Hubei Xingfa Chemicals Group (600141) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 38.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −11.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 33% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥26.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.34 – ¥52.34 · fair‑value band ¥15.83 – ¥26.38 · the ¥31.47 price screens above the ¥21.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Hubei Xingfa Chemicals Group (600141) currently trades at ¥31.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.11, implying the stock looks roughly 32.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hubei Xingfa Chemicals Group generated revenue of 29.5B CNY at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue grew 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. Net debt stands at 11.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥15.83 (bear case) to ¥26.38 (bull case); at ¥31.47, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -33%, 600141 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥40.60) versus Asset-Based (¥12.27). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hubei Xingfa Chemicals Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells phosphorus-based chemicals in China and internationally.
Full company description
Hubei Xingfa Chemicals Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells phosphorus-based chemicals in China and internationally. The company offers phosphoric products, such as phosphoric acid; sodium hexametaphosphate, tripolyphosphate, hypophosphite, monofluorophosphate, trimetaphosphate, and acid pyrophosphate; trisodium phosphate and disodium phosphate food grade; dicalcium, monosodium, dipotassium, tricalcium, and triethyl phosphate; tetrapotassium pyrophosphate, tetrasodium pyrophosphate, and trisodium acid pyrophosphate; tetrakis hydroxymethyl phosphonium sulfate, tetrakis hydroxymethyl phosphonium sulfate-urea, tetrakis hydroxymethyl phosphonium chloride, and tetrakis hydroxymethyl phosphonium chloride-urea; and tris(1-chloro-2-propyl) phosphate and tris(hydroxymethyl) phosphine oxide. It also provides compound food additives; herbicides; organic silicones; fertilizers comprising monoammonium, diammonium phosphate, calcium hypophosphite monohydrate, and compound fertilizer; and electronic chemicals, including phosphoric and sulfuric acids EL grade, etchant, stripper, developer, and dimethyl sulfoxide. In addition, the company offers basic chemicals comprising glycine, calcium and sodium hypochlorite, anhydrous calcium chloride, phosphoric acid, yellow phosphorus, methylal, methyl chloride, phosphorus oxychloride, phosphorus trichloride, sodium hydroxide, calcium chloride dihydrate, liquid chlorine, hydrochloric acid, phosphate rocks, phosphorous acid, sodium fluorosilicate, ferrophosphorus, dimethyl dichlorosilance. Further, it provides vulcanization products, including dimethyl sulfoxide, dimethyl sulfone, dimethyl disulfide, dimethyl sulfide, sodium methyl mercaptide. ethyl mercaptan, t-dodecyl mercaptan, and phosphorus pentasulphide; and lithium iron phosphate and iron phosphate. Hubei Xingfa Chemicals Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1984 and is based in Yichang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hubei Xingfa Chemicals Group reported revenue of ¥29.3B in FY2025 versus ¥23.9B in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.5B in FY2025, compounding −23.2%/yr from FY2021.
600141 screens 33% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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