Sinomach General Machinery Science & Technology Co (600444) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +6.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 41% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.33 – ¥21.48 · fair‑value band ¥6.29 – ¥9.50 · the ¥13.80 price screens above the ¥8.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Sinomach General Machinery Science & Technology Co (600444) currently trades at ¥13.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.15, implying the stock looks roughly 40.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sinomach General Machinery Science & Technology Co generated revenue of 872M CNY at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue declined 15.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 401M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.29 (bear case) to ¥9.50 (bull case); at ¥13.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -41%, 600444 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥18.14) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.47). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sinomach General Machinery Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sale of plastic pipes, fluid machinery, environmental protection engineering, and system integration. It is involved in the research, design, and development of general machinery and chemical equipment in China.
Full company description
Sinomach General Machinery Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sale of plastic pipes, fluid machinery, environmental protection engineering, and system integration. It is involved in the research, design, and development of general machinery and chemical equipment in China. The company also offers technical services and consulting, engineering design and complete sets of equipment, refrigeration-related testing equipment, green and efficient refrigeration technology, high-end liquid-liquid/solid-liquid separation machinery, packaging machinery and equipment, valves and valve testing equipment technology development and services, offshore drilling, mud stations, special pumps and testing equipment, water jet equipment, mechanical seals and testing equipment, fans and other non-standard fluid machinery equipment, science popularization and education equipment, and cultural and creative products, etc. Sinomach General Machinery Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Hefei, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sinomach General Machinery Science & Technology Co reported revenue of ¥899M in FY2025 versus ¥842M in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥58.5M in FY2025, compounding +4.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
600444 screens 41% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $469.98 | $212.34 | -55% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.81 | $45.65 | -68% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $68.61 | $17.35 | -75% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €76.62 | €101.60 | +33% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 523.20 | CHF 307.66 | -41% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $543.93 | $363.09 | -33% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €70.76 | -19% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $78.04 | $54.36 | -30% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,420 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 36.03 | kr 25.37 | -30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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