Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd ¥1.91, price ¥1.64, upside +16.5%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥0.9200 – ¥7.54 · fair‑value band ¥1.91 – ¥4.50 · the ¥1.64 price screens below the ¥1.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Long Yuan Construction Group Co., Ltd. operates as a construction company in China. It engages in the general contracting of construction engineering, municipal public works construction, mechanical and electrical engineering, foundation engineering, architectural decoration and decoration engineering, and ancient architectural engineering.
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Long Yuan Construction Group Co., Ltd. operates as a construction company in China. It engages in the general contracting of construction engineering, municipal public works construction, mechanical and electrical engineering, foundation engineering, architectural decoration and decoration engineering, and ancient architectural engineering. The company undertakes various complex construction tasks, such as industrial, civil, municipal, transportation, water conservancy and large volume, high standards, and fine decoration. In addition, it provides steel structure and grid engineering special design, architectural and decoration design, engineering consulting, construction engineering supervision, house quality; pre-planning, planning and design, investment, financing, and construction and investment for the cooperation area. Further, the company it is engaged in investment business for traditional building, infrastructure investment construction and operation, construction industrialization and technology sectors. Long Yuan Construction Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491) currently trades at ¥1.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.91, implying the stock looks roughly 14.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ¥4.86 per share, and 5 of the 5 models we run sit above the ¥1.64 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥2.88, and 0 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.91 (bear) to ¥4.50 (bull), the price of ¥1.64 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 19.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −31.0%/yr. Reported net income was −2.6B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.5B CNY (≈ $375M) · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.90 · Net margin −58.3% · Return on equity −29.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.3% · Operating margin 16.7% · Revenue (TTM) 4.3B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at 16%, 600491 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.91Fair Value ¥1.91Bull ¥4.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−51.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.3%
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.4% (2020) → −2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 817 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+13% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−68% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.09× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600491
Frequently asked questions
Is Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.91 versus a price of ¥1.64, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600491?
Our model-based fair value for Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd is ¥1.91 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥1.64.
What is the quality score of 600491?
Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.91 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.91, optimistic scenario ¥4.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.91, about +16% upside versus a price of ¥1.64 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.91, optimistic scenario ¥4.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd it is ¥1.91 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥1.64. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 600491 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥1.64, fair value ¥1.91, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600491?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥1.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.91). For Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd the two are ¥0.2700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd at about 2.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥1.64; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600491?
Our models span a range for Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.91, base ¥1.91, optimistic ¥4.50 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥1.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
Balance-sheet figures for Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −29.7%, debt of 2.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600491 from its 52-week high?
Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd trades at ¥1.64, about 58% below its 52-week high of ¥3.89 and 34% above the low of ¥1.22 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥1.64, calculated fair value ¥1.91 (+16%), Quality Score 49/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600491 calculated?
We run Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥1.64. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.91, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥1.91). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (¥1.91 to ¥4.50) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
The market capitalisation of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd is 2.5B CNY (≈ $375M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd is 0.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
Earnings per share at Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd are ¥−1.90. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
The net margin of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd is −58.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd is −29.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd is −0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
The operating margin of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd is 16.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
Revenue at Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd is growing −9.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −32.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491)?
Earnings per share at Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd are growing −54.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491) generate?
The free cash flow of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd is 1.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd (600491) carry?
The net debt of Long Yuan Construction Group Co Ltd is 18.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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