Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd stock ¥31.31, price ¥19.57, upside +60.0%, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.16 – ¥58.14 · fair‑value band ¥24.27 – ¥40.19 · the ¥19.57 price screens below the ¥31.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, sale, and service of commercial and passenger vehicles in China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally.
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The company offers trucks, MPVs, SUVs, sedans, buses, vans, electric vehicles, pickup vehicles, chassis, and other core components. It also provides mobility solutions; automotive financial services; financing guarantees; technical services; and import and export trade services.
The company was formerly known as Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp.,Ltd. in November 2016. Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp.,Ltd. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Hefei, China.
Stock analysis
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418) currently trades at ¥19.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥31.31, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥18.07 per share, and 2 of the 10 models we run sit above the ¥19.57 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥9.17, and 8 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥24.27 (bear) to ¥40.19 (bull), the price of ¥19.57 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd reported revenue of 46.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 40.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −1.7B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 42.7B CNY (≈ $6.4B) Mid · P/S ratio 0.89 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.7700 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin −3.4% · Return on equity −13.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.6% · Operating margin −3.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 60%, 600418 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥24.27Fair Value ¥31.31Bull¥40.19
Price ¥19.57 · Upside +60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF¥15.79¥20.91¥28.6881
Growth DCF¥15.94¥20.46¥26.8880
5Y EBITDA Exit¥12.15¥14.60¥17.3777
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥15.79¥20.91¥28.6881
5Y Revenue Exit¥13.97¥18.02¥23.1374
5Y EBITDA Exit¥12.15¥14.60¥17.3777
10Y Revenue Exit¥14.34¥18.19¥23.2768
10Y EBITDA Exit¥13.39¥15.83¥18.8870
Multiples
EV/EBITDA¥7.81¥9.17¥10.5367
EV/Revenue¥10.48¥13.38¥16.2754
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥0.9900¥1.33¥1.9954
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥15.94¥20.46¥26.8880
Rev-Margin DCF¥13.97¥18.07¥22.8274
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.33/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.0% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.3% (2020) → −2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+30.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.6% a year for the price and +28.2% for the forecasts.
Compare Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside+60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−3.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−3.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)11.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.25× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
P/B4.41× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.87× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)25.6× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600418
Frequently asked questions
Is Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥31.31 versus a price of ¥19.57, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600418?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is ¥31.31 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥19.57.
What is the quality score of 600418?
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥31.31 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥24.27, optimistic scenario ¥40.19. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥31.31, about +60% upside versus a price of ¥19.57 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥24.27, optimistic scenario ¥40.19. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 49.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd pay a dividend?
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.40% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +4.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.7 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600418 use?
Our models discount Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.50, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd that is +4.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd grew +1.7 % a year. The price currently implies +4.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (+4.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.91 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd it is ¥31.31 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ¥19.57. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 600418 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥19.57, fair value ¥31.31, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600418?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥19.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥31.31). For Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd the two are ¥11.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd worth?
The market values Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd at about 42.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥19.57; our models calculate a fair value of ¥31.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600418?
Our models span a range for Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd: cautious scenario ¥24.27, base ¥31.31, optimistic ¥40.19 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ¥19.57). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Balance-sheet figures for Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −13.2%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600418 from its 52-week high?
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd trades at ¥19.57, about 66% below its 52-week high of ¥57.96 and 8% above the low of ¥18.12 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥31.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, Ferrari N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ¥19.57, calculated fair value ¥31.31 (+60%), Quality Score 52/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600418 calculated?
We run Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥31.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd currently trades 38% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was ¥19.57. Our model-based fair value is ¥31.31, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥24.27). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The market capitalisation of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is 42.7B CNY (≈ $6.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is 0.89 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Earnings per share at Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd are ¥−0.7700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The dividend yield of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The net margin of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is −3.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is −13.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is −1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
The operating margin of Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is −3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Revenue at Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd is growing +11.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418)?
Earnings per share at Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd are growing +11.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd (600418) hold?
Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp Ltd holds more cash than debt, 8.4B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 6, 2026