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China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd stock ¥4.63, price ¥11.54, that is 59.9% below the price, quality 28 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

16 models, one by oneBear ¥3.47 to bull ¥5.79 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 28/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE0000018C0

Some data Nov 7, 2026

China Avionics Systems Co Ltd

600372 · SHG

Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 60% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt

Thin margins · 4.3% net margin (TTM)

0.6% dividend yield · Token dividend

Some data

Fair value ¥4.63 · Strongly overvalued (−59.9%)

Quality 28/100

Weak Growth (revenue 3y −4.7 %/yr in CNY)

Negative free cash flow

Trails peers (2/13)

Narrow moat 33/100

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Price drop: Profit decline and overvalued assessment🚩US sanctions limit international access

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.02 – ¥22.46 · fair‑value band ¥3.47 – ¥5.79 · the ¥11.54 price screens above the ¥4.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

AVIC Airborne Systems Co., Ltd. Manufactures aviation products in China.

Show moreShow less

The company offers avionics systems, flight control systems, and electromechanical systems; mechanical and electronic engineering, avionics, in the fields of aviation, aerospace, shipbuilding, and weapons; automatic control, inertial navigation, electronic information, radar and fire control systems, electronic countermeasures, air traffic control, flight data, integrated imaging; instruments, meters and basic components; communication networks, electronic information and integrated circuits.

It also provides roads, smart cities and the internet of things, industrial automation, industrial safety, rail transit, energy conservation and environmental protection and new energy electronics, intelligent equipment; equipment, sensors, motors, textile machinery, optical instruments.

In addition, the company engages in research, development, production, sales, and service of electronic equipment, electromechanical equipment and sensors for various aircraft engines; automotive parts and systems, industrial automation and control equipment, intelligent systems and equipment, and mechanical manufacturing equipment; refrigeration systems; software and information products; and software, security and service system products.

It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as China Avionics Systems Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to AVIC Airborne Systems Co., Ltd.in August 2023. AVIC Airborne Systems Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372) currently trades at ¥11.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.63, 60% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥4.69 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥11.54 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.27, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥3.47 (bear) to ¥5.79 (bull), the price of ¥11.54 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

China Avionics Systems Co Ltd reported revenue of 24.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 9.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +25.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding +7.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 55.8B CNY (≈ $8.4B) Mid · P/E ratio 55.0 · P/S ratio 2.92 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2100 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 4.3% · Return on equity 3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −60%, 600372 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥3.47 Fair Value ¥4.63 Bull ¥5.79

Price ¥11.54 · Downside -59.9%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1214 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

Residual Income ¥5.49 ¥5.44 ¥5.63 74

EPV ¥3.52 ¥3.82 ¥4.08 73

ROIC Compounder ¥3.52 ¥3.82 ¥4.08 69

All 16 models by family

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ¥1.50 ¥7.83 ¥10.84 61

Lynch FV ¥2.15 ¥3.07 ¥3.99 59

PEG = 1.0 ¥2.15 ¥3.07 ¥3.99 55

EPV ¥3.52 ¥3.82 ¥4.08 73

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ¥0.6700 ¥1.37 ¥2.15 64

DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.6700 ¥1.16 ¥1.44 65

Multiples

P/E Multiple ¥3.47 ¥4.63 ¥5.79 63

P/S Multiple ¥2.81 ¥3.75 ¥4.69 57

P/B Multiple ¥19.15 ¥25.53 ¥31.91 55

EV/EBIT ¥1.70 ¥2.61 ¥3.52 64

EV/EBITDA ¥3.58 ¥5.13 ¥6.67 66

EV/Revenue ¥0.9100 ¥1.75 ¥2.59 51

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥3.10 ¥4.69 ¥5.86 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income ¥5.49 ¥5.44 ¥5.63 74

ROIC Compounder ¥3.52 ¥3.82 ¥4.08 69

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.20 ¥4.58 ¥5.95 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 20

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 43

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 5

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 51

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 21

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 79

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 33

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 22

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 40

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

+0.5%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−4.7%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+22.4%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.4% a year

Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+7.8%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−8.2%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−8.8%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8.8% vs −2.0%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 5%

Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

600372 screens overvalued: fair value 60% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →

Note from the team Oct 25, 2026

AI conclusion: Integration within the state aerospace group secures most revenue via related-party deals, yet weak cash conversion and profit declines constrain independent margins and innovation.

Main risk: US sanctions under executive orders targeting Chinese military companies could restrict the company's access to Western technology, export markets and partnerships, hitting its ability to diversify beyond domestic state contracts.

Bull case: The company could deepen domestic integration with COMAC and low-altitude economy projects while accelerating indigenous AI-enhanced avionics to reduce reliance on restricted foreign components.

Bear case: Further sanctions or tightened export controls could isolate the firm from global supply chains and limit revenue growth outside the AVIC group, constraining innovation and scale in civil aviation segments.

AVIC Airborne Systems draws most of its revenue from related-party deals within the state aerospace group while recent half-year results showed a profit decline. Our models see the shares as overvalued. Does the defense exposure deliver steady growth or simply limit the scope for independent margins and innovation?

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −59.9% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (12 months) 3.3% · Below median

Return on assets 1.6% · Below median

Net margin (12 months) 5.4% · Below median

Operating margin (12 months) 7.8% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −2.0% · Below median

Dividend yield (12 months) 0.6% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.07× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 55.0× · Priciest 25%

P/B 1.47× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (12 months) 2.92× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 20.1× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 65

PAST (return on equity)13 · sector 41

HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 94

DIVIDEND (yield)12 · sector 19

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
Safran SA SAF	€295.50	€327.36	+11%	vs 600372
Honeywell Aerospace Inc HONA	$152.92	$168.21	+10%	vs 600372
TransDigm Group TDG	$1,197	$1,308	+9%	vs 600372
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT	$567.08	$439.21	−23%	vs 600372
General Dynamics Corporation GD	$354.06	$274.19	−23%	vs 600372
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC	$525.01	$382.98	−27%	vs 600372
Airbus SE AIR	€196.40	€112.14	−43%	vs 600372
RTX Corporation RTX	$189.53	$88.19	−53%	vs 600372
General Electric Company GE	$323.24	$92.26	−71%	vs 600372
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM	$205.81	$52.65	−74%	vs 600372

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.63 versus a price of ¥11.54, about 60% lower (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 600372?

Our model-based fair value for China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is ¥4.63 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.54.

What is the quality score of 600372?

China Avionics Systems Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.63 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.47, optimistic scenario ¥5.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the China Avionics Systems Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥4.63, about 60% lower versus a price of ¥11.54 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.47, optimistic scenario ¥5.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

China Avionics Systems Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 24.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).

Does China Avionics Systems Co Ltd pay a dividend?

China Avionics Systems Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.59% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).

How much is the dividend of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372) and when is the ex-dividend date?

China Avionics Systems Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.068 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 10, 2026. The payout ratio is 32.4% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.6% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.6% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.

What is the intrinsic value of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Avionics Systems Co Ltd it is ¥4.63 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥11.54. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).

Is China Avionics Systems Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 7, 2026, 600372 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥11.54, fair value ¥4.63, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 600372?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥11.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.63). For China Avionics Systems Co Ltd the two are ¥6.91 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is China Avionics Systems Co Ltd worth?

The market values China Avionics Systems Co Ltd at about 55.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥11.54; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.63 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600372?

Our models span a range for China Avionics Systems Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.47, base ¥4.63, optimistic ¥5.79 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥11.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 600372?

China Avionics Systems Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 55.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥4.63 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 50.5. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 20.1.

How solid is the balance sheet of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

Balance-sheet figures for China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 3.3%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 600372 from its 52-week high?

China Avionics Systems Co Ltd trades at ¥11.54, about 30% below its 52-week high of ¥16.55 and 9% above the low of ¥10.55 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.63 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to China Avionics Systems Co Ltd?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is China Avionics Systems Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥11.54, calculated fair value ¥4.63 (−60%), Quality Score 28/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 600372 calculated?

We run China Avionics Systems Co Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥4.63 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. China Avionics Systems Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥11.54. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.63, about 60% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with China Avionics Systems Co Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Where does the earnings growth of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372) come from?

Earnings per share at China Avionics Systems Co Ltd grew −0.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.0 %, EBIT margin −3.8 %, tax rate +1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

The market capitalisation of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 55.8B CNY (≈ $8.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

The price-to-sales ratio of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 2.92 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

Earnings per share at China Avionics Systems Co Ltd are ¥0.2100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 55.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

The dividend yield of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 0.6% (payout 32.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

The net margin of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 4.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

The return on equity (ROE) of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

The operating margin of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

Revenue at China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is growing −2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372)?

Earnings per share at China Avionics Systems Co Ltd are growing −20.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372) generate?

The free cash flow of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is −1.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (600372) carry?

The net debt of China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 6.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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