NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD S$0.20, price S$0.19, upside +5.3%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Noel Gifts International Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides hampers, flowers, and gifts in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through Gifts and Investment segments. The company offers its products through its retail outlets, online, and tele sales and outdoor sales.
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Noel Gifts International Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides hampers, flowers, and gifts in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through Gifts and Investment segments. The company offers its products through its retail outlets, online, and tele sales and outdoor sales. Noel Gifts International Ltd was formerly known as Noel Hampers and Gifts Pte Ltd and changed its name to Noel Gifts International Ltd in 1993. The company was founded in 1975 and is based in Singapore.
Stock analysis
NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543) currently trades at 0.1900 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2000 SGD, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.2600 SGD per share, and 3 of the 9 models we run sit above the 0.1900 SGD price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.0400 SGD, and 6 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.1700 SGD (bear) to 0.2000 SGD (bull), the price of 0.1900 SGD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD reported revenue of 17.6M SGD in FY2025 versus 18.9M SGD in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was 262K SGD in FY2025, compounding −35.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 19.5M SGD (≈ $15.2M) · P/E ratio 19.0 · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) 0.0100 SGD · Net margin 1.5% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% · Operating margin −5.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at 5%, 543 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.1700 SGDFair Value 0.2000 SGDBull 0.2000 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0100 SGD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.0% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−28.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → −5%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.2%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 206 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+5.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4.1% · Below median
Return on assets0.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)6.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−5.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth37.0% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/543
Frequently asked questions
Is NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2000 SGD versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of 0.1900 SGD, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 543?
Our model-based fair value for NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD is 0.2000 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): 0.1900 SGD.
What is the quality score of 543?
NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.2000 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1700 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.2000 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.2000 SGD, about +5% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of 0.1900 SGD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 0.1700 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.2000 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 19.8M SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD it is 0.2000 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 0.1900 SGD. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 543 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.1900 SGD, fair value 0.2000 SGD, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 543?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1900 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.2000 SGD). For NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD the two are 0.0100 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD worth?
The market values NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD at about 19.5M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 0.1900 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.2000 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 543?
Our models span a range for NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD: cautious scenario 0.1700 SGD, base 0.2000 SGD, optimistic 0.2000 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 0.1900 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 543?
NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.2000 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 8.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
Balance-sheet figures for NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 4.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 543 from its 52-week high?
NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD trades at 0.1900 SGD, about 24% below its 52-week high of 0.2500 SGD and 12% above the low of 0.1700 SGD (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.2000 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 0.1900 SGD, calculated fair value 0.2000 SGD (+5%), Quality Score 43/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 543 calculated?
We run NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.2000 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD currently trades 5 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at 0.1900 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.2000 SGD, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD
How large is the market capitalisation of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
The market capitalisation of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD is 19.5M SGD (≈ $15.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD is 0.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
Earnings per share at NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD are 0.0100 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
The net margin of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD is 1.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
The operating margin of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD is −5.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
Revenue at NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD is growing +37.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
Earnings per share at NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD are growing +15.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543) generate?
The free cash flow of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD is −50.4M SGD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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