Minho M Bhd (5576) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Minho M Bhd MYR 0.59, price MYR 0.26, upside +126.9%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.2450 MYR – 0.4283 MYR · fair‑value band 0.4800 MYR – 0.5900 MYR · the 0.2600 MYR price screens below the 0.5900 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Minho (M) Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the timber industry in Malaysia. The company operates through Timber Extraction, Timber Trading, Manufacturing, Service and Treatment, Property Development, and Others segments. The Timber Extraction segment is involved in the exploitation of forest concession; and sale of timber logs.
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Minho (M) Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the timber industry in Malaysia. The company operates through Timber Extraction, Timber Trading, Manufacturing, Service and Treatment, Property Development, and Others segments. The Timber Extraction segment is involved in the exploitation of forest concession; and sale of timber logs. The Timber Trading segment sells processed sawn timber and its related products. The Manufacturing segment manufactures rough sawn timber, and molded timber and its related products; and manufactures and distributes industrial paper bags. The Service and Treatment segment offers timber kiln drying and chemical preservative treatment. The Property Development segment engages in the property development and building construction. The Others segment is involved in leasing of timber rights; and rental of equipment. It also engages in trading of garden furniture; and exporting molded timber products. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Klang, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Minho M Bhd (5576) currently trades at 0.2600 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5900 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 55.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.7600 MYR per share, and 18 of the 22 models we run sit above the 0.2600 MYR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.1300 MYR, and 4 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.4800 MYR (bear) to 0.5900 MYR (bull), the price of 0.2600 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Minho M Bhd reported revenue of 178M MYR in FY2025 versus 222M MYR in FY2021, a compound −5.4%/yr. Reported net income was 5.7M MYR in FY2025, compounding −7.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 92.7M MYR (≈ $22.8M) · P/E ratio 13.0 · P/S ratio 0.42 · EPS (TTM) 0.0200 MYR · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 3.2% · Return on equity 1.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 127%, 5576 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.4800 MYRFair Value 0.5900 MYRBull 0.5900 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0080 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.4% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+15.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12% vs −8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.1%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−29.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −31.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 75 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+127% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Above median
Return on assets1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Minho M Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5576
Frequently asked questions
Is Minho M Bhd (5576) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5900 MYR versus a price of 0.2600 MYR, about +127% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5576?
Our model-based fair value for Minho M Bhd is 0.5900 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.2600 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5576?
Minho M Bhd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Minho M Bhd (5576)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.5900 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.4800 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.5900 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Minho M Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.5900 MYR, about +127% upside versus a price of 0.2600 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.4800 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.5900 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Minho M Bhd (5576)?
Minho M Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 178M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Minho M Bhd pay a dividend?
Minho M Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Minho M Bhd (5576)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Minho M Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by -29.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5576 use?
Our models discount Minho M Bhd at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.12, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Minho M Bhd that is -29.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Minho M Bhd (5576) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Minho M Bhd grew -2.4 % a year. The price currently implies -29.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Minho M Bhd (5576) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Minho M Bhd (-29.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Minho M Bhd (5576)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 20.10 %: that much free cash flow Minho M Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Minho M Bhd (5576)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Minho M Bhd it is 0.5900 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.2600 MYR. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Minho M Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5576 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.2600 MYR, fair value 0.5900 MYR, a gap of about +127% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5576?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.2600 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.5900 MYR). For Minho M Bhd the two are 0.3300 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Minho M Bhd worth?
The market values Minho M Bhd at about 92.7M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.2600 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.5900 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5576?
Our models span a range for Minho M Bhd: cautious scenario 0.4800 MYR, base 0.5900 MYR, optimistic 0.5900 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.2600 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5576?
Minho M Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.5900 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Minho M Bhd (5576)?
Balance-sheet figures for Minho M Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.6%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5576 from its 52-week high?
Minho M Bhd trades at 0.2600 MYR, about 15% below its 52-week high of 0.3056 MYR and 6% above the low of 0.2450 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.5900 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Minho M Bhd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Boise Cascade Company, Century Plyboards (India) Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Minho M Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.2600 MYR, calculated fair value 0.5900 MYR (+127%), Quality Score 58/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5576 calculated?
We run Minho M Bhd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.5900 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Minho M Bhd currently trades 127 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Minho M Bhd (5576)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 0.2600 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.5900 MYR, about +127% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Minho M Bhd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.4800 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Minho M Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Minho M Bhd (5576)?
The market capitalisation of Minho M Bhd is 92.7M MYR (≈ $22.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Minho M Bhd (5576)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Minho M Bhd is 0.42 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Minho M Bhd (5576)?
Earnings per share at Minho M Bhd are 0.0200 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Minho M Bhd (5576)?
The dividend yield of Minho M Bhd is 3.5% (payout 45.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Minho M Bhd (5576)?
The net margin of Minho M Bhd is 3.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Minho M Bhd (5576)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Minho M Bhd is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Minho M Bhd (5576)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Minho M Bhd is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Minho M Bhd (5576)?
The operating margin of Minho M Bhd is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Minho M Bhd (5576)?
Revenue at Minho M Bhd is growing −0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Minho M Bhd (5576)?
Earnings per share at Minho M Bhd are growing +116% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Minho M Bhd (5576) carry?
The net debt of Minho M Bhd is 8.8M MYR (fiscal year 2020, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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