Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Ningbo Bird Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.50 – ¥7.20 · fair‑value band ¥0.6500 – ¥0.6600 · the ¥4.46 price screens above the ¥0.6600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Ningbo Bird Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells electronic communication-related products in China. It offers mobile phones, palm computers, system equipment, and motherboards. The company also provides Android, bar, qwerty, and clamshell phones; and tablets.
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Ningbo Bird Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells electronic communication-related products in China. It offers mobile phones, palm computers, system equipment, and motherboards. The company also provides Android, bar, qwerty, and clamshell phones; and tablets. The company exports its products to France, Italy, other European countries, Russia, India, Mexico, Brazil, and internationally. Ningbo Bird Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.
Stock analysis
Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130) currently trades at ¥4.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6600, implying the stock looks roughly 575.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥0.8700 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the ¥4.46 price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at ¥0.1500, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.6500 (bear) to ¥0.6600 (bull), the price of ¥4.46 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Ningbo Bird Co Ltd reported revenue of 470M CNY in FY2025 versus 787M CNY in FY2021, a compound −12.1%/yr. Reported net income was 5.3M CNY in FY2025, compounding −40.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.3B CNY (≈ $499M) · P/E ratio 446.0 · P/S ratio 4.98 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0100 · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% · Operating margin 1.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −85%, 600130 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.0600 to ¥1.18). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥0.6500Fair Value ¥0.6600Bull ¥0.6600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0070 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.0%
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−29.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−29.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−29% vs −22%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 1%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 12.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 301 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth28% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)446.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.37× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)6.52× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 34
PAST (return on equity)4· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo Bird Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600130
Frequently asked questions
Is Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.6600 versus a price of ¥4.46, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600130?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Bird Co Ltd is ¥0.6600 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.46.
What is the quality score of 600130?
Ningbo Bird Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.6600 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.6500, optimistic scenario ¥0.6600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ningbo Bird Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.6600, about −85% upside versus a price of ¥4.46 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.6500, optimistic scenario ¥0.6600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130)?
Ningbo Bird Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 497M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ningbo Bird Co Ltd it is ¥0.6600 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥4.46. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ningbo Bird Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 600130 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.46, fair value ¥0.6600, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600130?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.6600). For Ningbo Bird Co Ltd the two are ¥3.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ningbo Bird Co Ltd worth?
The market values Ningbo Bird Co Ltd at about 3.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.46; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.6600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600130?
Our models span a range for Ningbo Bird Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.6500, base ¥0.6600, optimistic ¥0.6600 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥4.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600130?
Ningbo Bird Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 446.0 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥0.6600 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.4, P/S 6.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 1.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600130 from its 52-week high?
Ningbo Bird Co Ltd trades at ¥4.46, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥6.86 and 38% above the low of ¥3.23 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.6600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ningbo Bird Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ningbo Bird Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥4.46, calculated fair value ¥0.6600 (−85%), Quality Score 60/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600130 calculated?
We run Ningbo Bird Co Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.6600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Ningbo Bird Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Ningbo Bird Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.6600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (¥0.6500 to ¥0.6600), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Where does the earnings growth of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130) come from?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Bird Co Ltd grew −17.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −14.0 %, EBIT margin +5.3 %, tax rate −1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130)?
The market capitalisation of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd is 3.3B CNY (≈ $499M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd is 4.98 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Bird Co Ltd are ¥0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 446.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130)?
The net margin of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd is 1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130)?
The operating margin of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130)?
Revenue at Ningbo Bird Co Ltd is growing +27.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130) generate?
The free cash flow of Ningbo Bird Co Ltd is −29.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Ningbo Bird Co Ltd (600130) hold?
Ningbo Bird Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 474M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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