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Dalian Thermal Power Co (600719) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 3.1B CNY

DT Dalian Thermal Power Co 600719 · SHG
Price¥7.65
Fair Value¥1.98
Upside-74.1%
Quality37/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -9.9% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥1.67 – ¥1.98 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥2.17 to ¥1.98 (−8.8%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +4.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 74% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥11.78 ¥3.16 Fair Value ¥1.98 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.16 – ¥11.78 · fair‑value band ¥1.67 – ¥1.98 · the ¥7.65 price screens above the ¥1.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Dalian Thermal Power Co (600719) currently trades at ¥7.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.98, implying the stock looks roughly 74.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Dalian Thermal Power Co generated revenue of 603M CNY at a net margin of -9.9%. Revenue declined 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.8%. Net debt stands at 1.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.67 (bear case) to ¥1.98 (bull case); at ¥7.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -74%, 600719 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥1.68 ¥2.00 ¥2.34 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.68 ¥2.20 ¥2.82 61
EV/EBITDA ¥1.06 ¥1.84 ¥2.63 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.68 ¥2.00 ¥2.34 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.68 ¥2.20 ¥2.82 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥1.06 ¥1.84 ¥2.63 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.3800 ¥0.5100 ¥0.7600 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥2.00) versus Asset-Based (¥0.5100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 603M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.6%
Net margin -9.9%
Return on equity -13.8%
Free cash flow −79.8M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 29.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.1400
EPS growth (YoY) +58.1%
Net debt 1.5B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Dalian Thermal Power Co.,Ltd. engages in the cogeneration and central heating business in China. The company produces hot water through coal-fired boilers to supply heat. It also provides combined heat and power for heating; and produces electricity, steam, and high-temperature water through power plants.

Full company description

Dalian Thermal Power Co.,Ltd. engages in the cogeneration and central heating business in China. The company produces hot water through coal-fired boilers to supply heat. It also provides combined heat and power for heating; and produces electricity, steam, and high-temperature water through power plants. In addition, the company purchases and sells industrial production materials; and the generation and sale of electricity. It provides its services to urban residents, enterprises, and institutions. Dalian Thermal Power Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Dalian, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dalian Thermal Power Co reported revenue of ¥605M in FY2025 versus ¥660M in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥94.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
605M CNY
Latest YoY
−3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+4.9%
Revenue −2.1%/yr
FY21 ¥660M
FY22 ¥807M
FY23 ¥633M
FY24 ¥629M
FY25 ¥605M
Net income
FY21 −¥143M
FY22 −¥157M
FY23 ¥106M
FY24 −¥146M
FY25 −¥94.7M

600719 screens 74% overvalued. Compare with Constellation Energy Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dalian Thermal Power Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600719

Peer Group

Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 78 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Above median
Debt / equity 2.14× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.50× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Constellation Energy Corporation CEG $257.57 $89.08 -65%
Vistra Corp VST $158.86 $47.59 -70%
Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER ₹218.45 ₹75.57 -65%
CGN Power Co 003816 ¥3.88 ¥3.13 -19%
NRG Energy, Inc NRG $137.90 $56.02 -59%
Gulf Development Public Company GULF 67.50 THB 40.44 THB -40%
Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL ₹1,730 ₹342.02 -80%
Talen Energy Corporation TLN $372.37 $44.67 -88%
Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 ¥5.80 ¥4.95 -15%
Power Assets Holdings 0006 HK$58.45 HK$31.90 -45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dalian Thermal Power Co (600719) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.98 versus a price of ¥7.65, about −74% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600719?
Our model-based fair value for Dalian Thermal Power Co is ¥1.98 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.65.
What is the quality score of 600719?
Dalian Thermal Power Co has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dalian Thermal Power Co (600719)?
Dalian Thermal Power Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 603M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600719?
The net profit margin of Dalian Thermal Power Co is about -9.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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