AP OIL INTERNATIONAL LIMITED (5AU) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · SG · Market cap 20.9M SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 0.1800 SGD to 0.2000 SGD (+11.1%) since Aug 9, 2026. Share price −10.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.1333 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0915 SGD – 0.1706 SGD · fair‑value band 0.1333 SGD – 0.2222 SGD · the 0.1250 SGD price screens below the 0.2000 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
AP OIL INTERNATIONAL LIMITED (5AU) currently trades at 0.1250 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2000 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, AP OIL INTERNATIONAL LIMITED generated revenue of 56.8M SGD at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 12.5. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.1333 SGD (bear case) to 0.2222 SGD (bull case); at 0.1250 SGD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at 60%, 5AU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (0.2600 SGD) versus Earnings-Based (0.0800 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AP Oil International Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells lubricating oils and specialty chemicals for industrial, automotive, and marine applications in Singapore, the rest of Southeast Asia, the Middle East, East Asia, the Indian subcontinent, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Manufacturing and Trading.
Full company description
AP Oil International Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells lubricating oils and specialty chemicals for industrial, automotive, and marine applications in Singapore, the rest of Southeast Asia, the Middle East, East Asia, the Indian subcontinent, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Manufacturing and Trading. The company offers automotive lubricants, including gasoline and gas engine oils, diesel engine oils, motorcycle engine oils, and specialty lubricants and fluids; and industrial lubricants, such as chain, compressor, industrial gear, gas engine, heat transfer, paper machine, slideway, knitting machine textile, transformer, turbine, and industrial grade white oils, as well as hydraulic fluids and pneumatic tool lubricants. It also provides metal working oils and fluids, such as neat cutting oils, rust preventive fluids, stamping and forming fluids, and water-soluble cutting oils, as well as various greases, marine lubricants, and industrial special oils and fluids. In addition, the company engages in the toll-blending and manufacturing of specialty chemicals; trading in base oils, lubricant components, and commodity chemicals, etc.; provision of oil blending services; manufacture and trading of cleaning and chemical products; rental of cleaning equipment; and wholesale, import, and export of lubricating oils. It sells its products under the AP Oil, SIN-O, and Polaris brands. The company exports its products to approximately 20 countries and regions. The company was formerly known as Huan Chew Oil Trading Pte Ltd. and changed its name to AP Oil International Limited in March 2001. AP Oil International Limited was incorporated in 1975 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AP OIL INTERNATIONAL LIMITED reported revenue of 56.8M SGD in FY2025 versus 55.6M SGD in FY2021, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6M SGD in FY2025, compounding −12.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,329 | ₹751.26 | -43% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $330.21 | $127.32 | -61% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $348.25 | $133.18 | -62% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $225.58 | $99.41 | -56% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €29.61 | €3.83 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 70.20 TWD | 15.32 TWD | -78% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹317.00 | ₹846.81 | +167% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 122,400 KRW | 53,541 KRW | -56% |
| S-Oil Corporation 010950 | 140,900 KRW | 19,441 KRW | -86% |
| HD Hyundai Co 267250 | 230,500 KRW | 286,077 KRW | +24% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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