Jiangxi Hongcheng Environment Co (600461) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 11.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −1.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 88% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥10.47). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (¥10.47 to ¥20.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.85 – ¥12.25 · fair‑value band ¥10.47 – ¥20.91 · the ¥8.90 price screens below the ¥16.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangxi Hongcheng Environment Co (600461) currently trades at ¥8.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.73, implying the stock looks roughly 88.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangxi Hongcheng Environment Co generated revenue of 7.3B CNY at a net margin of 16.2%. Revenue declined 11.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. Net debt stands at 3.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥10.47 (bear case) to ¥20.91 (bull case); at ¥8.90, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at 88%, 600461 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥21.52) versus Asset-Based (¥5.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangxi Hongcheng Environment Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and supplies tap water in China. The company engages in municipal water supply and drainage engineering design; water pollution prevention and control; environmental protection consulting service; supply of solar photovoltaic power; sale and installation of natural gas; sale of …
Full company description
Jiangxi Hongcheng Environment Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and supplies tap water in China. The company engages in municipal water supply and drainage engineering design; water pollution prevention and control; environmental protection consulting service; supply of solar photovoltaic power; sale and installation of natural gas; sale of vehicle natural gas and specialty chemical products; water quality testing and operation; solid waste disposal; and construction, operation, and maintenance of municipal pipe network facilities. It is also involved in kitchen waste treatment; urban domestic waste; incineration power generation; industrial solid waste disposal and power generation; power transmission and distribution business; urban food waste treatment; urban garbage leachate; and concentrate disposal services. The company was formerly known as Jiangxi Hongcheng Waterworks Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Jiangxi Hongcheng Environment Co., Ltd. in February 2021. Jiangxi Hongcheng Environment Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Nanchang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangxi Hongcheng Environment Co reported revenue of ¥7.5B in FY2025 versus ¥9.1B in FY2021, a compound −4.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.2B in FY2025, compounding +4.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Water · 67 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Water Works Company AWK | $134.33 | $65.80 | -51% |
| SBSP3 SBSP3 | R$29.22 | R$31.23 | +7% |
| SBS SBS | $5.79 | $5.21 | -10% |
| Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG | $38.59 | $21.81 | -43% |
| CSMG3 CSMG3 | R$66.10 | R$60.17 | -9% |
| Grandblue Environment Co 600323 | ¥29.42 | ¥33.29 | +13% |
| American States Water Company AWR | $85.01 | $48.02 | -44% |
| Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co 000598 | ¥6.97 | ¥10.74 | +54% |
| California Water Service Group CWT | $49.73 | $33.56 | -33% |
| Chongqing Water Group 601158 | ¥4.12 | ¥2.77 | -33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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