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Oriental Pearl Group (600637) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 27.6B CNY

OP Oriental Pearl Group 600637 · SHG
Price¥8.22
Fair Value¥4.38
Upside-46.7%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 7.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.20% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.28 – ¥5.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +4.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥15.39 ¥5.82 Fair Value ¥4.38 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.82 – ¥15.39 · fair‑value band ¥3.28 – ¥5.38 · the ¥8.22 price screens above the ¥4.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Oriental Pearl Group (600637) currently trades at ¥8.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.38, implying the stock looks roughly 46.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Oriental Pearl Group generated revenue of 7.3B CNY at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue declined 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 697M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.28 (bear case) to ¥5.38 (bull case); at ¥8.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -47%, 600637 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥6.36 ¥6.17 ¥5.01 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.45 ¥2.78 ¥3.07 72
Gordon GGM ¥1.84 ¥3.44 ¥5.65 70
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥0.9600 ¥1.18 ¥1.51 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.35 ¥3.37 ¥4.37 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.6200 ¥0.8800 ¥1.14 46
EPV ¥2.45 ¥2.78 ¥3.07 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.84 ¥3.44 ¥5.65 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.84 ¥2.79 ¥3.81 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.28 ¥4.38 ¥5.47 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.54 ¥3.38 ¥4.23 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.54 ¥3.38 ¥4.23 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.88 ¥5.01 ¥6.14 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.82 ¥8.93 ¥11.05 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.05 ¥4.16 ¥5.26 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.45 ¥5.96 ¥8.90 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.36 ¥6.17 ¥5.01 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.45 ¥2.78 ¥3.07 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.52 ¥3.60 ¥4.68 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥5.96) versus DCF Models (¥1.18). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.6%
Net margin 7.6%
Return on equity 1.6%
Free cash flow −931M CNY FY2024
P/E ratio 48.4
More key figures
Operating margin 4.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1700
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -49.0%
Net cash 697M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Oriental Pearl Group Co.,Ltd. operates an omni-channel video integration and distribution platform in China. It engages in the cable TV, IPTV, OTT, mobile internet terminals, film and television content production and distribution, game business, and other businesses; smart radio and television 5G business; cultural consumption, business including …

Full company description

Oriental Pearl Group Co.,Ltd. operates an omni-channel video integration and distribution platform in China. It engages in the cable TV, IPTV, OTT, mobile internet terminals, film and television content production and distribution, game business, and other businesses; smart radio and television 5G business; cultural consumption, business including sightseeing tours, as well as other cultural tourism business; retail business; and cultural real estate development and industrial park operation businesses. Oriental Pearl Group Co.,Ltd. was formerly known as Shanghai Oriental Pearl Group Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Oriental Pearl Group reported revenue of ¥7.7B in FY2024 versus ¥10.0B in FY2020, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥669M in FY2024, compounding −19.9%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
7.7B CNY
Latest YoY
−3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−9.0%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+2.4%
Revenue −6.4%/yr
FY20 ¥10.0B
FY21 ¥9.1B
FY22 ¥6.7B
FY23 ¥8.0B
FY24 ¥7.7B
Net income −19.9%/yr
FY20 ¥1.6B
FY21 ¥1.9B
FY22 ¥174M
FY23 ¥602M
FY24 ¥669M

600637 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oriental Pearl Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600637

Peer Group

Entertainment · 267 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth -11% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 48.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.92× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.77× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 19.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.05× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 6 · sector 0
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 44 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹298.25 ₹63.45 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Oriental Pearl Group (600637) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.38 versus a price of ¥8.22, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600637?
Our model-based fair value for Oriental Pearl Group is ¥4.38 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.22.
What is the quality score of 600637?
Oriental Pearl Group has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Oriental Pearl Group (600637)?
Oriental Pearl Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600637?
The net profit margin of Oriental Pearl Group is about 7.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Oriental Pearl Group pay a dividend?
Oriental Pearl Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.09% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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