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Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co (600266) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap 8.5B CNY

BU Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co 600266 · SHG
Price¥4.03
Fair Value¥8.71
Upside+116.2%
Quality44/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.9% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
1.21% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥6.27 – ¥16.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 7, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +0.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 116% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥6.27). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥6.27 to ¥16.97). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.90 ¥3.26 Fair Value ¥8.71 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.26 – ¥7.90 · fair‑value band ¥6.27 – ¥16.97 · the ¥4.03 price screens below the ¥8.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co (600266) currently trades at ¥4.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.71, implying the stock looks roughly 116.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co generated revenue of 31.5B CNY at a net margin of -0.9%. Revenue grew 18.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.1%. Net debt stands at 24.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.27 (bear case) to ¥16.97 (bull case); at ¥4.03, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 116%, 600266 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.58 ¥24.59 74
Gordon GGM ¥5.84 ¥11.65 ¥17.63 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥5.84 ¥10.06 ¥12.29 61
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.42 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥10.24 ¥27.00 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.84 ¥17.08 ¥37.55 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.03 ¥23.75 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥11.12 ¥32.94 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥5.84 ¥11.65 ¥17.63 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥5.84 ¥10.06 ¥12.29 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥12.87 ¥21.10 ¥29.34 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.60 ¥14.08 ¥20.55 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.79 ¥7.63 ¥13.47 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.92 ¥6.60 ¥9.85 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.58 ¥24.59 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥14.08) versus Asset-Based (¥6.60). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 31.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.0%
Net margin -0.9%
Return on equity -2.1%
Free cash flow 559M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 12.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2300
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -53.5%
Net debt 24.6B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co., Ltd. engages in the acquisition and development of real estate properties in China. The company is involved in the development of residential, apartments, villas, commercial, hotels, office buildings, and cultural tourism properties.

Full company description

Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co., Ltd. engages in the acquisition and development of real estate properties in China. The company is involved in the development of residential, apartments, villas, commercial, hotels, office buildings, and cultural tourism properties. It also engages in renting of real estate and property management services. Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co reported revenue of ¥30.3B in FY2025 versus ¥24.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was −¥413M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
30.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+19.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.9%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+8.6%
Revenue +5.8%/yr
FY21 ¥24.2B
FY22 ¥24.6B
FY23 ¥20.4B
FY24 ¥25.4B
FY25 ¥30.3B
Net income
FY21 ¥641M
FY22 −¥926M
FY23 ¥559M
FY24 −¥951M
FY25 −¥413M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600266

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside +116% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 18% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.62× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 48
FUTURE 90 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 19 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 24 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co (600266) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.71 versus a price of ¥4.03, about +116% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600266?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co is ¥8.71 (as of Aug 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.03.
What is the quality score of 600266?
Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co (600266)?
Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 31.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600266?
The net profit margin of Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co is about -0.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co pay a dividend?
Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.14% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 7, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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