Endeavour Group (EDV) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · AU · Market cap A$6.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from A$4.98 to A$4.03 (−19.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +4.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from A$3.02 (bear) to A$5.04 (bull), base A$4.03. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$2.84 – A$7.08 · fair‑value band A$3.02 – A$5.04 · the A$3.50 price screens below the A$4.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Endeavour Group (EDV) currently trades at A$3.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$4.03, implying the stock looks roughly 15.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Endeavour Group generated revenue of A$12.1B at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at A$5.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$3.02 (bear case) to A$5.04 (bull case); at A$3.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 15%, EDV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$5.29) versus Asset-Based (A$1.43). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Endeavour Group Limited engages in the retail drinks and hospitality businesses in Australia. It operates through Retail, Hotels, and Other segments. The company operates stores that procure, manufacture, and sell drinks; and hotels that provide on-premises bars, food and drinks, wagering, accommodation, live entertainment, and gaming services.
Full company description
Endeavour Group Limited engages in the retail drinks and hospitality businesses in Australia. It operates through Retail, Hotels, and Other segments. The company operates stores that procure, manufacture, and sell drinks; and hotels that provide on-premises bars, food and drinks, wagering, accommodation, live entertainment, and gaming services. It operates under the Dan Murphy's, BWS, Pinnacle, Nightcap, ALH, DELIVERY, FULFILLED, LANGTONS, MixIn, Paragon Wine Estates, endeavourX, and other brand names. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Endeavour Group reported revenue of A$12.1B in FY2025 versus A$11.6B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was A$426M in FY2025, compounding −1.1%/yr from FY2021.
Watch EDV: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Should Endeavour’s A$100m Cost Cuts And Asset Shake-Up Require Action From Endeavour Group (ASX:EDV) Investors?
- Endeavour Group Ltd (EDVGF) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Growth Amidst Market ...
- Is Endeavour Group Limited (ASX:EDV) Trading At A 47% Discount?
- Bullish Endeavour Group Insiders Loaded Up On AU$1.20m Of Stock
Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,251 | ¥1,238 | -1% |
| Diageo plc DEON | 1,487 MXN | 1,239 MXN | -17% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥73.69 | ¥48.44 | -34% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥110.50 | ¥185.80 | +68% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €65.24 | €76.68 | +18% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥83.12 | ¥149.17 | +79% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $26.60 | $28.15 | +6% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,376 | ₹440.56 | -68% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4450 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +55% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥38.08 | ¥27.82 | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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