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China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd ¥4.58, price ¥11.43, upside -59.9%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE0000018C0

CA Broad data Sep 24, 2026

China Avionics Systems Co Ltd

600372 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥4.58 · Strongly overvalued (−60%)
!Quality 28/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +22.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.59% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Weak on past: 15 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 12 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥22.46 ¥10.02 Fair Value ¥4.58 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.02 – ¥22.46 · fair‑value band ¥2.81 – ¥4.72 · the ¥11.43 price screens above the ¥4.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

AVIC Airborne Systems Co., Ltd. Manufactures aviation products in China.

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AVIC Airborne Systems Co., Ltd. Manufactures aviation products in China. The company offers avionics systems, flight control systems, and electromechanical systems; mechanical and electronic engineering, avionics, in the fields of aviation, aerospace, shipbuilding, and weapons; automatic control, inertial navigation, electronic information, radar and fire control systems, electronic countermeasures, air traffic control, flight data, integrated imaging; instruments, meters and basic components; communication networks, electronic information and integrated circuits. It also provides roads, smart cities and the internet of things, industrial automation, industrial safety, rail transit, energy conservation and environmental protection and new energy electronics, intelligent equipment; equipment, sensors, motors, textile machinery, optical instruments. In addition, the company engages in research, development, production, sales, and service of electronic equipment, electromechanical equipment and sensors for various aircraft engines; automotive parts and systems, industrial automation and control equipment, intelligent systems and equipment, and mechanical manufacturing equipment; refrigeration systems; software and information products; and software, security and service system products. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as China Avionics Systems Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to AVIC Airborne Systems Co., Ltd.in August 2023. AVIC Airborne Systems Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372) currently trades at ¥11.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.58, implying the stock looks roughly 149.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥6.41 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥11.43 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.48, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥2.81 (bear) to ¥4.72 (bull), the price of ¥11.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

China Avionics Systems Co Ltd reported revenue of 24.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 9.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +25.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding +7.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 55.3B CNY (≈ $8.3B) · P/E ratio 47.6 · P/S ratio 2.12 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2400 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −60%, 600372 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.81 Fair Value ¥4.58 Bull ¥4.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1258 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ¥4.45 ¥4.83 ¥5.17 74
Residual Income ¥5.66 ¥5.49 ¥4.59 74
Owner Earnings ¥4.36 ¥6.41 ¥10.15 73
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥4.36 ¥6.41 ¥10.15 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.50 ¥7.83 ¥10.84 61
Lynch FV ¥2.15 ¥3.07 ¥3.99 59
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.15 ¥3.07 ¥3.99 55
EPV ¥4.45 ¥4.83 ¥5.17 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.8500 ¥1.76 ¥2.79 64
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.8500 ¥1.48 ¥1.85 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.47 ¥4.63 ¥5.79 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.81 ¥3.75 ¥4.69 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.81 ¥3.75 ¥4.69 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.58 ¥6.73 ¥7.87 66
EV/EBITDA ¥7.95 ¥9.89 ¥11.83 67
EV/Revenue ¥4.59 ¥5.65 ¥6.70 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.92 ¥5.26 ¥7.85 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.66 ¥5.49 ¥4.59 74
ROIC Compounder ¥4.45 ¥4.83 ¥5.17 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.20 ¥4.58 ¥5.95 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 21
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.4% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9% vs −2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

600372 screens 150% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 230 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 47.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.46× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.29× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 46
PAST (return on equity)15 · sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)12 · sector 17

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

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General Dynamics Corporation GD $343.39 $274.32 −20%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $509.86 $383.06 −25%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,112 $1,224 +10%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $239.89 $263.88 +10%

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China Avionics Systems Co Ltd · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Avionics Systems Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600372

Frequently asked questions

Is China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.58 versus a price of ¥11.43, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600372?
Our model-based fair value for China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is ¥4.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.43.
What is the quality score of 600372?
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.81, optimistic scenario ¥4.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Avionics Systems Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.58, about −60% upside versus a price of ¥11.43 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.81, optimistic scenario ¥4.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 24.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does China Avionics Systems Co Ltd pay a dividend?
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.59% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Avionics Systems Co Ltd it is ¥4.58 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥11.43. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Avionics Systems Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600372 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥11.43, fair value ¥4.58, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600372?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥11.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.58). For China Avionics Systems Co Ltd the two are ¥6.85 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Avionics Systems Co Ltd worth?
The market values China Avionics Systems Co Ltd at about 55.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥11.43; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600372?
Our models span a range for China Avionics Systems Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.81, base ¥4.58, optimistic ¥4.72 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥11.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600372?
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 47.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥4.58 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 15.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.6%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600372 from its 52-week high?
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd trades at ¥11.43, about 31% below its 52-week high of ¥16.55 and 8% above the low of ¥10.55 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Avionics Systems Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Avionics Systems Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥11.43, calculated fair value ¥4.58 (−60%), Quality Score 28/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600372 calculated?
We run China Avionics Systems Co Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.58, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. China Avionics Systems Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥11.43. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.58, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Avionics Systems Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372) come from?
Earnings per share at China Avionics Systems Co Ltd grew −0.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.0 %, EBIT margin −3.8 %, tax rate +1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
The market capitalisation of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 55.3B CNY (≈ $8.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 2.12 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
Earnings per share at China Avionics Systems Co Ltd are ¥0.2400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 47.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
The dividend yield of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 0.6% (payout 28.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
The net margin of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
The operating margin of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 7.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
Revenue at China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is growing −1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?
Earnings per share at China Avionics Systems Co Ltd are growing +78.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372) generate?
The free cash flow of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is −1.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372) carry?
The net debt of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 6.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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