Taiyuan Heavy Industry Co (600169) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +3.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 52% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.77 – ¥3.48 · fair‑value band ¥0.7500 – ¥1.24 · the ¥2.05 price screens above the ¥0.9900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Taiyuan Heavy Industry Co (600169) currently trades at ¥2.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.9900, implying the stock looks roughly 51.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Taiyuan Heavy Industry Co generated revenue of 10.4B CNY at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at 9.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.7500 (bear case) to ¥1.24 (bull case); at ¥2.05, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -52%, 600169 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥2.54) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.5000). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Taiyuan Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells heavy-duty machinery in China. It offers railway wheels, axles, gearboxes, wheelsets, and tunnel boring machines; mining shovels and hydraulic excavators, semi-mobile crushing stations, self-mobile crushing stations, spreaders, discharging cars, crawler transporters, and belt conveyors; heavy duty and …
Full company description
Taiyuan Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells heavy-duty machinery in China. It offers railway wheels, axles, gearboxes, wheelsets, and tunnel boring machines; mining shovels and hydraulic excavators, semi-mobile crushing stations, self-mobile crushing stations, spreaders, discharging cars, crawler transporters, and belt conveyors; heavy duty and special cranes, and dry quenching lifters; seamless steel tube, plate and strip rolling mill and finishing, oil film bearing, coke oven and converter tilting equipment, plate correcting, and steel pipe welding equipment; and extrusion, forging hydraulic, punching hydraulic, and special purpose hydraulic presses. The company also provides wind turbine, cranes and forgings for nuclear power stations, and nuclear vessels; jack-up drilling platforms, lift-boats, port machinery, and hydraulic pile driving hammers; and coal chemical and petrochemical products, sea water desalinization, and coal-based direct iron reduction. In addition, it offers all-terrain telescopic and lattice boom crane, crawler-type telescopic and lattice boom care, hydraulic gantry crane, and other construction machinery products; and space launch towers, stage equipment, gear transmission, castings and forging equipment, and electric control equipment. The company also exports its products to approximately 50 countries. Its products are used in the fields of metallurgy, mining, energy, transportation, offshore, aerospace, chemical, railway, shipbuilding, environmental protection, etc. Taiyuan Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Taiyuan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Taiyuan Heavy Industry Co reported revenue of ¥9.2B in FY2024 versus ¥8.6B in FY2020, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥195M in FY2024, compounding +55.1%/yr from FY2020.
600169 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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