Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group (600684) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap 3.7B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.39 – ¥6.47 · fair‑value band ¥1.13 – ¥1.87 · the ¥3.39 price screens above the ¥1.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group (600684) currently trades at ¥3.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.50, implying the stock looks roughly 55.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group generated revenue of 1.6B CNY at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue grew 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 361M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.13 (bear case) to ¥1.87 (bull case); at ¥3.39, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -56%, 600684 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥1.14) versus Asset-Based (¥0.7700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group Co., Ltd. engages in property management business in China. It operates through property management business, cultural and sports operation business, and real estate sales and related businesses segments.

Full company description

Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group Co., Ltd. engages in property management business in China. It operates through property management business, cultural and sports operation business, and real estate sales and related businesses segments. The company offers urban life services, urban public construction services, advertising and promotion services, gymnasium management services, gymnasium operations and related supporting services, hotel management services, real estate rental and sales services, and other services. It also involved in unit logistics management, health consultation, and sports and health services; own funds for investment activities, business management, and social and economic consulting services; investing in agricultural, tourism, and cultural industry projects and domestic trade; self-owned housing leasing; and provision of parking lot and on-site repair and maintenance services. The company was formerly known as Guangzhou Pearl River Industrial Development Co.,Ltd. Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥3.6B in FY2021, a compound −18.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥74.0M in FY2025, compounding +3.0%/yr from FY2021.

600684 screens 56% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.