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Hanma Technology Group (600375) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.3B CNY

HT Hanma Technology Group 600375 · SHG
Price¥3.96
Fair Value¥0.6200
Upside-84.3%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: High Range ¥0.4700 – ¥0.7800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +3.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 84% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.7800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.63 ¥2.86 Fair Value ¥0.6200 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.86 – ¥13.63 · fair‑value band ¥0.4700 – ¥0.7800 · the ¥3.96 price screens above the ¥0.6200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Hanma Technology Group (600375) currently trades at ¥3.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6200, implying the stock looks roughly 84.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hanma Technology Group generated revenue of 7.2B CNY at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 52.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. Net debt stands at 237M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4700 (bear case) to ¥0.7800 (bull case); at ¥3.96, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -84%, 600375 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.22 ¥2.01 ¥3.21 80
Residual Income ¥1.43 ¥1.33 ¥0.9800 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.7300 ¥1.16 ¥1.68 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.22 ¥2.05 ¥3.33 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.85 ¥3.08 ¥4.99 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.7300 ¥1.15 ¥1.68 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.62 ¥2.88 ¥4.41 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥0.6400 ¥0.9800 ¥1.32 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.8800 ¥1.31 ¥1.90 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.46 ¥2.52 ¥4.03 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥0.8400 ¥1.19 ¥1.62 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.2000 ¥0.7700 ¥1.04 54
Lynch FV ¥0.1900 ¥0.2700 ¥0.3500 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.1900 ¥0.2700 ¥0.3500 46
EPV ¥0.4300 ¥0.5200 ¥0.5900 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.4700 ¥0.6200 ¥0.7800 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.3800 ¥0.5000 ¥0.6300 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.3800 ¥0.5000 ¥0.6300 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.7200 ¥0.9900 ¥1.26 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.04 ¥2.75 ¥3.46 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.4900 ¥0.7400 ¥0.9900 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.05 ¥1.41 ¥2.10 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.22 ¥2.01 ¥3.21 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.7300 ¥1.16 ¥1.68 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.43 ¥1.33 ¥0.9800 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.4300 ¥0.5200 ¥0.5900 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.3400 ¥0.4900 ¥0.6300 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.41) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.2700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +52.2%
Net margin 0.9%
Return on equity 1.9%
Free cash flow 183M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 98.5
More key figures
Operating margin 2.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) +100%
Net debt 237M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 27
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hanma Technology Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of heavy trucks, special vehicles, and auto parts in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Hanma Technology Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of heavy trucks, special vehicles, and auto parts in the People's Republic of China. It offers electric and new energy tractors, dump trucks, mixer trucks, and port tractors; alcohol hydrogen electric mixer trucks, dump trucks, and tractors; truck-mounted cranes; engines; and axles products. The company also provides chassis, heavy trucks, concrete mixer trucks, bulk cement trucks, concrete pump trucks, semi-trailer tractors, engineering dump trucks, gearboxes, etc. The company was formerly known as Hualing Xingma Automobile (Group) Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Hanma Technology Group Co.,Ltd. in December 2020. Hanma Technology Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Maanshan, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hanma Technology Group reported revenue of ¥6.6B in FY2025 versus ¥5.3B in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥47.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+55.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+24.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+13.9%
Revenue +5.4%/yr
FY21 ¥5.3B
FY22 ¥3.4B
FY23 ¥3.9B
FY24 ¥4.2B
FY25 ¥6.6B
Net income
FY21 −¥1.3B
FY22 −¥1.5B
FY23 −¥963M
FY24 ¥157M
FY25 ¥47.6M

600375 screens 84% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hanma Technology Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600375

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 52% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 99.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.88× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 5.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 23.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.90× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 22
FUTURE 100 · sector 30
PAST 8 · sector 32
HEALTH 91 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $952.41 $307.83 -68%
Deere & Company DE $597.24 $187.86 -69%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 336.60 kr 288.08 -14%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $126.20 $94.80 -25%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 251.90 kr 144.14 -43%
Exor N.V EXO €69.40 €219.41 +216%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥18.65 ¥20.84 +12%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.39 ¥11.79 +41%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$41.00 HK$53.51 +31%
Yutong Bus Co 600066 ¥32.29 ¥42.00 +30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hanma Technology Group (600375) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.6200 versus a price of ¥3.96, about −84% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600375?
Our model-based fair value for Hanma Technology Group is ¥0.6200 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.96.
What is the quality score of 600375?
Hanma Technology Group has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hanma Technology Group (600375)?
Hanma Technology Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600375?
The net profit margin of Hanma Technology Group is about 0.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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