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Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai ¥7.05, price ¥2.80, upside +151.8%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · CN · ISIN CNE000001GR5

HI Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai

600325 · SHG

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value ¥7.05 · Strongly undervalued (+152%)
!Quality 37/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +10.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -15.4% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
·0.71% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range ¥3.24 to ¥14.68
!Weak on dividend: 14 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥12.03 ¥2.25 Fair Value ¥7.05 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.25 – ¥12.03 · fair‑value band ¥3.24 – ¥14.68 · the ¥2.80 price screens below the ¥7.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhuhai Huafa Properties Co.,Ltd engages in the real estate development business in China. It develops residential and commercial properties, as well as garages and shops.

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Zhuhai Huafa Properties Co.,Ltd engages in the real estate development business in China. It develops residential and commercial properties, as well as garages and shops. The company also engages in the club, real estate investment and marketing, wholesale and retail, urban renewal management, investment and asset management, real estate trade, and investment holding activities. In addition, it provides educational, education information consultation, consulting, city renovation, building decoration, technical, catering, design consulting, architectural design, and garden engineering services. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Zhuhai, China.

Stock analysis

Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325) currently trades at ¥2.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.05, implying the stock looks roughly 60.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥47.71 per share, and 7 of the 8 models we run sit above the ¥2.80 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.30, and 1 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥3.24 (bear) to ¥14.68 (bull), the price of ¥2.80 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai reported revenue of 83.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 51.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was −9.5B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 7.7B CNY (≈ $1.2B) · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) ¥−3.90 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −11.4% · Return on equity −9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% · Operating margin −11.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 152%, 600325 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥3.24 Fair Value ¥7.05 Bull ¥14.68
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥59.69 ¥104.06 ¥242.42 74
Growth DCF ¥54.68 ¥116.28 ¥236.84 73
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.51 ¥23.42 ¥49.29 69
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥59.69 ¥104.06 ¥242.42 74
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.30 ¥16.80 ¥36.93 66
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.51 ¥23.42 ¥49.29 69
10Y Revenue Exit ¥21.89 ¥47.71 ¥60.61 66
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥24.46 ¥54.19 ¥101.33 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.72 ¥2.30 ¥3.43 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥54.68 ¥116.28 ¥236.84 73
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.30 ¥22.65 ¥48.24 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+39.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +25.9% a year
Revenue growth 24 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.6%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.6% (2021) → 2.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 579 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +150% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −15% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −11% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −78% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 9.54× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.12× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 53
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 56

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$109.70 HK$153.48 +40%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.44 HK$71.69 +54%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.74 $1.52 −83%
DLF Limited DLF ₹669.50 ₹170.37 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.43 HK$22.35 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,144 ₹285.04 −75%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 4,980 IDR 1,325 IDR −73%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.68 ¥14.20 +150%
CTP N.V CTPNV €13.58 €10.30 −24%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.27 ¥7.06 −3%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600325

Frequently asked questions

Is Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.05 versus a price of ¥2.80, about +152% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600325?
Our model-based fair value for Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai is ¥7.05 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.80.
What is the quality score of 600325?
Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.05 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.24, optimistic scenario ¥14.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.05, about +152% upside versus a price of ¥2.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.24, optimistic scenario ¥14.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 69.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai pay a dividend?
Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai it is ¥7.05 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥2.80. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 600325 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥2.80, fair value ¥7.05, a gap of about +152% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600325?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.05). For Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai the two are ¥4.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai worth?
The market values Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai at about 7.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.80; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600325?
Our models span a range for Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai: cautious scenario ¥3.24, base ¥7.05, optimistic ¥14.68 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥2.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
Balance-sheet figures for Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −9.5%, debt of 9.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600325 from its 52-week high?
Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai trades at ¥2.80, about 51% below its 52-week high of ¥5.66 and 24% above the low of ¥2.25 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.05 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥2.80, calculated fair value ¥7.05 (+152%), Quality Score 37/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600325 calculated?
We run Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥7.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai currently trades 152 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥2.80. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.05, about +152% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥3.24). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (¥3.24 to ¥14.68). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325) come from?
Earnings per share at Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai grew +6.5 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +20.2 %, EBIT margin −5.0 %, tax rate −2.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai

How large is the market capitalisation of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
The market capitalisation of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai is 7.7B CNY (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai is 0.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
Earnings per share at Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai are ¥−3.90. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
The dividend yield of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
The net margin of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai is −11.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai is −9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
The operating margin of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai is −11.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
Revenue at Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai is growing −78.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325)?
Earnings per share at Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai are growing −46.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325) generate?
The free cash flow of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai is 12.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai (600325) carry?
The net debt of Huafa Industrial Co Ltd Zhuhai is 73.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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