Chongqing road & bridge co.,ltd (600106) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from ¥0.7500 to ¥1.35 (+80.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥0.9180 to ¥1.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.37 – ¥7.81 · fair‑value band ¥0.9180 – ¥1.80 · the ¥4.48 price screens above the ¥1.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Chongqing road & bridge co.,ltd (600106) currently trades at ¥4.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.35, implying the stock looks roughly 69.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chongqing road & bridge co.,ltd generated revenue of 109M CNY at a net margin of 78.0%. Revenue declined 13.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.6%. Net debt stands at 286M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.9180 (bear case) to ¥1.80 (bull case); at ¥4.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -70%, 600106 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.68) versus Growth DCF (¥0.2900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chongqing road & bridge co.,ltd operates as an infrastructure and real estate development and operation company in China. The company engages in the operation of urban roads and bridges. It is also involved in the construction of roads, bridges, and urban infrastructure projects; and real estate development and construction activities.
Full company description
Chongqing road & bridge co.,ltd operates as an infrastructure and real estate development and operation company in China. The company engages in the operation of urban roads and bridges. It is also involved in the construction of roads, bridges, and urban infrastructure projects; and real estate development and construction activities. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Chongqing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chongqing road & bridge co.,ltd reported revenue of ¥113M in FY2025 versus ¥165M in FY2021, a compound −9.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥114M in FY2025, compounding −18.3%/yr from FY2021.
Peer Group
Infrastructure Operations · 65 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 | ¥9.88 | ¥9.16 | -7% |
| Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377 | ¥11.86 | ¥15.32 | +29% |
| Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 | ¥10.86 | ¥8.68 | -20% |
| Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina, S.A. IDEALB1 | 43.00 MXN | 43.57 MXN | +1% |
| Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. PINFRA | 281.25 MXN | 945.00 MXN | +236% |
| Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A MOTV3 | R$14.82 | R$29.18 | +97% |
| Zhejiang Expressway Co 0576 | HK$6.16 | HK$18.35 | +198% |
| Anhui Expressway Company 600012 | ¥16.31 | ¥14.90 | -9% |
| Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 | ¥14.33 | ¥17.93 | +25% |
| Shenzhen Expressway Corporation 600548 | ¥8.35 | ¥7.70 | -8% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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