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Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group (600373) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 9.7B CNY

CU Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group 600373 · SHG
Price¥7.20
Fair Value¥4.57
Upside-36.5%
Quality47/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.74% dividend yield
Trails peers (1/14)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.43 – ¥5.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +7.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 37% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥18.80 ¥6.63 Fair Value ¥4.57 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.63 – ¥18.80 · fair‑value band ¥3.43 – ¥5.71 · the ¥7.20 price screens above the ¥4.57 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group (600373) currently trades at ¥7.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.57, implying the stock looks roughly 36.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group generated revenue of 7.5B CNY at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue declined 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 8.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.43 (bear case) to ¥5.71 (bull case); at ¥7.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at -37%, 600373 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥9.02 ¥8.42 ¥6.29 76
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.35 ¥3.36 ¥4.37 68
P/E Multiple ¥3.43 ¥4.57 ¥5.71 63
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥6.51 ¥7.96 ¥10.17 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.41 ¥5.07 ¥6.83 54
Lynch FV ¥1.20 ¥1.71 ¥2.22 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.20 ¥1.71 ¥2.22 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.43 ¥4.57 ¥5.71 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.65 ¥3.53 ¥4.41 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.65 ¥3.53 ¥4.41 55
EV/EBITDA ¥5.85 ¥6.43 ¥7.02 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.60 ¥8.84 ¥13.20 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥9.02 ¥8.42 ¥6.29 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.35 ¥3.36 ¥4.37 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥8.84) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.71). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.1%
Net margin 2.9%
Return on equity 1.4%
Free cash flow −190M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 51.3
More key figures
Operating margin 2.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1500
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -38.5%
Net cash 8.9B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group Co., Ltd. engages in the editing and publishing of books, newspapers, periodicals, and audio-visual electronic publications in China and internationally.

Full company description

Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group Co., Ltd. engages in the editing and publishing of books, newspapers, periodicals, and audio-visual electronic publications in China and internationally. It also offers domestic and foreign trade and supply chain services, logistics, and Internet of Things technology applications; and new media, online education, internet games, digital publishing, film and television production, art dealing, cultural complexes, and investment and financing. In addition, the company offers textbooks and supplementary teaching materials, printing and packaging, logistics, material trading, new business models, and integrated marketing services. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Nanchang, China. Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Co.,Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Jiangxi Publishing Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group reported revenue of ¥7.8B in FY2025 versus ¥10.7B in FY2021, a compound −7.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥280M in FY2025, compounding −39.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 14/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.8B CNY
Latest YoY
−16.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+12.6%
Revenue −7.8%/yr
FY21 ¥10.7B
FY22 ¥10.2B
FY23 ¥10.9B
FY24 ¥9.3B
FY25 ¥7.8B
Net income −39.2%/yr
FY21 ¥2.0B
FY22 ¥1.9B
FY23 ¥2.2B
FY24 ¥744M
FY25 ¥280M

600373 screens 37% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600373

Peer Group

Publishing · 110 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −37% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 48.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.55× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.30× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 96.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.30× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 6 · sector 21
HEALTH 97 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 55 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group (600373) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.57 versus a price of ¥7.20, about −37% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600373?
Our model-based fair value for Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group is ¥4.57 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.20.
What is the quality score of 600373?
Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group (600373)?
Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600373?
The net profit margin of Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group is about 2.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group pay a dividend?
Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.62% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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