NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SG · Market cap 20.3M SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −3.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0700 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1598 SGD – 0.3633 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0400 SGD – 0.0700 SGD · the 0.1920 SGD price screens above the 0.0600 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
Analysis
NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543) currently trades at 0.1920 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0600 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 68.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD generated revenue of 19.8M SGD at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue grew 37.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 19.2. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.0400 SGD (bear case) to 0.0700 SGD (bull case); at 0.1920 SGD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at -69%, 543 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (0.2200 SGD) versus Earnings-Based (0.0200 SGD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when 543 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Noel Gifts International Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides hampers, flowers, and gifts in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through Gifts and Investment segments. The company offers its products through its retail outlets, online, and tele sales and outdoor sales.
Full company description
Noel Gifts International Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides hampers, flowers, and gifts in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through Gifts and Investment segments. The company offers its products through its retail outlets, online, and tele sales and outdoor sales. Noel Gifts International Ltd was formerly known as Noel Hampers and Gifts Pte Ltd and changed its name to Noel Gifts International Ltd in 1993. The company was founded in 1975 and is based in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD reported revenue of 17.6M SGD in FY2025 versus 18.9M SGD in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was 262K SGD in FY2025, compounding −35.0%/yr from FY2021.
543 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 223 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$93.19 | C$75.00 | -20% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $839.03 | $398.90 | -52% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $245.15 | $162.63 | -34% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $531.89 | $475.40 | -11% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $202.66 | $181.10 | -11% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.00 | $108.04 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥54.97 | ¥40.40 | -27% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $36.43 | $35.52 | -2% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $544.22 | $423.35 | -22% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 109.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -26% |
Compare NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 543?
What is the quality score of 543?
What is the revenue of NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD (543)?
What is the net profit margin of 543?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.