would have to grow free cash flow by -28.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5316 use?
Our models discount MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD that is -28.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD grew +11.9 % a year. The price currently implies -28.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (-28.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 41.36 %: that much free cash flow MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD it is 0.0300 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.1300 MYR. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5316 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.1300 MYR, fair value 0.0300 MYR, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5316?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1300 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0300 MYR). For MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD the two are 0.1000 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD worth?
The market values MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD at about 107M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.1300 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0300 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5316?
Our models span a range for MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD: cautious scenario 0.0200 MYR, base 0.0300 MYR, optimistic 0.0400 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.1300 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
Balance-sheet figures for MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −5.8%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5316 from its 52-week high?
MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD trades at 0.1300 MYR, about 41% below its 52-week high of 0.2200 MYR and 4% above the low of 0.1250 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0300 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.1300 MYR, calculated fair value 0.0300 MYR (−77%), Quality Score 47/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5316 calculated?
We run MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0300 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.1300 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.0300 MYR, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0400 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.0200 MYR to 0.0400 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD
How large is the market capitalisation of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
The market capitalisation of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD is 107M MYR (≈ $26.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD is 0.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
Earnings per share at MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD are −0.0200 MYR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
The dividend yield of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD is 2.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
The net margin of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD is −3.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD is −5.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
The operating margin of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD is −6.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
Revenue at MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD is growing −13.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316)?
Earnings per share at MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD are growing −26.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD (5316) carry?
The net debt of MST GOLF GROUP BERHAD is 6.1M MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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