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GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED S$0.07, price S$0.12, upside -39.1%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · SG · ISIN SG1Y75948873

GG Thin data Sep 27, 2026

GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED

5PC · SG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 0.0700 SGD · Strongly overvalued (−39.1%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −25.8 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 55.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!1.7% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 4 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.1528 SGD 0.0863 SGD Fair Value 0.0700 SGD Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0863 SGD – 0.1528 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0500 SGD – 0.0900 SGD · the 0.1150 SGD price screens above the 0.0700 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Goodland Group Limited, an investment holding company, develops real estate properties in Singapore, Cambodia, and Malaysia. The company operates through Property development, Construction, Property investment, and Other segments. It develops and sells properties; constructs residential and commercial properties; and invests in properties and shares.

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Goodland Group Limited, an investment holding company, develops real estate properties in Singapore, Cambodia, and Malaysia. The company operates through Property development, Construction, Property investment, and Other segments. It develops and sells properties; constructs residential and commercial properties; and invests in properties and shares. The company also engages in the commercial and industrial real estate management, electrical work, and general building contractor services. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Singapore. Goodland Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Top Fortune Capital Pte. Ltd.

Stock analysis

GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC) currently trades at 0.1150 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0700 SGD, 39.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.3400 SGD per share, and 2 of the 4 models we run sit above the 0.1150 SGD price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.0700 SGD, and 2 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.0500 SGD (bear) to 0.0900 SGD (bull), the price of 0.1150 SGD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED reported revenue of 6.1M SGD in FY2025 versus 25.6M SGD in FY2021, a compound −30.2%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5M SGD in FY2025, compounding +10.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 41.3M SGD (≈ $32.2M) · P/E ratio 11.5 · P/S ratio 2.87 · EPS (TTM) 0.0100 SGD · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 25.0% · Return on equity 1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −39%, 5PC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.0500 SGD Fair Value 0.0700 SGD Bull 0.0900 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0080 SGD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 0.3500 SGD 0.3300 SGD 0.3100 SGD 76
P/S Multiple 0.0500 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 0.0500 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple 0.0500 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 0.0500 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2600 SGD 0.3400 SGD 0.5100 SGD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.3500 SGD 0.3300 SGD 0.3100 SGD 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 11/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−43.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−45.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −16.1% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+21.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+19.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−13% → −31%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 16.5%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

5PC screens overvalued: fair value 39% below the price. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 569 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −39.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Return on assets −0.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 55.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −23.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −29.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.18× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 7.23× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 72
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)35 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$107.10 HK$155.14 +45%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$28.64 HK$71.60 +150%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.00 HK$71.49 +55%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.57 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹683.00 ₹167.48 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.42 HK$22.33 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,165 ₹274.14 −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.56 ¥5.87 +6%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.18 ¥6.04 −16%
The Wharf (Holdings) Limited 0004 HK$19.39 HK$8.31 −57%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5PC

Frequently asked questions

Is GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0700 SGD versus a price of 0.1150 SGD, about −39% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5PC?
Our model-based fair value for GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED is 0.0700 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.1150 SGD.
What is the quality score of 5PC?
GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0700 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0500 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0900 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0700 SGD, about −39% upside versus a price of 0.1150 SGD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0500 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0900 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.5M SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED pay a dividend?
GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.74% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED it is 0.0700 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 0.1150 SGD. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 5PC trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.1150 SGD, fair value 0.0700 SGD, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5PC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1150 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0700 SGD). For GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED the two are 0.0450 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED worth?
The market values GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED at about 41.3M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 0.1150 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0700 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5PC?
Our models span a range for GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED: cautious scenario 0.0500 SGD, base 0.0700 SGD, optimistic 0.0900 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 0.1150 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5PC?
GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.0700 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 7.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
Balance-sheet figures for GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 1.0%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5PC from its 52-week high?
GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED trades at 0.1150 SGD, about 19% below its 52-week high of 0.1420 SGD and 15% above the low of 0.1000 SGD (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0700 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 0.1150 SGD, calculated fair value 0.0700 SGD (−39%), Quality Score 49/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5PC calculated?
We run GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0700 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 0.1150 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.0700 SGD, about −39% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0900 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED

How large is the market capitalisation of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
The market capitalisation of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED is 41.3M SGD (≈ $32.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED is 2.87 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
Earnings per share at GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED are 0.0100 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
The dividend yield of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED is 1.7% (payout 20.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
The net margin of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED is 25.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
The operating margin of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED is −23.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
Revenue at GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED is growing −29.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −45.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC)?
Earnings per share at GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED are growing +181% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC) generate?
The free cash flow of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED is −21.7M SGD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED (5PC) carry?
The net debt of GOODLAND GROUP LIMITED is 101M SGD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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