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Radico Khaitan Limited (532497) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Radico Khaitan Limited ₹543, price ₹4,268, upside -87.3%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Radico Khaitan Limited
532497 · BSEStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value ₹543.49 · Strongly overvalued (−87.3%)
!Quality 53/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +12.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
✓0.4% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹578.87 – ₹4,720 · fair‑value band ₹277.86 – ₹679.36 · the ₹4,268 price screens above the ₹543.49 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Radico Khaitan Limited manufactures and sells Indian made foreign liquor (IMFL) in India.
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Radico Khaitan Limited manufactures and sells Indian made foreign liquor (IMFL) in India. The company provides IMFL products in various categories of whisky, brandy, rum, and white spirits under the brand names of Magic Moments and Magic Moments Verve Vodka, Morpheus and Morpheus Blue Brandy, 8PM and 8PM Premium Black Whisky, 1965 The Spirit of Victory Rum, Rampur Indian Single Malt Whisky, Jaisalmer Indian Craft Gin, Contessa Rum, Old Admiral Brandy, After Dark Whisky, Pluton Bay Rum, and Regal Talon Whisky. In addition, it offers bottling services to other spirit manufacturers. The company also exports its products to approximately 85 countries. The company, formerly known as Rampur Distillery Company, was founded in 1943 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Radico Khaitan Limited (532497) currently trades at ₹4,268, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹543.49, 87.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹673.49 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹4,268 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹138.16, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹277.86 (bear) to ₹679.36 (bull), the price of ₹4,268 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Radico Khaitan Limited reported revenue of ₹171B in FY2025 versus ₹105B in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.5B in FY2025, compounding +5.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹56.8B (≈ $589M) · P/E ratio 28.5 · P/S ratio 0.58 · EPS (TTM) ₹15.87 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 13.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at −87%, 532497 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹38.43 to ₹1,156). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹277.86
Fair Value ₹543.49
Bull ₹679.36
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹13.87 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
₹159.50
₹262.13
₹516.93
76
Residual Income
₹181.48
₹206.89
₹284.88
76
Growth DCF
₹152.02
₹279.74
₹490.53
75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
₹159.50
₹262.13
₹516.93
76
Owner Earnings
₹273.02
₹553.36
₹1,057
72
5Y Revenue Exit
₹291.64
₹600.03
₹1,127
68
5Y EBITDA Exit
₹356.19
₹742.71
₹1,358
71
5Y P/E Exit
₹305.13
₹657.95
₹1,106
67
10Y Revenue Exit
₹229.32
₹522.69
₹951.52
63
10Y EBITDA Exit
₹282.35
₹629.63
₹1,259
63
10Y P/E Exit
₹249.84
₹545.04
₹1,043
60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹175.99
₹1,156
₹1,618
63
Lynch FV
₹336.78
₹481.12
₹625.45
61
PEG = 1.0
₹336.78
₹481.12
₹625.45
57
EPV
₹276.67
₹315.57
₹347.98
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
₹23.35
₹42.07
₹57.91
68
DDM Multi-Stage
₹23.35
₹38.43
₹44.94
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹407.62
₹543.49
₹679.36
63
P/S Multiple
₹329.97
₹439.97
₹549.96
58
P/B Multiple
₹329.97
₹439.97
₹549.96
55
EV/EBIT
₹496.53
₹664.89
₹833.25
66
EV/EBITDA
₹480.01
₹642.86
₹805.71
67
EV/Revenue
₹351.94
₹506.44
₹660.93
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹103.10
₹138.16
₹206.21
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
₹152.02
₹279.74
₹490.53
75
Rev-Margin DCF
₹291.64
₹606.43
₹1,066
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹181.48
₹206.89
₹284.88
76
ROIC Compounder
₹315.03
₹432.31
₹544.28
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹471.44
₹673.49
₹875.54
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
53/100
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Profitability
59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +27.7% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 3%
532497 screens overvalued: fair value 87% below the price. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 92 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Alcohol
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,237 | ¥1,653 | +34% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥69.67 | ¥76.64 | +10% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥111.18 | ¥209.69 | +89% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €59.00 | €56.69 | −4% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥70.65 | ¥149.17 | +111% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4400 SGD | 0.7300 SGD | +66% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥37.47 | ¥24.22 | −35% |
| Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Joint-Stock Co 603369 | ¥26.92 | ¥38.66 | +44% |
| Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co 603198 | ¥37.20 | ¥30.27 | −19% |
| Endeavour Group EDV | A$2.99 | A$1.37 | −54% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Radico Khaitan Limited (532497) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹543.49 versus a price of ₹4,268, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 532497?
Our model-based fair value for Radico Khaitan Limited is ₹543.49 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹4,268.
What is the quality score of 532497?
Radico Khaitan Limited has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹543.49 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹277.86, optimistic scenario ₹679.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Radico Khaitan Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹543.49, about −87% upside versus a price of ₹4,268 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹277.86, optimistic scenario ₹679.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Radico Khaitan Limited pay a dividend?
Radico Khaitan Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Radico Khaitan Limited it is ₹543.49 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹4,268. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Radico Khaitan Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 532497 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹4,268, fair value ₹543.49, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 532497?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹4,268); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹543.49). For Radico Khaitan Limited the two are ₹3,725 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Radico Khaitan Limited worth?
The market values Radico Khaitan Limited at about ₹56.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹4,268; our models calculate a fair value of ₹543.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 532497?
Our models span a range for Radico Khaitan Limited: cautious scenario ₹277.86, base ₹543.49, optimistic ₹679.36 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹4,268). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 532497?
Radico Khaitan Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹543.49 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 16.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
Balance-sheet figures for Radico Khaitan Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.7%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 532497 from its 52-week high?
Radico Khaitan Limited trades at ₹4,268, about 10% below its 52-week high of ₹4,720 and 68% above the low of ₹2,537 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹543.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Radico Khaitan Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Pernod Ricard SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Radico Khaitan Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹4,268, calculated fair value ₹543.49 (−87%), Quality Score 53/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 532497 calculated?
We run Radico Khaitan Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹543.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Radico Khaitan Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹4,268. Our model-based fair value is ₹543.49, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Radico Khaitan Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹679.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹277.86 to ₹679.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Radico Khaitan Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
The market capitalisation of Radico Khaitan Limited is ₹56.8B (≈ $589M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Radico Khaitan Limited is 0.58 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
Earnings per share at Radico Khaitan Limited are ₹15.87 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
The dividend yield of Radico Khaitan Limited is 0.4% (payout 118%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
The net margin of Radico Khaitan Limited is 2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Radico Khaitan Limited is 13.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Radico Khaitan Limited is 10.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
The operating margin of Radico Khaitan Limited is 13.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
Revenue at Radico Khaitan Limited is growing +10.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Radico Khaitan Limited (532497)?
Earnings per share at Radico Khaitan Limited are growing −9.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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