Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.16 – ¥58.14 · fair‑value band ¥23.36 – ¥40.39 · the ¥19.25 price screens below the ¥30.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, sale, and service of commercial and passenger vehicles in China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally.
Show more
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, sale, and service of commercial and passenger vehicles in China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally. The company offers trucks, MPVs, SUVs, sedans, buses, vans, electric vehicles, pickup vehicles, chassis, and other core components. It also provides mobility solutions; automotive financial services; financing guarantees; technical services; and import and export trade services. The company was formerly known as Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp.,Ltd. in November 2016. Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp.,Ltd. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Hefei, China.
Stock analysis
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418) currently trades at ¥19.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥30.80, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥18.21 per share, and 2 of the 10 models we run sit above the ¥19.25 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥11.99, and 8 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥23.36 (bear) to ¥40.39 (bull), the price of ¥19.25 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd reported revenue of 46.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 40.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −1.7B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 54.4B CNY (≈ $8.1B) · P/S ratio 1.13 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.9500 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −3.7% · Return on equity −16.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.6% · Operating margin −2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at 60%, 600418 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥23.36Fair Value ¥30.80Bull ¥40.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.33/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.9%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.3% (2020) → −2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 113 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Above median
Fair Value upside−11% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.25× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600418
Frequently asked questions
Is Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥30.80 versus a price of ¥19.25, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600418?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is ¥30.80 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥19.25.
What is the quality score of 600418?
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥30.80 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥23.36, optimistic scenario ¥40.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥30.80, about +60% upside versus a price of ¥19.25 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥23.36, optimistic scenario ¥40.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 48.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd pay a dividend?
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.25% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +4.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.7 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600418 use?
Our models discount Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd at 9.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.62, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd that is +4.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd grew +1.7 % a year. The price currently implies +4.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (+4.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.98 %: that much free cash flow Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd it is ¥30.80 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of ¥19.25. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, 600418 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥19.25, fair value ¥30.80, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600418?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥19.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥30.80). For Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd the two are ¥11.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd worth?
The market values Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd at about 54.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is ¥19.25; our models calculate a fair value of ¥30.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600418?
Our models span a range for Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd: cautious scenario ¥23.36, base ¥30.80, optimistic ¥40.39 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price ¥19.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Balance-sheet figures for Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity −16.5%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600418 from its 52-week high?
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd trades at ¥19.25, about 67% below its 52-week high of ¥58.81 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥30.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, Hyundai Motor Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price ¥19.25, calculated fair value ¥30.80 (+60%), Quality Score 50/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600418 calculated?
We run Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥30.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd currently trades 60 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was ¥19.25. Our model-based fair value is ¥30.80, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥23.36). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The market capitalisation of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is 54.4B CNY (≈ $8.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is 1.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Earnings per share at Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd are ¥−0.9500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The dividend yield of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The net margin of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is −3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is −16.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is −1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The operating margin of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is −2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Revenue at Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is growing +16.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Earnings per share at Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd are growing +11.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418) hold?
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd holds more cash than debt, 8.4B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
