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Gamuda Berhad, (5398) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · MY · Market cap 24.6B MYR

GB Gamuda Berhad, 5398 · KLSE
Price4.46 MYR
Fair Value2.43 MYR
Upside-45.5%
Quality32/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 5.9% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
2.47% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range 1.82 MYR – 3.03 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +9.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 45% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.03 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

5.63 MYR 1.04 MYR Fair Value 2.43 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.04 MYR – 5.63 MYR · fair‑value band 1.82 MYR – 3.03 MYR · the 4.46 MYR price screens above the 2.43 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Gamuda Berhad, (5398) currently trades at 4.46 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.43 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 45.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Gamuda Berhad, generated revenue of 16.1B MYR at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at 6.9B MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.82 MYR (bear case) to 3.03 MYR (bull case); at 4.46 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -45%, 5398 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 1.69 MYR 1.82 MYR 2.27 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 0.9500 MYR 1.23 MYR 1.48 MYR 72
Gordon GGM 0.2400 MYR 0.4900 MYR 0.7800 MYR 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 0.6300 MYR 2.34 MYR 5.89 MYR 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.14 MYR 7.84 MYR 11.00 MYR 54
Lynch FV 2.31 MYR 3.29 MYR 4.28 MYR 50
PEG = 1.0 2.31 MYR 3.29 MYR 4.28 MYR 46
EPV 0.9500 MYR 1.23 MYR 1.48 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.2400 MYR 0.4900 MYR 0.7800 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.2400 MYR 0.4200 MYR 0.5200 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.65 MYR 3.53 MYR 4.42 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 2.14 MYR 2.86 MYR 3.57 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 2.14 MYR 2.86 MYR 3.57 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 2.07 MYR 3.00 MYR 3.94 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 1.73 MYR 2.56 MYR 3.38 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 1.27 MYR 2.12 MYR 2.98 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.01 MYR 1.35 MYR 2.01 MYR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.69 MYR 1.82 MYR 2.27 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 0.9500 MYR 1.23 MYR 1.48 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 3.18 MYR 4.54 MYR 5.90 MYR 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (4.54 MYR) versus Dividend Discount (0.4200 MYR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 16.1B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.2%
Net margin 6.4%
Return on equity 8.4%
Free cash flow −715M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 25.3
More key figures
Operating margin 7.5%
EPS (TTM) 0.1700 MYR
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +2.1%
Net debt 6.9B MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gamuda Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the civil engineering construction business in Malaysia, Australia, Vietnam, Singapore, Taiwan, Bahrain, and the United Kingdom. It operates in two segments, Engineering and Construction; and Property Development and Club Operations.

Full company description

Gamuda Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the civil engineering construction business in Malaysia, Australia, Vietnam, Singapore, Taiwan, Bahrain, and the United Kingdom. It operates in two segments, Engineering and Construction; and Property Development and Club Operations. The company offers engineering and construction services, including stormwater management and road tunnel, digital industrialized building system, urban transformation, rail and metro systems, roads and expressways, water and hydroelectric dam, urban regeneration, water treatment and power plant, ports, marine structure and buildings, bridges, airport, general and trading services related to construction activities, and management of water supply; development and rental of residential and commercial properties, as well as club operations; infrastructure concessions; and cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and automation. It is also involved in theme park operation; security services; supplying and planting of landscaping materials and provision of landscaping services; hotel and resort hotel services; business management consultancy services; manufacturing and installation of prefabricated concrete panels; facility maintenance services and parking facilities; insurance agent; medical laboratories and healthcare services; undertake reclamation and development of new lands; maintenance of mechanical and electrical services; architectural activities and technical consulting services; and provision of real estate consulting, brokerage, auction services, and land use rights auction services. The company was incorporated in 1976 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gamuda Berhad, reported revenue of 16.0B MYR in FY2025 versus 3.3B MYR in FY2021, a compound +48.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.0B MYR in FY2025, compounding +14.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
16.0B MYR
Latest YoY
+19.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+48.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+34.2%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+14.5%
Revenue +48.7%/yr
FY21 3.3B MYR
FY22 4.9B MYR
FY23 8.2B MYR
FY24 13.3B MYR
FY25 16.0B MYR
Net income +14.3%/yr
FY21 588M MYR
FY22 806M MYR
FY23 1.8B MYR
FY24 912M MYR
FY25 1.0B MYR

5398 screens 45% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gamuda Berhad, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5398

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 44% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.64× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.50× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.35× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.09× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 35 · sector 26
HEALTH 68 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gamuda Berhad, (5398) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.43 MYR versus a price of 4.46 MYR, about −45% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5398?
Our model-based fair value for Gamuda Berhad, is 2.43 MYR (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 4.46 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5398?
Gamuda Berhad, has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gamuda Berhad, (5398)?
Gamuda Berhad, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.1B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5398?
The net profit margin of Gamuda Berhad, is about 6.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Gamuda Berhad, pay a dividend?
Gamuda Berhad, currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.34% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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