Malaysia Smelting Corporation (5916) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · MY · Market cap 1.6B MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 1.99 MYR to 1.98 MYR (−0.5%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +16.7% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (1.35 MYR to 2.56 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.4951 MYR – 2.26 MYR · fair‑value band 1.35 MYR – 2.56 MYR · the 2.17 MYR price screens above the 1.98 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Malaysia Smelting Corporation (5916) currently trades at 2.17 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.98 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 8.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Malaysia Smelting Corporation generated revenue of 1.8B MYR at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 23.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.1%. Net debt stands at 158M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.35 MYR (bear case) to 2.56 MYR (bull case); at 2.17 MYR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -9%, 5916 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (2.05 MYR) versus Asset-Based (0.5800 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the smelting tin concentrates and tin bearing materials in Malaysia. It operates through three segments: Tin Smelting, Tin Mining, and Others.
Full company description
Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the smelting tin concentrates and tin bearing materials in Malaysia. It operates through three segments: Tin Smelting, Tin Mining, and Others. The company produces, sells, and delivers refined tin metal and by-products under the MSC brand; explores and mines tin; and invests in other metal and mineral resource companies. It is also involved in the tin warehousing; and properties holding and rental businesses. Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Port Klang, Malaysia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Malaysia Smelting Corporation reported revenue of 1.8B MYR in FY2025 versus 1.1B MYR in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was 82.0M MYR in FY2025, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.89 | $8.95 | -40% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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