Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group (600418) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 71.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥13.38 to ¥18.34 (+37.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +4.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 24% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥21.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.16 – ¥58.14 · fair‑value band ¥15.62 – ¥21.06 · the ¥24.25 price screens above the ¥18.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group (600418) currently trades at ¥24.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.34, implying the stock looks roughly 24.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group generated revenue of 48.2B CNY at a net margin of -4.3%. Revenue grew 16.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 8.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥15.62 (bear case) to ¥21.06 (bull case); at ¥24.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -24%, 600418 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥18.21) versus Asset-Based (¥2.88). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, sale, and service of commercial and passenger vehicles in China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally.
Full company description
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, sale, and service of commercial and passenger vehicles in China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally. The company offers trucks, MPVs, SUVs, sedans, buses, vans, electric vehicles, pickup vehicles, chassis, and other core components. It also provides mobility solutions; automotive financial services; financing guarantees; technical services; and import and export trade services. The company was formerly known as Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp.,Ltd. in November 2016. Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp.,Ltd. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Hefei, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group reported revenue of ¥46.6B in FY2025 versus ¥40.3B in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥1.7B in FY2025.
600418 screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Toyota Motor Corporation →
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $179.76 | $224.63 | +25% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$80.55 | HK$50.85 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 425,000 KRW | 616,918 KRW | +45% |
| General Motors Company GM | $77.72 | $56.93 | -27% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 2,944 MXN | +54% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | $376.64 | $228.05 | -39% |
| Ford Motor Company F | C$11.86 | C$4.00 | -66% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ | C$20.44 | C$35.15 | +72% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | 2,149 CZK | 7,191 CZK | +235% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,803 | ₹8,236 | -40% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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