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Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co (600097) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 2.0B CNY

SK Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co 600097 · SHG
Price¥8.63
Fair Value¥6.48
Upside-24.9%
Quality58/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.21% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.86 – ¥8.11 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from ¥5.21 to ¥6.48 (+24.4%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +6.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥14.29 ¥7.02 Fair Value ¥6.48 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.02 – ¥14.29 · fair‑value band ¥4.86 – ¥8.11 · the ¥8.63 price screens above the ¥6.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co (600097) currently trades at ¥8.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.48, implying the stock looks roughly 24.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co generated revenue of 2.3B CNY at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 14.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. Net debt stands at 57.7M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.86 (bear case) to ¥8.11 (bull case); at ¥8.63, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -25%, 600097 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥6.58 ¥6.24 ¥4.90 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.11 ¥3.34 ¥3.53 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.6200 ¥1.12 ¥1.54 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥7.52 ¥11.71 ¥18.21 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.09 ¥9.96 ¥13.71 54
Lynch FV ¥2.65 ¥3.79 ¥4.93 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.65 ¥3.79 ¥4.93 46
EPV ¥3.11 ¥3.34 ¥3.53 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.6200 ¥1.12 ¥1.54 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.6200 ¥1.02 ¥1.20 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.83 ¥6.44 ¥8.05 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.91 ¥5.21 ¥6.52 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.91 ¥5.21 ¥6.52 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.41 ¥5.41 ¥6.41 53
EV/EBITDA ¥13.82 ¥17.96 ¥22.09 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.55 ¥4.47 ¥5.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.81 ¥6.45 ¥9.63 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.58 ¥6.24 ¥4.90 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.11 ¥3.34 ¥3.53 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.16 ¥5.94 ¥7.73 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥11.71) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.02). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.1%
Net margin 1.2%
Return on equity 1.3%
Free cash flow −18.0M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 74.6
More key figures
Operating margin -5.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1100
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -63.6%
Net debt 57.7M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the deep-sea fishing, aquatic product processing, and related trading businesses in China and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Deep-sea Fishing, Canned Fish Products Sales, Fish Trade, and Maritime Transportation.

Full company description

Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the deep-sea fishing, aquatic product processing, and related trading businesses in China and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Deep-sea Fishing, Canned Fish Products Sales, Fish Trade, and Maritime Transportation. It offers raw fish, including tuna, horse mackerel, Alaska pollack, Japanese mackerel, Antarctic krill; semi-processed products, such as tuna loins; canned aquatic products comprising tuna, sardine, beans, and meat; and other seafood, including sablefish, spot prawns, lingcod, rockfish, albacore tuna, chum salmon roe, Dungeness crab, and halibut, as well as coho, chum, and sockeye salmons. It is also involved in the acquisition, processing, and sale of wild salmon, tuna, flounder, black cod, peony shrimp, Arctic sweet shrimp, Canadian lobster, snow crab, rare crab, sea cucumber, panopea generosa, and other aquatic products. In addition, the company provides import and export services. The company was formerly known as Zhejiang Holley Technology Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co., Ltd. in April 2009. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co reported revenue of ¥2.3B in FY2025 versus ¥2.0B in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥73.9M in FY2025, compounding −21.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 33/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.0%
Revenue +4.2%/yr
FY21 ¥2.0B
FY22 ¥1.9B
FY23 ¥2.0B
FY24 ¥2.3B
FY25 ¥2.3B
Net income −21.1%/yr
FY21 ¥191M
FY22 ¥106M
FY23 ¥148M
FY24 ¥61.2M
FY25 ¥73.9M

600097 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600097

Peer Group

Farm Products · 288 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 74.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.85× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.88× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 5 · sector 17
HEALTH 98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 24 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

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PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
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PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co (600097) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.48 versus a price of ¥8.63, about −25% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600097?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co is ¥6.48 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.63.
What is the quality score of 600097?
Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co (600097)?
Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600097?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co is about 1.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co pay a dividend?
Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.17% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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