Xinjiang Talimu Agriculture Development Co (600359) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 2.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥1.07 to ¥2.14 (+100.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +8.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.40 – ¥10.81 · fair‑value band ¥1.28 – ¥2.14 · the ¥6.21 price screens above the ¥2.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Xinjiang Talimu Agriculture Development Co (600359) currently trades at ¥6.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.14, implying the stock looks roughly 65.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xinjiang Talimu Agriculture Development Co generated revenue of 473M CNY at a net margin of -3.2%. Revenue declined 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.0%. Net debt stands at 240M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.28 (bear case) to ¥2.14 (bull case); at ¥6.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -66%, 600359 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.15) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.7500). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xinjiang Talimu Agriculture Development Co., Ltd. produces and sells various agricultural products in China and internationally. The company offers propagation base products, seeds, cotton seeds, wheat seeds, raw grains, licorice, forage, and other agricultural products. It is also involved in the beef cattle breeding and farming businesses.
Full company description
Xinjiang Talimu Agriculture Development Co., Ltd. produces and sells various agricultural products in China and internationally. The company offers propagation base products, seeds, cotton seeds, wheat seeds, raw grains, licorice, forage, and other agricultural products. It is also involved in the beef cattle breeding and farming businesses. It sells its seeds products through its own distribution system and sales agency; and its beef products to middlemen, retailers, and end consumers through wholesale markets, supermarkets and restaurants. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Aral, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xinjiang Talimu Agriculture Development Co reported revenue of ¥484M in FY2025 versus ¥685M in FY2021, a compound −8.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥8.1M in FY2025.
600359 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 288 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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