TX Group (TXGN) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CH · Market cap CHF 1.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from CHF 45.01 to CHF 81.31 (+80.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +15.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 91.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 66.94 – CHF 227.47 · fair‑value band CHF 74.79 – CHF 91.13 · the CHF 150.40 price screens above the CHF 81.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
TX Group (TXGN) currently trades at CHF 150.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 81.31, implying the stock looks roughly 45.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, TX Group generated revenue of CHF 873M at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue declined 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of CHF 101M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 74.79 (bear case) to CHF 91.13 (bull case); at CHF 150.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at -46%, TXGN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (CHF 146.56) versus Earnings-Based (CHF 6.96). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TX Group AG operates a network of platforms and participations that provides users with information, orientation, entertainment, and other services in Switzerland. It operates through five segments: TX Markets, Goldbach, 20 Minuten, Tamedia, and Group & Ventures.
Full company description
TX Group AG operates a network of platforms and participations that provides users with information, orientation, entertainment, and other services in Switzerland. It operates through five segments: TX Markets, Goldbach, 20 Minuten, Tamedia, and Group & Ventures. The company operates platforms in the areas of real estate, automotive, marketplaces, and finance and insurance services, as well as operates JobCloud, a job portal. It also provides advertising marketing in the areas of TV, OOH, radio, online, mobile and performance marketing. In addition, the company offers daily newspapers, magazines, and publishing services. Further, the company provides news through news media outlets; Zattoo; and Doodle, as well as fintech area platforms. The company was formerly known as Tamedia AG and changed its name to TX Group AG in January 2020. TX Group AG was founded in 1893 and is based in Zurich, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TX Group reported revenue of CHF 872M in FY2025 versus CHF 952M in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 8.6M in FY2025, compounding −67.8%/yr from FY2021.
TXGN screens 46% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →
Peer Group
Publishing · 110 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times Company NYT | $76.71 | $41.95 | -45% |
| Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 | ¥9.20 | ¥10.07 | +9% |
| China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 | ¥26.32 | ¥10.31 | -61% |
| People.cn CO., LTD 603000 | ¥17.10 | ¥4.23 | -75% |
| China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 | ¥10.43 | ¥14.66 | +41% |
| John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY | $49.51 | $57.01 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 | ¥7.15 | ¥7.54 | +5% |
| Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 | ¥11.87 | ¥21.61 | +82% |
| Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 | ¥6.98 | ¥11.60 | +66% |
| Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co 002181 | ¥7.61 | ¥1.35 | -82% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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