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Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co (600035) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.6B CNY

HC Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co 600035 · SHG
Price¥3.44
Fair Value¥6.76
Upside+96.5%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.8% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
4.57% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥4.28 – ¥8.80 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −1.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 97% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥4.28). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥4.28 to ¥8.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥4.78 ¥2.45 Fair Value ¥6.76 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.45 – ¥4.78 · fair‑value band ¥4.28 – ¥8.80 · the ¥3.44 price screens below the ¥6.76 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co (600035) currently trades at ¥3.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.76, implying the stock looks roughly 96.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co generated revenue of 6.4B CNY at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue declined 13.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at 7.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.28 (bear case) to ¥8.80 (bull case); at ¥3.44, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 97%, 600035 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.33 ¥4.50 ¥4.54 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.4900 ¥1.19 ¥1.79 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.62 ¥5.21 ¥7.89 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.28 ¥12.21 ¥16.92 54
Lynch FV ¥3.37 ¥4.82 ¥6.26 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.37 ¥4.82 ¥6.26 46
EPV ¥0.4900 ¥1.19 ¥1.79 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.62 ¥5.21 ¥7.89 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.62 ¥4.50 ¥5.50 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.28 ¥7.04 ¥8.80 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.28 ¥5.70 ¥7.13 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.28 ¥5.70 ¥7.13 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.69 ¥7.56 ¥10.43 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.00 ¥11.97 ¥15.95 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.22 ¥3.43 ¥5.63 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.75 ¥3.69 ¥5.50 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.33 ¥4.50 ¥4.54 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.4900 ¥1.19 ¥1.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.97 ¥7.10 ¥9.22 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥7.10) versus Economic Profit (¥1.19). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.0%
Net margin 7.8%
Return on equity 3.9%
Free cash flow −1.3B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 11.8
More key figures
Operating margin 33.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3200
Dividend yield 4.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -11.8%
Net debt 7.6B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co.,Ltd. engages in the investment, construction, charging, maintenance and service management of roads, bridges, and other transportation infrastructure in China.

Full company description

Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co.,Ltd. engages in the investment, construction, charging, maintenance and service management of roads, bridges, and other transportation infrastructure in China. It is also involved in the advertising media; technical research and development; construction; investment, development, and operation of energy; and operation and service of intelligent transportation systems. The company was formerly known as Hubei Chutian Expressway Co.,Ltd. Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Wuhan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co reported revenue of ¥6.6B in FY2025 versus ¥3.3B in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥540M in FY2025, compounding −7.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+49.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+31.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+21.5%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+15.1%
Revenue +19.1%/yr
FY21 ¥3.3B
FY22 ¥2.9B
FY23 ¥3.2B
FY24 ¥4.4B
FY25 ¥6.6B
Net income −7.6%/yr
FY21 ¥740M
FY22 ¥723M
FY23 ¥942M
FY24 ¥768M
FY25 ¥540M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600035

Peer Group

Infrastructure Operations · 65 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +97% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.81× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.64× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.88× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.86× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 54
FUTURE 0 · sector 13
PAST 16 · sector 25
HEALTH 60 · sector 69
DIVIDEND 91 · sector 79

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co (600035) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.76 versus a price of ¥3.44, about +97% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600035?
Our model-based fair value for Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co is ¥6.76 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.44.
What is the quality score of 600035?
Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co (600035)?
Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600035?
The net profit margin of Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co is about 7.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co pay a dividend?
Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.23% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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